I have been tracking it throughout all of last season...it is about 62% accurate...and started with it last night. Most nights the mathmatical equation I use will pump out 4 games to wager on at halftime...
Last night, it had 7 games to wager on. I did not want to wager most of my bankroll so I took 5 of the games. Turns out 6/7 hit...(the only one that did not hit was the NM NM state game that went over second half (20 points in the last 2 minutes) over by 4 points.
Too bad that was one of the games I took.
I will be posting plays for those who want to follow along. It is hard to tail being that you have 10 minutes within the break to post/make your plays...but I will try to get my wagers posted.
Good Luck...hopefully it is a smooth transition from College fball to College bball - keep the winners rollin'
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
I have been tracking it throughout all of last season...it is about 62% accurate...and started with it last night. Most nights the mathmatical equation I use will pump out 4 games to wager on at halftime...
Last night, it had 7 games to wager on. I did not want to wager most of my bankroll so I took 5 of the games. Turns out 6/7 hit...(the only one that did not hit was the NM NM state game that went over second half (20 points in the last 2 minutes) over by 4 points.
Too bad that was one of the games I took.
I will be posting plays for those who want to follow along. It is hard to tail being that you have 10 minutes within the break to post/make your plays...but I will try to get my wagers posted.
Good Luck...hopefully it is a smooth transition from College fball to College bball - keep the winners rollin'
capperbacker you should have hit that NM ST under it was the worst moosing I have ever seen......NM ST was dribbling the ball and the game out with like 15 secs and total was at 75 however the player dribbling the ball started celebrating and not paying attention and some idiot on NM stole the ball and made an uncontested layup with 1 sec left to make the total 77...it was terrible....
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capperbacker you should have hit that NM ST under it was the worst moosing I have ever seen......NM ST was dribbling the ball and the game out with like 15 secs and total was at 75 however the player dribbling the ball started celebrating and not paying attention and some idiot on NM stole the ball and made an uncontested layup with 1 sec left to make the total 77...it was terrible....
IS THAT WHAT HAPPENED? I didn't have the game so I was getting updates on my comp...what a lame game. I thought it was strange they would keep fouling under 1 minute down by double digits...
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IS THAT WHAT HAPPENED? I didn't have the game so I was getting updates on my comp...what a lame game. I thought it was strange they would keep fouling under 1 minute down by double digits...
capperbacker you should have hit that NM ST under it was the worst moosing I have ever seen......NM ST was dribbling the ball and the game out with like 15 secs and total was at 75 however the player dribbling the ball started celebrating and not paying attention and some idiot on NM stole the ball and made an uncontested layup with 1 sec left to make the total 77...it was terrible....
Oh man, that's brutal.
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Quote Originally Posted by Apac14:
capperbacker you should have hit that NM ST under it was the worst moosing I have ever seen......NM ST was dribbling the ball and the game out with like 15 secs and total was at 75 however the player dribbling the ball started celebrating and not paying attention and some idiot on NM stole the ball and made an uncontested layup with 1 sec left to make the total 77...it was terrible....
Yeah I'm curious of what the system is as well, because it's either opposite or exactly the same as a system I use.
I actually played the 2nd half over in NM/NMST last night, and yes I got lucky but here is the system I kind of use and I got it from someone else who posted something similar about a month ago:
I trust that the linesmakers know what they are doing. How many times have you asked yourself "how do totals and or spreads land so close to the number soooo often, these guys are amazing". Or how many times have you bet a total and your ass cheeks are clenched the final minutes because it's all over the number? That being said, if the first half of a game is way off the number (either side or total) I play the second half to the side of the linesmakers. Take last night for example: Total was 147 and in the first half they scored only 54 points which is on pace for 108! Are the linesmakers that bad? Second half total came out at 75.5, I played the over based on the fact that I think the linesmakers aren't going to be off more than 17 points on a total too often. Does that makes sense. Now granted, last night I didn't fair well. I played Tenn -9 second half because they were only up 1 at half on a 15 point line. Loser. I played over in K State/ND because the first half pace was well off the total number. Loser. It's not gonna win every night, but I'd much rather be on the side of the people that do this day in and day out than anyone elses. I need to refine it to a percentage below or above the starting line (side or total). If it's close I obviously don't make a play currently. So capperbacker, is my process 100% opposite of yours?
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Yeah I'm curious of what the system is as well, because it's either opposite or exactly the same as a system I use.
I actually played the 2nd half over in NM/NMST last night, and yes I got lucky but here is the system I kind of use and I got it from someone else who posted something similar about a month ago:
I trust that the linesmakers know what they are doing. How many times have you asked yourself "how do totals and or spreads land so close to the number soooo often, these guys are amazing". Or how many times have you bet a total and your ass cheeks are clenched the final minutes because it's all over the number? That being said, if the first half of a game is way off the number (either side or total) I play the second half to the side of the linesmakers. Take last night for example: Total was 147 and in the first half they scored only 54 points which is on pace for 108! Are the linesmakers that bad? Second half total came out at 75.5, I played the over based on the fact that I think the linesmakers aren't going to be off more than 17 points on a total too often. Does that makes sense. Now granted, last night I didn't fair well. I played Tenn -9 second half because they were only up 1 at half on a 15 point line. Loser. I played over in K State/ND because the first half pace was well off the total number. Loser. It's not gonna win every night, but I'd much rather be on the side of the people that do this day in and day out than anyone elses. I need to refine it to a percentage below or above the starting line (side or total). If it's close I obviously don't make a play currently. So capperbacker, is my process 100% opposite of yours?
Yeah I'm curious of what the system is as well, because it's either opposite or exactly the same as a system I use.
I actually played the 2nd half over in NM/NMST last night, and yes I got lucky but here is the system I kind of use and I got it from someone else who posted something similar about a month ago:
I trust that the linesmakers know what they are doing. How many times have you asked yourself "how do totals and or spreads land so close to the number soooo often, these guys are amazing". Or how many times have you bet a total and your ass cheeks are clenched the final minutes because it's all over the number? That being said, if the first half of a game is way off the number (either side or total) I play the second half to the side of the linesmakers. Take last night for example: Total was 147 and in the first half they scored only 54 points which is on pace for 108! Are the linesmakers that bad? Second half total came out at 75.5, I played the over based on the fact that I think the linesmakers aren't going to be off more than 17 points on a total too often. Does that makes sense. Now granted, last night I didn't fair well. I played Tenn -9 second half because they were only up 1 at half on a 15 point line. Loser. I played over in K State/ND because the first half pace was well off the total number. Loser. It's not gonna win every night, but I'd much rather be on the side of the people that do this day in and day out than anyone elses. I need to refine it to a percentage below or above the starting line (side or total). If it's close I obviously don't make a play currently. So capperbacker, is my process 100% opposite of yours?
I wait until @ mid season to make half time plays as the oddsmaker gets very accurate. I agree with you 100% as the oddsmaker will be right on most games but will miss occasionally.
I use the number 10 as a guage. I look for games that are way under in the first half.
Here is an example: opening line is 140. I'll subtract 10 to make it 130. This is the key number because the oddsmaker will be more accurate as the season progresses. Lets say the 2 teams score 60 total in the first half and the 2nd half line is 65. I'll again take the 130 and subtract the 60 points from the 1st half which leaves 70. My number 70 is over the 65 second half line so I play over. Simple.
This "system" or whatever you want to call it is based on the fact that the oddsmaker will be accurate to within 10 points of the original opening line which he usually is.
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Quote Originally Posted by UrdaddyinAZ:
Yeah I'm curious of what the system is as well, because it's either opposite or exactly the same as a system I use.
I actually played the 2nd half over in NM/NMST last night, and yes I got lucky but here is the system I kind of use and I got it from someone else who posted something similar about a month ago:
I trust that the linesmakers know what they are doing. How many times have you asked yourself "how do totals and or spreads land so close to the number soooo often, these guys are amazing". Or how many times have you bet a total and your ass cheeks are clenched the final minutes because it's all over the number? That being said, if the first half of a game is way off the number (either side or total) I play the second half to the side of the linesmakers. Take last night for example: Total was 147 and in the first half they scored only 54 points which is on pace for 108! Are the linesmakers that bad? Second half total came out at 75.5, I played the over based on the fact that I think the linesmakers aren't going to be off more than 17 points on a total too often. Does that makes sense. Now granted, last night I didn't fair well. I played Tenn -9 second half because they were only up 1 at half on a 15 point line. Loser. I played over in K State/ND because the first half pace was well off the total number. Loser. It's not gonna win every night, but I'd much rather be on the side of the people that do this day in and day out than anyone elses. I need to refine it to a percentage below or above the starting line (side or total). If it's close I obviously don't make a play currently. So capperbacker, is my process 100% opposite of yours?
I wait until @ mid season to make half time plays as the oddsmaker gets very accurate. I agree with you 100% as the oddsmaker will be right on most games but will miss occasionally.
I use the number 10 as a guage. I look for games that are way under in the first half.
Here is an example: opening line is 140. I'll subtract 10 to make it 130. This is the key number because the oddsmaker will be more accurate as the season progresses. Lets say the 2 teams score 60 total in the first half and the 2nd half line is 65. I'll again take the 130 and subtract the 60 points from the 1st half which leaves 70. My number 70 is over the 65 second half line so I play over. Simple.
This "system" or whatever you want to call it is based on the fact that the oddsmaker will be accurate to within 10 points of the original opening line which he usually is.
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I have been tracking it throughout all of last season...it is about 62% accurate...and started with it last night. Most nights the mathmatical equation I use will pump out 4 games to wager on at halftime...
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