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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: NBA OT OVER SYSTEM CHASE
robwalton send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 1/14/2010 10:49:30 AM

Ok this is a 4 game system chase. Pretty straight forward once a game goes in OT, the 2 teams that were involved in the game become's system plays. Does not matter what the Total Line is just play the Over, until you have a win, within the 4 games or a system loss. I have backtracked this to the 07-08 season and here are the results. So far for this season the record is 53-1. 24 A wins, 14 B wins, 10 C wins, 5 D wins and 1 loss. 08-09 record was 128-6 and 07-08 record was 108-12. If you just wanted to play this as a 3 game chase the records are 48-6 for this year 118-16 for 08-09 and 101-19 for 07-08. I also have all the numbers for the Under also.

What do you guys think, think this can work???

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#2
Posted: 1/14/2010 1:05:41 PM
What are the numbers for Under ?
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#3
Posted: 1/14/2010 1:14:43 PM
A four game chase loss will result is a loss of 18.45 units assuming a 1 unit chase.  A 3-game chase loss will lose 8.26 units

Just looking at the numbers that you provided:

4-game chase
09-10:  51-1 (+35.55 units)
08-09:  128-6 (+17.31 units)
07-08:  108-12 (-113.38 units)

3-game chase
09-10:  48-6 (-1.57 units)
08-09:  118-16 (-14.18 units)
07-08:  101-19 (-55.96 units)

I don't think that this system will prove viable.




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#4
Posted: 1/14/2010 3:03:52 PM

thanks for the info jbrent, it looked good number wise. sahlsa here are the numbers for the unders. the first set are the 4 game chase then the 3 game chase

09-10 51-3, 08-09 125-9, 07-08 103-7

09-10 50-4, 08-09 114-20, 07-08 106-14

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#5
Posted: 1/14/2010 5:15:24 PM
Guys - guys - guys.........
Good stuff here, I like it but................
Its all about money management
Yes I understand the results
But by altering and adjusting the chase scheme's, one could accumulate a lot more units with those same numbers above

Just an opinion here:
To be successful in this business not only do you need to have a solid system or whatever to pick the plays with whatever odds, but the other part of the sandwich is how you utilize you money management with in your wagers to overcome the losses and consistently build units in the long run.

With a little tweaking in how one would chase with this system, there could be some gold here

......................


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#6
Posted: 1/14/2010 10:32:52 PM
What do you suggest MontanaMax??
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#7
Posted: 1/15/2010 4:16:47 AM
Here ya go my man...........
This or any other variation of chasing which are out there too could help make up for those lost units
Brought to us by a fellow soldier in arms fighting the good fight against the odds makers

http://platinumsportsinvesting.com/labourchere.aspx.

Now for a season's length the odds will be on our side
Only if one were racing in the marathon and not a sprint

"The price is wrong......... Bob"
Extra points to where that quote's from
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#8
Posted: 1/15/2010 1:39:41 PM
How many A wins, B wins and C win where there in the earlier seasons ?
And how did D, E and F end ?

I must admit it is hard to see why an OT-match should result in either Under or Over matches in the next couple of games. It also seems like the stats support this.
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#9
Posted: 1/15/2010 8:10:45 PM

I am just going to keep track of this on here, just follow along if you want

Teams we are chasing are San Antonio, Oklahoma, Minny, Houston and there all in action tonight.

SAN ANTONIO/Charlotte  OVER 188.5

MINNY/Memphis OVER 209.5

OKLAHOMA/Dallas OVER 196.5

Miami/HOUSTON OVER 193.5

Remember the total line does not matter with this. I will post the Total Lines that I got when I placed the bet on these games. When i did the backtracking I never looked at the Total line, I just looked for O or a U in the past results.

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#10
Posted: 1/16/2010 11:12:39 AM
But you will proberly loose in the end if you do not make any filters.

Would be interesting to see more details about the other seasons to see if there is a system or not.
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#11
Posted: 1/16/2010 11:29:34 AM
What kind of Numbers do you want Sahlsa? I have all them going back to the 07-08 seasons. I know how many A,B,C,D bets won for the OVERS and the UNDERS and how many systems loses there were during those years. 53-1 before last night and picked up 3 A bets wins last night too so now its 56-1.
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#12
Posted: 1/16/2010 11:41:58 AM

For thos who are following

53-1 before this thread started

3-0 since being posted

Pending Series

San Antonio [B], Washington [A], Chicago [A], New Orleans [A] Detorit [A]

Games for today

Sacramento/WASHINGTON OVER 209

NEW ORLEANS/Indiana      OVER 209

New York/DETROIT             OVER 194

SAN ANTONIO/Memphis      OVER 201

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#13
Posted: 1/16/2010 12:05:04 PM
As you can see from the numbers that jbrent95 wrote your system is to unstable to make a "sure" profit over the season.

No doubt that 53-1 this season looks good, but you could end up with a season like 07/08, so what you need to do is to look at the games that lost and spot if there is anything that makes those games special, so you can filter them away.

Otherwise you might as well just pick a couple of games each day and flip a coin for Over and Under.

Are the games that lost, won within the next 3 games (D, E and F) ?
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#14
Posted: 1/16/2010 2:39:21 PM
sahlsa..........
I understand what your trying to say but...........
Say until there could be some filters derived, wise conservative MM can hedge against any big losses while still accumulating units.
Also like smitler...........
The un and ov could be played to chase both sides based from above results
Too much???
Ahhh...............
I may look to hop on next week or so
Just gotta move some mountains real quick
Thanks Rob
Canada really needs your squad to get their weight up
Can't wait, it'll be great for the sport



...................
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#15
Posted: 1/18/2010 1:46:09 PM

For thos who are following

53-1 before this thread started

3-0 since being posted

Pending Series

San Antonio [C], Washington [B], Chicago [A], New Orleans [B] Detorit [B]

Games for today

CHICAGO[B]/Golden state OVER 215

SAN ANTONIO[C]/NEW ORLEANS[B] OVER 188.5

Portland/WASHINGTON[B]  OVER193.5

DETROIT[B]/New york          OVER 191

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#16
Posted: 1/20/2010 12:30:42 AM

3-4

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#17
Posted: 1/20/2010 5:26:52 PM

For thos who are following

53-1 before this thread started

3-0 since being posted

Pending Series

San Antonio [D], Washington [C], New Orleans [C], Detorit [C], Chicago[B], Minny[A], Philly[A], Houston[A], Milwaukee[A]

Games for today

Utah/SAN ANTONIO [D] OVER 193

Dallas/WASHINGTON [C] OVER 198

Memphis/ NEW ORLEANS [C] OVER 203.5

Boston/ DETROIT [C] OVER 187

CHICAGO [B]/ LA Clippers OVER 194.5

Olkahoma/ MINNESOTA [A] OVER 199.5

Portland/ PHILADELPHIA [A] OVER 194.5

Toronto/ MILWAUKEE [A] OVER 206

 

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#18
Posted: 1/20/2010 10:32:25 PM
Your system can work....and so can almost every system as long as you have the right money and patience.....just turn it from an abc bet to a abcd or abcde...etc...just have to have the bankroll to save your losses.
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#19
Posted: 1/21/2010 2:03:13 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by robwalton:

For thos who are following

53-1 before this thread started

3-0 since being posted

Pending Series

San Antonio [D], Washington [C], New Orleans [C], Detorit [C], Chicago[B], Minny[A], Philly[A], Houston[A], Milwaukee[A]

Games for today

Utah/SAN ANTONIO [D] OVER 193 

Dallas/WASHINGTON [C] OVER 198 

Memphis/ NEW ORLEANS [C] OVER 203.5 

Boston/ DETROIT [C] OVER 187 

CHICAGO [B]/ LA Clippers OVER 194.5 

Olkahoma/ MINNESOTA [A] OVER 199.5 

Portland/ PHILADELPHIA [A] OVER 194.5 

Toronto/ MILWAUKEE [A] OVER 206 

 

 

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#20
Posted: 1/21/2010 2:08:12 AM

For those who are following

53-1 before this thread started

7-0 since being posted            60-1 overall record

Pending Series

Washington [D], Detorit [D], Minny[B], Philly[B], Houston[A], Denver[A], Golden State[A]

Games for today

LA Clippers / DENVER[A] OVER 210.5

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#21
Posted: 1/22/2010 11:46:38 AM

For those who are following

53-1 before this thread started

7-0 since being posted            60-1 overall record

Pending Series

Washington [D], Detorit [D], Minny[B], Philly[B], Houston[A], Denver[B], Golden State[A]

Games for today

Miami / WASHINGTON [D]  O 194.5

Indiana / DETROIT [D] O 199

Dallas / PHILLY [B] O 197.5

New Orleans / MINNY [B] O 201

HOUSTON / San Antonio [A] O 191.5

New Jersey / GOLDEN STATE [A] O 216.5

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#22
Posted: 1/23/2010 5:13:16 AM

For those who are following

53-1 before this thread started

9-1 since being posted            62-2 overall record

Picked up a D win and A win last night. Also got our first system loss, since being tracked on here. 1 point away from the push.

Pending Series

Minny[C], Philly[C], Denver[B], Golden State[B], Portland[A], Boston[A]

Games for today

PHILLY[C] / Indiana O 207

MINNY[C] / Milwaukee O 202

New Orleans / DENVER[B] O 208

GOLDEN STATE[B] / Phoenix O 235.5

PORTLAND[A] / Detroit O 184.5

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#23
Posted: 1/23/2010 10:19:18 AM
Thx to your post im up so much.
Keep going

Thx
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#24
Posted: 1/24/2010 4:21:16 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by robwalton:

For those who are following

53-1 before this thread started

9-1 since being posted            62-2 overall record

Picked up a D win and A win last night. Also got our first system loss, since being tracked on here. 1 point away from the push.

Pending Series

Minny[C], Philly[C], Denver[B], Golden State[B], Portland[A], Boston[A]

Games for today

PHILLY[C] / Indiana O 207    Becoming a D bet

MINNY[C] / Milwaukee O 202  

New Orleans / DENVER[B] O 208 

GOLDEN STATE[B] / Phoenix O 235.5

PORTLAND[A] / Detroit O 184.5

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#25
Posted: 1/24/2010 4:27:54 AM

Just ignore the last post hit the wrong button

For those who are following

53-1 before this thread started

12-1 since being posted            65-2 overall record

Picked up 3 more series wins last night. Have Philly becoming a D bet for Monday night, and also picked up 4 new teams to chase. One of them being Denver again, as we were chasing them last night and they picked up the Over in OT.

Pending Series

Philly[D], Golden State[C], Boston[A], Orlando [A], Charlotte [A], New Orleans [A], Denver [A]

No Games for today

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