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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: 2013 DOG and PONY SHOW
irage
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irage
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#1
Posted: 3/24/2013 7:33:47 PM
Welcome to the 2013 Dog and Pony Show. We still have about 30 days before this starts strategy starts, but I'll be watching and if the numbers start stacking up I'll hit it early. Last year I walked away with just over 30k. It was a great year and I hope to do it again. I am watching these games minutes before they start and don't always have time to post, so this system really relies on all of you. If the play meets the criteria below you should jump on it. This isn't a magic bullet, it's a little instinct and the rest on a pattern I think I've found. Good luck and lets have some fun.

1. No bet if the line is higher than -110 for either team. (Some exceptions made for -111, but I'll review as needed).
2. Wait for the line movements to stop, some times moves happen up to 2-3 minutes before game time.
3. Take the DOG
4. Avoid games where the DOG is going to sweep a series.
5. Avoid games where there is a lot of line movement.
6. Pitching ERA's with 3.0 difference
7. System stops first week of August
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#2
Posted: 3/24/2013 11:36:37 PM
irage, did you keep track wins/losses last year? was one unit your usual bet? 
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#3
Posted: 3/25/2013 12:58:13 AM
30k? damn what is your unit size? like 500?
Posted using a mobile device.
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#4
Posted: 3/25/2013 2:40:22 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by irage:




2. Wait for the line movements to stop, some times moves happen up to 2-3 minutes before game time.

And exactly how do you know when the line stops moving?  The line may be the same for hours and then, 5 minutes before game time, it changes.

5. Avoid games where there is a lot of line movement.

Define "a lot" of movement.


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#5
Posted: 3/25/2013 1:58:31 PM
Scratchin' my head here, Irage

Aren't #1 and #6 darn near mutually exclusive?

How often are you seeing picks?

Thanks,

Pat


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#6
Posted: 3/25/2013 7:10:43 PM
Did they make you change your Avatar bro??     miss the surfboard....that was a cool surfboard.
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irage
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#7
Posted: 3/25/2013 10:43:18 PM
Yes, I kept track of the wins and losses.

May = 45/58
June = 22/34
July = 21/28

Yes, 30k and I cashed out. Most of the games I bet were between 500 and 1000 per game, but I will admit in July the week after the All-Star break I was betting 3k per game. I hit 3 games the same day, so it added up fast.

Yes, the line movement often changes right before game time. This is trick, it's hard to do. I watch just a couple of minutes before game time and if it doesn't change I hit it. There are a couple of times where the games became no plays after I bet, nothing I can do about it. Line movement is a judgement call, if it looks like a lot of action is being played just avoid the game.

#6 ERA difference of 3.0 or more is not exclusive. I only had a couple come up last year it's not common, but all the games that met that criteria lost.

Glef, it should be there, but I bet they are filtering it. It's like typing person (d!ck) and the filter changes it.


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#8
Posted: 3/26/2013 12:12:23 PM

Can you post your plays even after they start. Im still tryin to graps this. If what you say is true, that 73% hitting percentage is nice.

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#9
Posted: 3/27/2013 1:43:16 AM
why did irage got banned?
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#10
Posted: 3/27/2013 2:29:19 PM
Got banned for probably the same reason everyone else does, this site is a joke. It used to be a good site, now they ban anyone that doesnt comply with these dumb rules.
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irage
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#11
Posted: 3/27/2013 6:23:51 PM

I'm back. At first I was told that I had been warned 3 times about using an inapproriate image. I was never warned and the image was stored in their database, so when GLEF pointed it out, I updated it. Keep in mind I did not reupload, I just selected it. Plus, I see plenty of images that are far worse than mine still being used.Theytold me that all decisions are final, so I thought I was done, but then I got an email saying disregard and that my account had been restored.

Sounds like they need to hire my as their systems architect.

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#12
Posted: 3/27/2013 6:25:43 PM
wb
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#13
Posted: 3/27/2013 9:16:47 PM
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irage
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#14
Posted: 3/27/2013 10:06:49 PM
So during spring training the wins have been scarce, but as we approach the opening of the season the wins are starting to stack up.
Here are the March results so everyone can see. In the last couple of days we've had a 5-0 run. You'll notice a few -111's in there. I sometimes add those if the visitor is the pick.

2013 MAR 01 Visitor Texas -104 (-108) LOSS
2013 MAR 02 Visitor Atlanta -102 (-110) LOSS
2013 MAR 02 Home Milwaukee -105 (-107) WIN
2013 MAR 02 Visitor Cincinnati -106 (-106) LOSS
2013 MAR 03 Visitor Mets -103 (-109) LOSS
2013 MAR 03 Visitor Kansas City -106 (-106) WIN
2013 MAR 04 Visitor Philadelphia -104 (-108) WIN
2013 MAR 04 Visitor Tampa Bay -106 (-106) LOSS
2013 MAR 04 Home Arizona -105 (-107) WIN
2013 MAR 05 Home Minnesota -104 (-108) LOSS
2013 MAR 05 Visitor Cincinnati -105 (-107) LOSS
2013 MAR 05 Visitor Cleveland -105 (-107) WIN
2013 MAR 05 Visitor Dodgers -105 (-107) LOSS
2013 MAR 07 Visitor Angles -106 (-106) WIN
2013 MAR 07 Visitor Arizona -106 (-106) LOSS
2013 MAR 07 Visitor San Francisco -103 (-109) LOSS
2013 MAR 08 Home Miami -103 (-109) WIN
2013 MAR 09 Visitor Minnesota -104 (-108) WIN
2013 MAR 09 Visitor Kansas City -102 (-110) WIN
2013 MAR 09 Visitor WhiteSox -104 (-108) LOSS
2013 MAR 09 Home Boston -103 (-109) LOSS
2013 MAR 10 Home Cubs -104 (-108) WIN
2013 MAR 13 Visitor Milwuakee -103 (-109) LOSS
2013 MAR 13 Home Minnesota -104 (-108) LOSS
2013 MAR 14 Visitor Texas -104 (-108) WIN
2013 MAR 15 Visitor Cleveland -103 (-109) LOSS
2013 MAR 17 Home Pittsburgh -104 (-108) LOSS
2013 MAR 19 Visitor Oakland -104 (-108) LOSS
2013 MAR 19 Visitor San Francisco -104 (-108) LOSS
2013 MAR 22 Visitor Yankees -103 (-109) WIN
2013 MAR 22 Visitor Mets -105 (-107) WIN
2013 MAR 23 Visitor Texas -101 (-111) WIN
2013 MAR 23 Home Pittsburgh -105 (-107) LOSS
2013 MAR 24 Visitor Kansas City -102 (-110) WIN
2013 MAR 25 Visitor San Francisco -105 (-107) WIN
2013 MAR 26 Home Minnesota -105 (-109) WIN
2013 MAR 27 Home LA Angels -102 (-108) WIN
2013 MAR 27 Visitor San Francisco 101 (-111) WIN
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irage
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#15
Posted: 3/30/2013 12:54:01 PM
not official picks

MAR 30 Visitor Cubs +100
MAR 30 Visitor Seattle -101

In the last few minutes the line switched the other way on this game. This is a great example of line movement. I would have passed on this game

MAR 30 Home Philadelphia -104
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#16
Posted: 3/30/2013 12:57:42 PM
What books/sites are you following with these late line movements?

Thanks.

Good Luck.
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irage
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#17
Posted: 3/30/2013 6:31:22 PM
I use Covers!
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irage
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#18
Posted: 3/30/2013 6:39:55 PM
The Cubs line moved and they became the FAVs and Houston became the play.
MAR 30 Home Houston -104 WIN

Seattle line didn't move at all.
MAR 30 Visitor Seattle -101 WIN

Philly was a no play, it didn't meet the criteria,
MAR 30 Home Philadelphia -104


2013 MAR 01 Visitor Texas -104 (-108) LOSS
2013 MAR 02 Visitor Atlanta -102 (-110) LOSS
2013 MAR 02 Home Milwaukee -105 (-107) WIN
2013 MAR 02 Visitor Cincinnati -106 (-106) LOSS
2013 MAR 03 Visitor Mets -103 (-109) LOSS
2013 MAR 03 Visitor Kansas City -106 (-106) WIN
2013 MAR 04 Visitor Philadelphia -104 (-108) WIN
2013 MAR 04 Visitor Tampa Bay -106 (-106) LOSS
2013 MAR 04 Home Arizona -105 (-107) WIN
2013 MAR 05 Home Minnesota -104 (-108) LOSS
2013 MAR 05 Visitor Cincinnati -105 (-107) LOSS
2013 MAR 05 Visitor Cleveland -105 (-107) WIN
2013 MAR 05 Visitor Dodgers -105 (-107) LOSS
2013 MAR 07 Visitor Angles -106 (-106) WIN
2013 MAR 07 Visitor Arizona -106 (-106) LOSS
2013 MAR 07 Visitor San Francisco -103 (-109) LOSS
2013 MAR 08 Home Miami -103 (-109) WIN
2013 MAR 09 Visitor Minnesota -104 (-108) WIN
2013 MAR 09 Visitor Kansas City -102 (-110) WIN
2013 MAR 09 Visitor WhiteSox -104 (-108) LOSS
2013 MAR 09 Home Boston -103 (-109) LOSS
2013 MAR 10 Home Cubs -104 (-108) WIN
2013 MAR 13 Visitor Milwuakee -103 (-109) LOSS
2013 MAR 13 Home Minnesota -104 (-108) LOSS
2013 MAR 14 Visitor Texas -104 (-108) WIN
2013 MAR 15 Visitor Cleveland -103 (-109) LOSS
2013 MAR 17 Home Pittsburgh -104 (-108) LOSS
2013 MAR 19 Visitor Oakland -104 (-108) LOSS
2013 MAR 19 Visitor San Francisco -104 (-108) LOSS
2013 MAR 22 Visitor Yankees -103 (-109) WIN
2013 MAR 22 Visitor Mets -105 (-107) WIN
2013 MAR 23 Visitor Texas -101 (-111) WIN
2013 MAR 23 Home Pittsburgh -105 (-107) LOSS
2013 MAR 24 Visitor Kansas City -102 (-110) WIN
2013 MAR 25 Visitor San Francisco -105 (-107) WIN
2013 MAR 26 Home Minnesota -105 (-109) WIN
2013 MAR 27 Home LA Angels -102 (-108) WIN
2013 MAR 27 Visitor San Francisco 101 (-111) WIN
2013 MAR 30 Home Houston -104 (-106) WIN
2013 MAR 30 Visitor Seattle -100 (-110) WIN
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#19
Posted: 3/31/2013 1:17:49 PM
BOL this season
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irage
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#20
Posted: 3/31/2013 8:48:49 PM
Thanks, hoping to make a little cash like everyone else.
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#21
Posted: 4/1/2013 11:58:16 AM
they gave me a warning too...funny didnt they used to have a babe of the day that showed alot more skin than our avatars.....
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#22
Posted: 4/1/2013 11:59:11 AM
liking royals and the red sox myself....today
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irage
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#23
Posted: 4/1/2013 1:00:58 PM

They did and once in awhile I would go check them out. I don't get the new rules, but whatever.

I'm not ready to start using this strategy yet, but it's bee on a hot streak that past few days.Keep in mind these lines are going to move. They don't settle down until the END of April.

UNOFFICAL PLAYS for APRIL


2013 APR 01 Visitor Seattle 102 PENDING
2013 APR 01 Visitor Philadelphia -102 PENDING

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irage
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#24
Posted: 4/1/2013 1:01:51 PM
Crap, Boston would be a play at +102
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#25
Posted: 4/1/2013 1:46:43 PM
u gonna play bettor2win system too this year??
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