Posted: 10/26/2012 12:03:21 PM
I looked long and hard at this matchup and I really struggled to find anything good to say about either one of these teams. That being said, my inner wise guy likes the Chiefs and it likes them a lot!!
As I mentioned, both of these teams sit at the bottom of the pack in the AFC. The AFC West is clearly a 2-horse race between San Diego and Denver. The Raiders needed overtime to beat the Jacksonville Jaguars at home last week. In that game, the Jags lost MJD in the 1st quarter and their starting quarterback also got hurt. The Raiders have some serious explaining to do as to why they let the Jags hang arounf in that game.
And now for KC....I can't really find anything productive to say. I think Romeo Crennel is a bad coach. Their defense is giving up about 30 points a game and Romeo's specialty is supposed to be defense. Brady Quinn looked awful on the road at Tampa prior to their bye. But I think we are starting to learn that Tampa is probably a lot better team than we thought. Needless to say, the Chiefs are coming off a bye week in which both the coaches and players probably did a lot of soul searching after that blow out loss.
Now in come the Oakland Raiders led by Carson Palmer. Below are Carson Palmers numbers against the Chiefs last year:
1st game (at Oakand): 8/21, 116 yards, 0 TDs, 3 Interceptions (Chiefs won that game 28-0).
2nd game (at KC): 16/26, 237 yards, 1 TD, 2 Interceptions (Raiders win in OT on a Janikowski fg 16-13).
As you can see, Palmer hasn't had great success against this unit. Its now week 8 and the Chiefs have yet to win a home game. In weeks 9 and 10, the Chiefs will be on the road at San Diego and then at Pittsburgh for a Monday Night game. The Chiefs need a win under their belt in the worst possible way, and are not going to want to start the road trip by losing at home to the Raiders.
Again, I agree with most of you that both these teams are at the bottom of the pack in the AFC, so its tough to have conviction on either one. But I think if you place any value on situational betting, than you have to like the Chiefs in this game. I worry about their offense putting up points, but with Brady Quinn having an extra bye week to have starts with the first team, I think they will get the job done & get their first home win.
take the Chiefs laying only 2