Away:  N.Y. Jets [4-8-1 ATS]
Home:  New England [10-3 ATS]

Game Time: 1:00 PM
Stadium: Gillette Stadium

Recent Meetings:
09/09/07 - NE 38 vs. NYJ 14

Team Leaders:

N.Y. Jets:
Passing: Kellen Clemens (1414)
Rushing: Thomas Jones (944)
Receiving: Jerricho Cotchery (848)

New England:
Passing: Tom Brady (4095)
Rushing: Laurence Maroney (529)
Receiving: Randy Moss (1264)

More:
Live Odds
In-Depth Matchup Information
Consensus Betting Information

THERE IS THE POTENTIAL FOR A POWERFUL NOREASTER SATURDAY NIGHT AND
SUNDAY. HOWEVER...THIS STORM IS 5 DAYS INTO THE FUTURE SO CONFIDENCE
ON TRACK AND EXACT PRECIPITATION TYPE IS LOW. HOWEVER...THIS STORM
HAS THE POTENTIAL TO BRING HEAVY SNOW...SLEET AND RAIN TO THE REGION
ALONG WITH STRONG WINDS...

Did the Jets spy on the Patriots, too?

Quote Originally Posted by CMJohnson1:

It won't be snowing ON Sunday, it will be snowing Saturday night and fading out in the morning as of right now.  The obvious play here is to wait up until Sunday at about 12:58 and make the play.  The biggest factor for me is how tough the Pats D plays.  We all know that Brady and the offense are going to put up points, but is the final going to be 41-7 or 41-17?  No matter what they all say in front of the camera for the media they want to absolutely murder the Jets this week.  They aren't playing for anything in the standings, they are pretty much only playing to prove a point.  That point is that the NFL was way too harsh in their punishment with the 1st rounder and $500k.  Damn tough choice here but I think the play is New England -24 and UNDER 47...will probably flip flop 9 more times before then

 

 

New England 38

Jets 6

I agree re: the weather. Just saw a report, majority of the storm is going to start Saturday at midnight and stop around gametime. Now of course, there is no way to determine how the field is going to hold up , so keep an eye on it. I don't think lose anything by waiting.

However I do have to disagree with one thing you said, the Pats are playing for home field advantage, they haven't clinched that yet.

BUT, I do agree that the defense is going to be the one that determines the spread. You might also start to see players taking it easy if they have a big lead because no one wants to get hurt now.

Here's a tip for when you think Vegas is right and the game will go as they say.  If you're betting online and your book has adjusted lines, then bet on both the adjusted lines.  You can do it for the spread or the over/under.

For example, for Denver@Houston, I have the spread at DEN -2 and the total at 47.  This means the score would be:

DEN 24.5
HOU 22.5

If you think the spread is accurate, then bet on HOU +7.5 and DEN +3.5:

HOU +7½
Risking:$100.00 To Win:$37.77

DEN +3½
Risking:$100.00 To Win:$44.44

If the game stays close and both bets win, you win $82.  You aren't really risking $200, though because
it is impossible for both of these to lose, but if one of them loses, you lose the bet.  Depending on which loses, you lose $62 or $56.

If you think the total is accurate, then bet on the high under and the low over:

TOTAL (DEN/HOU) u57½
Risking:$100.00 To Win:$25.00

TOTAL (DEN/HOU) o37½
Risking:$100.00 To Win:$25.00

So you have a 20-point range of victory that wins you $50. Again, it is impossible for both to lose, but if either loses, you lose $75.

The amount the spread/total is adjusted and the payouts change quite a bit from game to game so these numbers aren't accurate for every game but they are in the ballpark.

I remember at some point last year seeing the headline:  Think you know football?  Vegas does.  To this point in the season, there have been 100 overs, 99 unders, and 9 pushes.

So if they can be that accurate, try betting with them sometimes.  Good luck.