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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: NCAA BASKETBALL MODEL
TeriSchiavo send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
TeriSchiavo
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Joined: Mar 2013
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#1
Posted: 3/8/2013 2:02:42 PM
Hey guys, new to Covers here but I've created an Excel model for ACC basketball. (I know its late in the season but im a bored college student) It's not very original but basically it takes two teams median offense/defense ppg against the league median offense/defense ppg in order to create a basic prediction of the total points scored. In order to get a basic spread prediction I used the median home/away points per game. With back testing (only in conference games) its hitting about 55%. Now of course in placing my actual bets ive factored in other things such as injuries/motivation etc. 

Basically what I'm wondering is if anyone can point me in a direction that would help me refine my model even further. Any help would be greatly appreciated. 
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