|Hey guys, new to Covers here but I've created an Excel model for ACC basketball. (I know its late in the season but im a bored college student) It's not very original but basically it takes two teams median offense/defense ppg against the league median offense/defense ppg in order to create a basic prediction of the total points scored. In order to get a basic spread prediction I used the median home/away points per game. With back testing (only in conference games) its hitting about 55%. Now of course in placing my actual bets ive factored in other things such as injuries/motivation etc.
Posted: 3/8/2013 2:02:42 PM
Basically what I'm wondering is if anyone can point me in a direction that would help me refine my model even further. Any help would be greatly appreciated.