NBA Chase for 2/20

Forum: Systems & Strategies
Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: NBA Chase for 2/20
BCap888 PM BCap888
Joined: Apr 2012
Posts: 764
 
BCap888
Participation Meter
Posted: 2/20/2013 5:01:43 AM
Just started looking into finding chases and streaks and found this one that starts tomorrow:

One team is on a 5 game ATS winning streak.
3 games ago this team covered the spread by 1 point to 13 points.
2 games ago this team covered the spread by 4 points to 13.5 points.
Last game this team covered the spread by less than 12 points.
Look to chase against this team ATS for the next 3 games.

Since 2004 the "A bet" in this scenario is 45-21 ATS.
The "B bet" is 11-10.
And the "C bet" is 6-4.

Toronto fits these criterion perfectly for tomorrow against Memphis and an A bet would go on the Griz.

Not really looking to do anything further with this just throwing it out there if anyone wants it. BOL whether you do or you don't.

CAP 
BCap888 PM BCap888
Joined: Apr 2012
Posts: 764
 
BCap888
Participation Meter
Posted: 2/20/2013 5:02:40 AM
The link for anyone who cares:

http://killersports.com/nba.py/query?sid=guest&text=ats+streak+%3D+5+and+ppp%3Aats+margin+%3E+.5+and+ppp%3Aats+margin+%3C+13.5+and+pp%3Aats+margin+%3E+3.5+and+pp%3Aats+margin+%3C+14+and+p%3Aats+margin+%3C+12+and+season+%3E+2004&submit=query
BCap888 PM BCap888
Joined: Apr 2012
Posts: 764
 
BCap888
Participation Meter
Posted: 2/20/2013 9:42:32 PM
Yay.
Air1 PM Air1
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 909
United States
 
Air1
Participation Meter
Posted: 2/22/2013 4:59:19 PM
bcap, great find, however, it is my belief that for a chase, you must hit better than 55% for each bet in the long run. The A game if superb, but the B and C games seem to lack a little.......

you are risking a little over 8 units to win 1 while playing this as a chase. You end up winning about 33 units if risking 8.26 to win 1.
Playing straight up only A games, risking 8.26 to win 7.5 you win over 150 units.
BCap888 PM BCap888
Joined: Apr 2012
Posts: 764
 
BCap888
Participation Meter
Posted: 2/23/2013 12:12:27 AM
Alright man thanks for the tip. I haven't looked too much into them like I said just wanted to throw that out there. Will do some more research though and hopefully find something worth taking a look at.
Forum: Systems & Strategies
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.