Daytona: PASS
Phoenix: -1.50 units
Vegas: +1.77 units
Bristol: +13.05 units
California: +6.10 units
Martinsville: -1.75 units
Texas: -9.46 units

Total : +8.21 units

That last caution took its toll on my plays last week. Hope to get back on track today.


1.50 units Carl Edwards (+135)
over Matt Kenseth
Good value on what should be a tight match-up

1.50 units Ryan Newman (-105) over Joey Logano
Newman should flirt with the Top 10...Logano and Penske have a lot of adversity to overcome, might be asking a lot to expect more than a Top 20

1.50 units Kevin Harvick (-130) over Jeff Gordon
Harvick has been a consistent Top 12 or 13 and could do a little better than that today.....Gordon and that team looks to be a mess this weekend

1.50 units Aric Almirola (+110) over Jamie McMurray
I'm liking the 43 as a darkhorse today, should be Top 10 for the 2nd week in a row

1.50 units Clint Bowyer (-125) over Tony Stewart
More of a play against Smoke than anything, these guys just can't get their arms around this Gen 6 car


2.00 units Carl Edwards (+165)
Top 5
Could win this thing

2.00 units Kyle Busch (+100) under 5.5
Not a good track history-wise for Kyle but don't think that means much for this race. KB is streaking right now.

1.50 units Martin Truex (-125) under 8.5
1.50 units Greg Biffle (-125) under 7.5
Have these guys as Top 5 also


0.75 unit Carl Edwards (+950)
0.75 unit Greg Biffle (+850)
0.60 unit Martin Truex (+1000)
0.60 unit Kasey Kahne (+1000)
0.20 unit Aric Almirola (+5500)

Good luck