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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: JM V1 V2 V3 MLB system Lets post all MLB plays here.
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#1
Posted: 3/8/2010 8:45:08 PM
v1
1.   Check the MLB results and mark down any series where one team goes winless
versus the opposing team (a sweep)  
2.   For the teams that were swept (winless in those series), mark the schedule for their
upcoming series versus the same team that swept them previously 
3.   On the first day of the rematch between the two teams, as long as the team that was
swept previously has an RPI value of no less than .015 than the opposing team, AND
the opposing team is not a top-2 RPI team, make a bet for the team that was swept.
(Note: The RPI will be explained in greater details in a later section of this manual)
4.   If you lose bet A, make bet B on the next day for the same team  
5.   If you lose bet B, make bet C on the next day for the same team  

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#2
Posted: 3/8/2010 8:45:30 PM
v2
The change to this new v2.0 system is that you want to increase your stake on the [b] level when these 2 criteria are met:
1. The team you’re betting on is playing at home.
2. The [A] bet that you made resulted in your team losing by 3 or more points.

Similarly, you want to increase your stake on the [C] level when these 2 criteria are met:
1. The team you’re betting on is playing at home.
2. The [b] bet that you made resulted in your team losing by 3 or more points.

Here’s an example of the v2.0 system in action:
During the 2008 MLB baseball season, the Detroit Tigers played the Minnesota Twins on the road from May 2nd to May 4th and were swept in all 3 games. On May 23rd, they began another 3-game series with the Minnesota twins, this time at home. Since the Detroit Tigers fell within the accepted .01 range of RPI disparity with the Minnesota Twins at the time, the series was good to go for betting. Yet, on 5/23/08, Detroit lost to Minnesota again on the [A] bet by a score of 4-9. Since Detroit lost by at least 3 points at the [A] level, and since they’re playing at home, this would make the [b] bet to fall under the criteria for betting in the v2.0 MLB system. This means that the next day, on May 24th, you should increase your wagering amount by at least two-fold. So, let’s say that you lost $150 on the [A] bet with Detroit. Instead of betting to win $250 (to attain a $100 profit for the series) as you normally would do, you can double up and bet to win $350 (to attain a $200 profit for the series). Indeed, the Detroit Tigers came back the next day and completely annihilated Minnesota by their season-record score of 19-3!

Now, I want to note to you that you should of course still make all the bets according to the v1.0 system. However, when a situation arises that meets the criteria of the v2.0 betting system, you should then increase your wager on that betting level by at least twice or more."
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#3
Posted: 3/8/2010 8:46:01 PM
v3

V3:

V3.0 System UPDATE:
The update here is designed to allow you even more betting opportunities during the course of the baseball season by taking advantage of the unofficial plays that fall outside of the acceptable level of RPI difference between the two teams.
The addition to this new v3.0 system is that you want to make a wager for the team that previously did the sweep (NOT the team that was swept previously!) if the following 2 criteria are met:
1. The team that they swept previously came back and beat them on the very first game of theirrematch series.
2. They have an RPI of at least .025 or higher than their opponent.
If your bet loses, you would go on and make a [b] bet for the same team the next day. Most of the v3.0 bets will involve betting on a 2-game series. However, In some rare cases you can also make a [C] bet if both your [A] and [b] bet lose, and the series rematch is a 4-game series allowing you an extra final game to make a [C] wager
 
Here’s an example of the v3.0 system in action:
During the 2008 MLB baseball season, the Boston Red Sox played the Kansas City
Royals from May 19th to May 22nd and swept them in the entire series.
On August 4th, Boston played Kansas City again in a 3-game series. At this time during the season, Boston's RPI was at least .025 higher than Kansas City, making the series fall outside of the original v1.0 system's betting criteria for Kansas City. However, Kansas City ended up winning the first game of the series on August 4th.
Since Boston was the team that swept Kansas City previously, and their RPI is at least .025 higher than Kansas City, the fact that Kansas City came back and won the first game vs. Boston make the series eligible for play under the v3.0 MLB system.
Therefore, on August 5th, you would put down an [A] bet for Boston to beat Kansas City. Boston ended up winning the game. At this point you've won the betting series, and there's no need to make any more wagers for either team.
IF Boston had lost to Kansas City again on August 5th, then you would need to place a [b] bet for Boston again on August 6th when they play Kansas City in the final game.
There are no possible [C] bets in this series.

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#4
Posted: 3/9/2010 5:14:08 PM
I'm there/here when it's time.
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#5
Posted: 3/9/2010 5:17:55 PM

The dilemma stil comes when a version 3 play might come up.

Do you take the unnofficial series A game and hope they win so that you can then take the A game in the Version 3 series? I mean, you are pulling for an A win in an unnofficial series in order for V3 to kick in anyway, so you might as well bet a small amount on it, right?

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#6
Posted: 3/9/2010 9:32:41 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by nolemonasses:

The dilemma stil comes when a version 3 play might come up.

Do you take the unnofficial series A game and hope they win so that you can then take the A game in the Version 3 series? I mean, you are pulling for an A win in an unnofficial series in order for V3 to kick in anyway, so you might as well bet a small amount on it, right?


You are right.lol

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#7
Posted: 3/13/2010 1:40:24 AM
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#8
Posted: 3/13/2010 8:03:52 PM
Anyone know how well the lab system will doing on this?

Was thinking it would be better just doing a 2 game chase and not a 3 game.

Anyone use this system last season use the lab, if so did you do a 2 or 3 game chase?
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#9
Posted: 3/18/2010 11:19:04 PM

I signed up for JM's system.  He sent me all the NBA picks the night before.  Now he is trying to hit me up for another 125 to send me the baseball picks the night before as opposed to 15 minutes before the game.  WTF!  Does he do this everytime a new season starts. Either way I will be following this thread but was just wondering if anyone had any experience with this.  Also, are the baseball bets always made on the money line or with the spread?

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#10
Posted: 3/19/2010 2:28:29 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by therizz:

I signed up for JM's system.  He sent me all the NBA picks the night before.  Now he is trying to hit me up for another 125 to send me the baseball picks the night before as opposed to 15 minutes before the game.  WTF!  Does he do this everytime a new season starts. Either way I will be following this thread but was just wondering if anyone had any experience with this.  Also, are the baseball bets always made on the money line or with the spread?

Yep, par for the course with Mr. Douchebag

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#11
Posted: 3/19/2010 2:30:54 AM
To answer your other question, you take the +1.5 runline if the team you are betting on is the dog and ML if they are favored.
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#12
Posted: 3/19/2010 2:36:18 PM
Thanks Gotham
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semaper
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#13
Posted: 3/19/2010 3:23:38 PM

I'm waiting for the RPI explanation offered above...

 

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#14
Posted: 3/28/2010 9:25:34 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by semaper:

I'm waiting for the RPI explanation offered above...

 



Pass on any series where the team you're supposed to wager on has an RPI value more than .015 lower than its opponent.

Pass on any series where the opponent is in the top 2 highest ranked RPI teams.

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#15
Posted: 3/28/2010 1:19:32 PM
Thanks mc, but what's mean RPI?. How do you calculate it?. Any website show it updately?

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#16
Posted: 3/28/2010 2:04:54 PM
espn.go.com/mlb/stats/rpi

+The basic formula is 25% team winning percentage, 50% opponents' average winning percentage, and 25% opponents' opponents' average winning percentage.

There are proberly several sites that update but here you can see last season -> espn.go.com/mlb/stats/rpi/_/year/2009
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#17
Posted: 3/29/2010 9:53:50 AM
Can't wait for MLB guys...
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#18
Posted: 3/29/2010 4:33:04 PM
What are the stats for the Doctor for the earlier seasons ?
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#19
Posted: 4/5/2010 10:17:24 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by therizz:

I signed up for JM's system.  He sent me all the NBA picks the night before.  Now he is trying to hit me up for another 125 to send me the baseball picks the night before as opposed to 15 minutes before the game.  WTF!  Does he do this everytime a new season starts. Either way I will be following this thread but was just wondering if anyone had any experience with this.  Also, are the baseball bets always made on the money line or with the spread?



Don't pay it!  He still sends them the night before anyway.
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#20
Posted: 4/5/2010 6:44:57 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by ghawk5:



Don't pay it!  He still sends them the night before anyway.

not only that, it's super easy to tell when a play will be coming up, unless you have zero time to follow MLB games and mark down when a team gets swept.

or just check here on this thread.

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#21
Posted: 4/5/2010 8:22:20 PM

Thanks Guys,

I definitely don't plan to give him anymore money.  Can't complain too much because I definitely made more than I paid him for the nba.  Will be following along the thread here.  Lets win some money!

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#22
Posted: 4/5/2010 8:45:20 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by SKiLLsSoLoN:

Anyone know how well the lab system will doing on this?

Was thinking it would be better just doing a 2 game chase and not a 3 game.

Anyone use this system last season use the lab, if so did you do a 2 or 3 game chase?

I personally think for mlb doing the lab system on one line might work out better. I don't think it did so hot with 3 lines last year.  betting all the bets on one line would have cleared alot faster last year. 

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#23
Posted: 4/8/2010 6:14:01 AM
Astros were sweep the 1st series of the yr, so the next time they play SF it will be a play?
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#24
Posted: 4/8/2010 6:15:14 AM
there next series with SF starts on 05-14-10
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#25
Posted: 4/9/2010 2:15:42 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by MILKMAN0923:

Astros were sweep the 1st series of the yr, so the next time they play SF it will be a play?

As long as SF is not ranked #1 or 2 in RPI, or is more than .15 higher in RPI than Houston.

I use ESPN.com to find RPI. I think it is a link option in the standings tab in the mlb page.

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