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Author: [Systems & Strategies] Topic: smartmoneylaw system
jerm73 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
jerm73
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#1
Posted: 3/28/2009 10:31:11 AM
Has anyone this system yet? And if so can you break it down for me? I understand it deals with line movements but need a better understanding on when to jump on a line(timing)........
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#2
Posted: 3/29/2009 8:47:47 AM
Bump. Anyone?
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Vinko send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BetDSI |
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#3
Posted: 3/29/2009 1:03:59 PM
Hi Jerm,
 
  I can send it to you if I still have it on the comp.
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#4
Posted: 3/29/2009 3:01:27 PM
Has nothing to do with line movements.  The system is basically targeting specific high chalk plays with an average line of between -170 & -220.  It only makes sense that you'll win a high percentage of these plays.  Don't need a "system" figure that one out.  Save your money.
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#5
Posted: 3/29/2009 6:49:20 PM

Thanks guys, Vinko could you please if you still have it? ...... thnx in advance

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#6
Posted: 3/30/2009 11:22:23 AM
prof8t could you please elaborate as to what qualifies as specific high chalk plays? Thank you
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#7
Posted: 3/30/2009 3:44:23 PM
High chalk = money lines that are higher than -160.  in this case -170 to -215.
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#8
Posted: 3/30/2009 4:42:16 PM
Thank you, using this method would you blindly bet all events between -170 and -215 or does some capping still need to be done here? Any additional info would be helpful, you did mention that Specific Targeted high chalk plays were involved, how are they determined? Thnx.....
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#9
Posted: 3/30/2009 10:30:29 PM
it takes the biggest difference between the underdog and the favorite when you subtract the odds. I did notice the author claims a 91% winning percentage, but I think he was smoking some really good stuff when he came up with that. However, the system as I've seen can pull off some decent winning percentages but at a price. I've used this system to help me with soccer bets in which using some research from www.football-data.co.uk/data the past four seasons including this season has recorded right around a winning percentage of 70% consistantly every year. The price is the heave juice which is between -150 - -200 for Soccer even when weighing three possible outcomes (W-L-Draw). However, winning 70% on three possibilities I still think is pretty good. The bad news is the lack of action based off of only going with the highest odds and each team in soccer only play a game a week. But, this is overcome by using the other various soccer leagues such as th Spanish league and the Italian league. I have no clue on it's success in any of our domestic sports due to the lack of information available. I chose to go with soccer because of the wide availability of information which is contained all in one spreadsheet for an entire season per league. It was relatively easy to conduct various research with an entire season results with the posted odds al staring at me in the spread sheet. Hope this help on it's understanding. It's a good thought but if you straight wagered the system even with winning 70% you would undoubtedly only break even.
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#10
Posted: 3/31/2009 7:22:31 AM
As racinivan stated, the system targets the biggest difference between the underdog and the favorite within a specific range.  The system can be used in each sport, however, it is designed to find the best bet across a number of sports. I have used it for soccer, tennis, and golf with success, however, I believe that you could probably pick out a few high chalk games at random and get the same results.
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#11
Posted: 3/31/2009 10:57:19 AM
Thank you gentlemen, it does seem like you would need to hit at 70%+ to be a profitable vehicle, will look into it further.
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lokg2getevn send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes |
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#12
Posted: 4/4/2009 12:41:52 PM
jerm73 or vinko, could I get a copy of this if you still have it? Was trying to do more research on it but not much about it on the internet. It comes up as one of the most popular on clickbank under sports picks. Thanks.
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#13
Posted: 4/4/2009 3:06:40 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by racinivan:

it takes the biggest difference between the underdog and the favorite when you subtract the odds. I did notice the author claims a 91% winning percentage, but I think he was smoking some really good stuff when he came up with that. However, the system as I've seen can pull off some decent winning percentages but at a price. I've used this system to help me with soccer bets in which using some research from www.football-data.co.uk/data the past four seasons including this season has recorded right around a winning percentage of 70% consistantly every year. The price is the heave juice which is between -150 - -200 for Soccer even when weighing three possible outcomes (W-L-Draw). However, winning 70% on three possibilities I still think is pretty good. The bad news is the lack of action based off of only going with the highest odds and each team in soccer only play a game a week. But, this is overcome by using the other various soccer leagues such as th Spanish league and the Italian league. I have no clue on it's success in any of our domestic sports due to the lack of information available. I chose to go with soccer because of the wide availability of information which is contained all in one spreadsheet for an entire season per league. It was relatively easy to conduct various research with an entire season results with the posted odds al staring at me in the spread sheet. Hope this help on it's understanding. It's a good thought but if you straight wagered the system even with winning 70% you would undoubtedly only break even.


The biggest difference between the underdog and the favourite   when you subtract the odds 

That would seem to be the highest favourite of the day that is under -226 is that how is works?
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#14
Posted: 4/4/2009 4:15:16 PM
Pretty much
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#15
Posted: 4/4/2009 8:23:54 PM
I have seen decent results whenyou top off at below -200. I tested the system out with baseball for the 2008 season based off of wagerline.com's lines and it went 101-51 straight up. If you flat bet to win $100 every day of the season stopping in September for the 2008 season you would have been +$1300 for the season. However, I believe it makes better money with the various soccer leagues. The longest losing streak for the 08 baseball season was 3 games and for the top soccer leagues was 2 games. The only thing that I have not test was the biggest spread of all sports per day. Overall, the system does have potential, however it's the juice that kills the system. This system is equivelent to hitting 56% at -110 which is barely making profit. So, if you know a money management for high juice systems you may make this system worth while. This system will work well with positive progression money management systems which is not a chase system. Any chase system will fail here except for one that I know of. So, you have now saved yourself about $50 so enjoy the information you have just recieved. Which is nothing spectacular.
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biblos send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Paddy Power |
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#16
Posted: 1/24/2012 8:44:07 AM
Hello , can someone of you send me this system in exchange of mine good 3?  ste.castels@gmail.com        I'm from Italy....sorry my english
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#17
Posted: 1/24/2012 8:45:09 AM
I only understood that need to chose a bet to -170  -200...is exact?
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