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[Systems & Strategies] Topic: CAP's MLB Query Results (Something for Everyone) |
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BCap888 |
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#1 Posted: 4/8/2012 5:25:05 PM Here are some really successful situations I've run back tests on. Results are from 2004-2009:
System- 1 Bet the UNDERr when a team goes Under two straight games with
total less than 10, and the current total less than 8. (+3.4% ROI) +48.55 Units System- 2 Bet the UNDER in a game with a total over 10 and one team
has gone Over 4 and only 4 straight games. (+8.2% ROI) +15.05 Units System- 3 Bet on a HOME FAV between -120 and -130 after a Loss as a
Home Dog. (+8.3% ROI) +30.07 Units System- 4 Bet on the HOME team on the RL when both teams scored over 8
runs in their last game. (+8.8% ROI) +17.19 Units System- 5 Bet a team on the ML when they beat a division opponent by
more than 4, their next game is against a division opponent and they’re a Dog.
(+9.2 ROI) +83.71 Units System- 6 Bet on a HOME DOG between +130 and +140 after a Loss as a
Home Dog. (+9.4% ROI) +24.87 Units System- 7 Bet against a team when they have gone over the total for 4
and only 4 straight games and the current total is 10 or more. (+10.1% ROI)
+44.20 Units System- 8 Bet AGAINST a HOME FAV in a division game after losing by 3
or more if the line is between -110 and -130. (+10.2% ROI) +51.60 Units System- 9 Bet a HOME DOG in a division game after winning by 3 or more
if the line is between +110 and +180. (+10.8% ROI) +48.60 Units System- 10 Bet on an AWAY FAV between -120 and -140 on the RL in the
first game of a series when their opponent won their last game by 5 or more.
(+22.3% ROI) +13.99 Units System- 11 Bet the UNDER when a Home Dog has gone Over two straight
games, the current total is more than 9.5, and the line is between +110 and
+140. (+23.0% ROI) +27.25 Units System- 12 Bet the UNDER when a Home Fav lost by 5 or more in their
previous game, when the total was more than 10 and the game went Over. (+34.8%
ROI) +30.30 Units System- 13 Bet on the HOME team on the RL or ML when both teams are
coming off being shut out. (+84.9% ROI RL / +28.7% ROI ML) +7.77 Units RL / +7.24 Units ML
Hopefully you found something you liked. Today these 13 systems produced 3 plays. CLE ML (W), PHI/PIT U7.5 (L), and DET ML (?) I'll do my best to post on this when there are plays but no guarantees. GL everybody.
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BCap888 |
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#2 Posted: 4/8/2012 7:38:22 PM I have a play so far listed for tomorrow:
System 5- STL +120
Finished today 2-1
BOL tonight folks. |
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BCap888 |
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#3 Posted: 4/9/2012 10:13:01 AM Also a System 1 play- CHW/CLE Under 7.5.
4/9 System-1 White Sox / Indians U7.5
System-5 Cardinals +120
2012: Record 2-1 +$66.66 |
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BCap888 |
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#4 Posted: 4/9/2012 9:58:03 PM 4/9 System-1 White Sox / Indians U7.5 (W)
System-5 Cardinals +120 (W)
2012: Record 4-1 +$269.99
Solid Start!
Stay tuned for tomorrow's plays if there are any. |
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therizz |
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#5 Posted: 4/9/2012 10:30:36 PM  |
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BCap888 |
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#6 Posted: 4/9/2012 10:53:00 PM Thus far we have 2 confirmed plays for tomorrow:
System-1 White Sox / Indians U7.5
System-3 Indians -120
These are all $100 bets BTW, no matter the line. BOL Everyone |
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jv040 |
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#7 Posted: 4/10/2012 1:37:57 PM I don't understand the first filters for the first underdog system please give an example.
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jv040 |
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#8 Posted: 4/10/2012 1:41:34 PM are you just betting the next game or is this a chaseing more than one game?
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jv040 |
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#9 Posted: 4/10/2012 1:50:47 PM sorry I didn't look that you already had a play for system 1
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jv040 |
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#10 Posted: 4/10/2012 3:06:33 PM units won for each system since 2009 or for every year?
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BCap888 |
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#11 Posted: 4/10/2012 8:06:49 PM Since 2004. |
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3dogphil |
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#12 Posted: 4/10/2012 8:13:52 PM  |
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BCap888 |
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#13 Posted: 4/11/2012 11:13:42 AM Lots of action today:
4/11
System-1 White Sox / Indians U7 Cardinals / Reds U7.5 Rays / Tigers U7 Angels / Twins U7.5
System-3 Padres -120
System-9 Blue Jays +110
2012 Record: 4-1 +$269.99
BOL Everyone |
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BCap888 |
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#14 Posted: 4/12/2012 8:19:48 AM 4/11
System-1 White Sox / Indians U7 (L) Cardinals / Reds U7.5 (W) Rays / Tigers U7 (W) Angels / Twins U7.5 (L)
System-3 Padres -120 (W)
System-9 Blue Jays +110 (W)
4/11 Record: 4-2 +$181.66
YTD Record: 8-3 +$451.65
A note for System 1: I'm not going to play any BB situations. Like since the Tigers and Rays went under yesterday they might still be a play today. If they were I wouldn't play it. Hope that made sense. Plays up shortly.
BOL. |
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BCap888 |
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#15 Posted: 4/12/2012 8:27:12 AM 4/12
System-1 Dodgers / Pirates U7 (-110) Padres / Diamondbacks U6.5 (-125)
System-5 Rockies +120
Rockies are also a System-9 play but still just one unit.
GL Everybody |
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1958a |
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#16 Posted: 4/12/2012 11:06:53 AM looks great so far... it is hard work to go through all these systems. GL
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BCap888 |
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#17 Posted: 4/13/2012 8:23:42 AM 4/12
System-1 Dodgers / Pirates U7 (-110) (W) Padres / Diamondbacks U6.5 (-125) (W)
System-5 Rockies +120 (L)
4/11 Record: 2-1 +$70.91
YTD Record: 10-4 +$522.56
I did a quick check last night and I didn't see any plays. The Cardinals Cubs game is a System 1 play but the Cardinals are still on an Under streak from when we last played them vs. the Reds. If there are any plays they'll be up shortly.
GL Everybody. |
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BCap888 |
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#18 Posted: 4/13/2012 8:32:04 AM 4/13
System-1 Mariners / Athletics U6.5 (-120)
System-5 Cubs +180
There are a lot of System-1 plays today but only one with two "fresh" teams.
The others are STL/CHC, LAD,/SDP, PIT/SF, WAS/CIN. I'm not playing them but they're there if you want them.
GL Everybody let's keep rolling. |
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The Dog Catcher |
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#19 Posted: 4/13/2012 6:12:02 PM How long does it take you to find all the plays? Thanks for you all your work! |
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ricobond0046 |
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#20 Posted: 4/13/2012 7:51:13 PM  |
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BCap888 |
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#21 Posted: 4/13/2012 8:15:47 PM Congrats to those who followed on the Cubbies! Didn't have a lot of confidence in that one myself honestly. And usually about 15 or 20 minutes Dog Catcher. |
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ricobond0046 |
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#22 Posted: 4/14/2012 2:34:49 AM And the Unders BCapp. Good job. 
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BCap888 |
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#23 Posted: 4/14/2012 9:45:17 AM 4/13
System-1 Mariners / Athletics U6.5 (-120) (W)
System-5 Cubs +180 (W)
4/13 Record: 2-0 +$263.33
YTD Record: 12-4 +$785.89
Plays up soon if there are any. |
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BCap888 |
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#24 Posted: 4/14/2012 9:52:47 AM 4/14
System-5 Indians +125
System-8 Athletics -110
That's all we have for today. GL everyone.
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#25 Posted: 4/14/2012 5:18:08 PM Hello! I have a few questions about your systems. Unfortunaly my english is not very good, so I don't understand some systems. Can you help me?For example, why do you bet Indians and Athletics today?
System- 8 Bet AGAINST a HOME FAV in a division game after losing by 3 or more if the line is between -110 and -130. (+10.2% ROI) +51.60 Units So, we bet againts Sietl, because Sietl-Oklend is a division game and Sietl lost last game 0-4 (more then 3). Am I right? And about Indians. System- 5 Bet a team on the ML when they beat a division opponent by more than 4, their next game is against a division opponent and they’re a Dog. (+9.2 ROI) +83.71 Units We play on Indians because Indians won last game 8-3 (more than 4) and now is a Dog? And what is ML? Thank you for answers.
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