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[Systems & Strategies] Topic: NBA OT OVER SYSTEM CHASE |
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robwalton |
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#1 Posted: 1/14/2010 10:49:30 AM Ok this is a 4 game system chase. Pretty straight forward once a game goes in OT, the 2 teams that were involved in the game become's system plays. Does not matter what the Total Line is just play the Over, until you have a win, within the 4 games or a system loss. I have backtracked this to the 07-08 season and here are the results. So far for this season the record is 53-1. 24 A wins, 14 B wins, 10 C wins, 5 D wins and 1 loss. 08-09 record was 128-6 and 07-08 record was 108-12. If you just wanted to play this as a 3 game chase the records are 48-6 for this year 118-16 for 08-09 and 101-19 for 07-08. I also have all the numbers for the Under also.
What do you guys think, think this can work??? |
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sahlsa |
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#2 Posted: 1/14/2010 1:05:41 PM
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jbrent95 |
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#3 Posted: 1/14/2010 1:14:43 PM
Just looking at the numbers that you provided:
4-game chase
09-10: 51-1 (+35.55 units)
08-09: 128-6 (+17.31 units)
07-08: 108-12 (-113.38 units)
3-game chase
09-10: 48-6 (-1.57 units)
08-09: 118-16 (-14.18 units)
07-08: 101-19 (-55.96 units)
I don't think that this system will prove viable.
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robwalton |
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#4 Posted: 1/14/2010 3:03:52 PM thanks for the info jbrent, it looked good number wise. sahlsa here are the numbers for the unders. the first set are the 4 game chase then the 3 game chase
09-10 51-3, 08-09 125-9, 07-08 103-7
09-10 50-4, 08-09 114-20, 07-08 106-14 |
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MontanaMax |
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#5 Posted: 1/14/2010 5:15:24 PM
Good stuff here, I like it but................
Its all about money management
Yes I understand the results
But by altering and adjusting the chase scheme's, one could accumulate a lot more units with those same numbers above
Just an opinion here:
To be successful in this business not only do you need to have a solid system or whatever to pick the plays with whatever odds, but the other part of the sandwich is how you utilize you money management with in your wagers to overcome the losses and consistently build units in the long run.
With a little tweaking in how one would chase with this system, there could be some gold here
 ......................
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robwalton |
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#6 Posted: 1/14/2010 10:32:52 PM |
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MontanaMax |
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#7 Posted: 1/15/2010 4:16:47 AM
This or any other variation of chasing which are out there too could help make up for those lost units
Brought to us by a fellow soldier in arms fighting the good fight against the odds makers
http://platinumsportsinvesting.com/labourchere.aspx.
Now for a season's length the odds will be on our side
Only if one were racing in the marathon and not a sprint
"The price is wrong......... Bob"
Extra points to where that quote's from
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sahlsa |
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#8 Posted: 1/15/2010 1:39:41 PM
And how did D, E and F end ?
I must admit it is hard to see why an OT-match should result in either Under or Over matches in the next couple of games. It also seems like the stats support this.
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robwalton |
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#9 Posted: 1/15/2010 8:10:45 PM I am just going to keep track of this on here, just follow along if you want
Teams we are chasing are San Antonio, Oklahoma, Minny, Houston and there all in action tonight.
SAN ANTONIO/Charlotte OVER 188.5
MINNY/Memphis OVER 209.5
OKLAHOMA/Dallas OVER 196.5
Miami/HOUSTON OVER 193.5
Remember the total line does not matter with this. I will post the Total Lines that I got when I placed the bet on these games. When i did the backtracking I never looked at the Total line, I just looked for O or a U in the past results. |
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sahlsa |
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#10 Posted: 1/16/2010 11:12:39 AM
Would be interesting to see more details about the other seasons to see if there is a system or not.
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robwalton |
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#11 Posted: 1/16/2010 11:29:34 AM |
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robwalton |
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#12 Posted: 1/16/2010 11:41:58 AM For thos who are following
53-1 before this thread started
3-0 since being posted
Pending Series
San Antonio [B], Washington [A], Chicago [A], New Orleans [A] Detorit [A]
Games for today
Sacramento/WASHINGTON OVER 209
NEW ORLEANS/Indiana OVER 209
New York/DETROIT OVER 194
SAN ANTONIO/Memphis OVER 201 |
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sahlsa |
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#13 Posted: 1/16/2010 12:05:04 PM
No doubt that 53-1 this season looks good, but you could end up with a season like 07/08, so what you need to do is to look at the games that lost and spot if there is anything that makes those games special, so you can filter them away.
Otherwise you might as well just pick a couple of games each day and flip a coin for Over and Under.
Are the games that lost, won within the next 3 games (D, E and F) ?
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MontanaMax |
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#14 Posted: 1/16/2010 2:39:21 PM
I understand what your trying to say but...........
Say until there could be some filters derived, wise conservative MM can hedge against any big losses while still accumulating units.
Also like smitler...........
The un and ov could be played to chase both sides based from above results
Too much???
Ahhh...............
I may look to hop on next week or so
Just gotta move some mountains real quick
Thanks Rob
Canada really needs your squad to get their weight up
Can't wait, it'll be great for the sport
 ...................
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robwalton |
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#15 Posted: 1/18/2010 1:46:09 PM For thos who are following
53-1 before this thread started
3-0 since being posted
Pending Series
San Antonio [C], Washington [B], Chicago [A], New Orleans [B] Detorit [B]
Games for today
CHICAGO[B]/Golden state OVER 215
SAN ANTONIO[C]/NEW ORLEANS[B] OVER 188.5
Portland/WASHINGTON[B] OVER193.5
DETROIT[B]/New york OVER 191 |
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lighter |
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#16 Posted: 1/20/2010 12:30:42 AM 3-4 |
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robwalton |
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#17 Posted: 1/20/2010 5:26:52 PM For thos who are following
53-1 before this thread started
3-0 since being posted
Pending Series
San Antonio [D], Washington [C], New Orleans [C], Detorit [C], Chicago[B], Minny[A], Philly[A], Houston[A], Milwaukee[A]
Games for today
Utah/SAN ANTONIO [D] OVER 193
Dallas/WASHINGTON [C] OVER 198
Memphis/ NEW ORLEANS [C] OVER 203.5
Boston/ DETROIT [C] OVER 187
CHICAGO [B]/ LA Clippers OVER 194.5
Olkahoma/ MINNESOTA [A] OVER 199.5
Portland/ PHILADELPHIA [A] OVER 194.5
Toronto/ MILWAUKEE [A] OVER 206
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jrazz75 |
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#18 Posted: 1/20/2010 10:32:25 PM
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robwalton |
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#19 Posted: 1/21/2010 2:03:13 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by robwalton:
For thos who are following
53-1 before this thread started
3-0 since being posted
Pending Series
San Antonio [D], Washington [C], New Orleans [C], Detorit [C], Chicago[B], Minny[A], Philly[A], Houston[A], Milwaukee[A]
Games for today
Utah/SAN ANTONIO [D] OVER 193 
Dallas/WASHINGTON [C] OVER 198 
Memphis/ NEW ORLEANS [C] OVER 203.5
Boston/ DETROIT [C] OVER 187
CHICAGO [B]/ LA Clippers OVER 194.5
Olkahoma/ MINNESOTA [A] OVER 199.5
Portland/ PHILADELPHIA [A] OVER 194.5
Toronto/ MILWAUKEE [A] OVER 206
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robwalton |
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#20 Posted: 1/21/2010 2:08:12 AM For those who are following
53-1 before this thread started
7-0 since being posted 60-1 overall record
Pending Series
Washington [D], Detorit [D], Minny[B], Philly[B], Houston[A], Denver[A], Golden State[A]
Games for today
LA Clippers / DENVER[A] OVER 210.5 |
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robwalton |
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#21 Posted: 1/22/2010 11:46:38 AM For those who are following
53-1 before this thread started
7-0 since being posted 60-1 overall record
Pending Series
Washington [D], Detorit [D], Minny[B], Philly[B], Houston[A], Denver[B], Golden State[A]
Games for today
Miami / WASHINGTON [D] O 194.5
Indiana / DETROIT [D] O 199
Dallas / PHILLY [B] O 197.5
New Orleans / MINNY [B] O 201
HOUSTON / San Antonio [A] O 191.5
New Jersey / GOLDEN STATE [A] O 216.5 |
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robwalton |
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#22 Posted: 1/23/2010 5:13:16 AM For those who are following
53-1 before this thread started
9-1 since being posted 62-2 overall record
Picked up a D win and A win last night. Also got our first system loss, since being tracked on here. 1 point away from the push.
Pending Series
Minny[C], Philly[C], Denver[B], Golden State[B], Portland[A], Boston[A]
Games for today
PHILLY[C] / Indiana O 207
MINNY[C] / Milwaukee O 202
New Orleans / DENVER[B] O 208
GOLDEN STATE[B] / Phoenix O 235.5
PORTLAND[A] / Detroit O 184.5 |
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HotShotPicks |
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#23 Posted: 1/23/2010 10:19:18 AM
Keep going
Thx
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robwalton |
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#24 Posted: 1/24/2010 4:21:16 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by robwalton:
For those who are following
53-1 before this thread started
9-1 since being posted 62-2 overall record
Picked up a D win and A win last night. Also got our first system loss, since being tracked on here. 1 point away from the push.
Pending Series
Minny[C], Philly[C], Denver[B], Golden State[B], Portland[A], Boston[A]
Games for today
PHILLY[C] / Indiana O 207 Becoming a D bet
MINNY[C] / Milwaukee O 202
New Orleans / DENVER[B] O 208
GOLDEN STATE[B] / Phoenix O 235.5
PORTLAND[A] / Detroit O 184.5 |
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robwalton |
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#25 Posted: 1/24/2010 4:27:54 AM Just ignore the last post hit the wrong button
For those who are following
53-1 before this thread started
12-1 since being posted 65-2 overall record
Picked up 3 more series wins last night. Have Philly becoming a D bet for Monday night, and also picked up 4 new teams to chase. One of them being Denver again, as we were chasing them last night and they picked up the Over in OT.
Pending Series
Philly[D], Golden State[C], Boston[A], Orlando [A], Charlotte [A], New Orleans [A], Denver [A]
No Games for today |
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