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Author: [College Basketball] Topic: Sunday 12/30
JFen31
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#1
Posted: 12/30/2012 12:03:09 PM
November: 67-48 (+17.8 units)
December: 50-54 (-2.1 units)
Overall: 117-102 (+15.7 units)


Oh, January, where art thou?

Played this last night. Better number now available on UNI; worse number on UVA.

(Ties win)
Virginia -4/UNI +11 -128 (1.5 units)


Leans:
Loyola +14, Dayton +2.5, UNI ML



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Pasteur
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#2
Posted: 12/30/2012 12:25:20 PM
I feel you on that January comment.  I like both Virginia and UNI to cover today as well, no teaser required 
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#3
Posted: 12/30/2012 12:33:40 PM
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#4
Posted: 12/30/2012 12:38:52 PM
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#5
Posted: 12/30/2012 12:39:35 PM
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#6
Posted: 12/30/2012 1:57:11 PM
i feel dumb for taking Dayton at+1 last night.........i didnt think the line would keep going up on USC....dayton in my mind is much better team here
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JFen31
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#7
Posted: 12/30/2012 2:45:18 PM
Damn, did UVA really need to win by 40? Now I'm gonna have to lay points in my "POY" next Sunday against UNC...


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JFen31
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#8
Posted: 12/30/2012 2:45:44 PM
POY in quotations to illustrate the idiocy of those who use such terms.


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JFen31
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#9
Posted: 12/30/2012 3:02:32 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by indiansrock:

i feel dumb for taking Dayton at+1 last night.........i didnt think the line would keep going up on USC....dayton in my mind is much better team here


UD is much better, but from years of following the A10, this is a game where the Flyers tend to shi* themselves.

From a schematic viewpoint, though, USC should have a lot of trouble with the pack-line. Question is, can Dayton deal with SC's size on the interior?
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JFen31
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#10
Posted: 12/30/2012 3:20:32 PM
Some Monday musings:

-SLU is a BANGER with revenge and a (mostly) healthy Mitchell back in the lineup and UNM coming off of the win over Cincy. Lobos have been on the road for awhile.

-My Hawks aren't winning at the DAC. It just is not happening.

-Gophers are a good team, but Izzo tends to work miracles at the Barn. Serious money line value on Sparty.

-There's absolutely no chance in hell you can lay 14.5 with Temple on NYE and the trip to Kansas on-deck. We start drinking early in Philly. There will be more security personnel than fans.

-Normally love home dogs, but not sure Iowa is ready for primetime. Only way to beat Indiana is to force them into a halfcourt game, and that is not something Iowa can or will do.

-If North Texas is ever going to show up, you have to assume it will be tomorrow against the co-preseason favorite.

-I'm buying stock in Iona, but no chance I bet against the Bonnies at home. Pace will be super fast. The whole town of Olean will close around noon and the place will be packed. Everyone hammered by tip-off.

-Is Angel Rodriguez back for KState? If not, 'Cats are prime fade material again. McGruder cannot facilitate for himself.

-CCSU has no size or depth, but they have the weapons to beat the 'Cuse zone. First half play or nothing.

-Rough spot for Harvard. Win as DD dogs at Cal and now zip over to Moraga for another high-level opponent. Not sure they can knock down enough shots to hang. Gaels have a ton more size on the wing to defend Saunders. Only plus for Hahvadh is that the students still aren't back.

-NC State will score 100. And give up 85+. Total needs to be at least 165 to keep me away from the over.




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#11
Posted: 12/30/2012 3:44:48 PM
Thoughts on Uni? Thanks bro
Posted using a mobile device.
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#12
Posted: 12/30/2012 3:53:39 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by JFen31:

Some Monday musings:

-SLU is a BANGER with revenge and a (mostly) healthy Mitchell back in the lineup and UNM coming off of the win over Cincy. Lobos have been on the road for awhile.

-My Hawks aren't winning at the DAC. It just is not happening.

-Gophers are a good team, but Izzo tends to work miracles at the Barn. Serious money line value on Sparty.

-There's absolutely no chance in hell you can lay 14.5 with Temple on NYE and the trip to Kansas on-deck. We start drinking early in Philly. There will be more security personnel than fans.

-Normally love home dogs, but not sure Iowa is ready for primetime. Only way to beat Indiana is to force them into a halfcourt game, and that is not something Iowa can or will do.

-If North Texas is ever going to show up, you have to assume it will be tomorrow against the co-preseason favorite.

-I'm buying stock in Iona, but no chance I bet against the Bonnies at home. Pace will be super fast. The whole town of Olean will close around noon and the place will be packed. Everyone hammered by tip-off.

-Is Angel Rodriguez back for KState? If not, 'Cats are prime fade material again. McGruder cannot facilitate for himself.

-CCSU has no size or depth, but they have the weapons to beat the 'Cuse zone. First half play or nothing.

-Rough spot for Harvard. Win as DD dogs at Cal and now zip over to Moraga for another high-level opponent. Not sure they can knock down enough shots to hang. Gaels have a ton more size on the wing to defend Saunders. Only plus for Hahvadh is that the students still aren't back.

-NC State will score 100. And give up 85+. Total needs to be at least 165 to keep me away from the over.






Any thoughts on Cincy/Pitt or Zaga/OKST



Fen
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#13
Posted: 12/30/2012 3:53:54 PM
Added value with "inflated line" since Owls also coming off win vs Cuse in last game. That one jumped off page to me and already locked it in (can't see line going anywhere but down)
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#14
Posted: 12/30/2012 3:54:02 PM
The bars open at 9 am in Olean.  
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#15
Posted: 12/30/2012 4:44:19 PM
Any thoughts on Pitt laying 6 against Cincy?

Adams/Zanna should have a huge advantage inside. 
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JFen31
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#16
Posted: 12/30/2012 5:48:05 PM
posting from phone. Played uni plus 7.5 and ml 290 for a unit each. also played loyola plus 14.5 for a unit. pass on dayton. gl
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#17
Posted: 12/30/2012 10:33:40 PM
I might have to put UNI on my blacklist.  They're almost as inconsistent as UMass.
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JFen31
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#18
Posted: 12/31/2012 12:20:02 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Pasteur:

I might have to put UNI on my blacklist.  They're almost as inconsistent as UMass.


Full disclose, I haven't had a chance to watch the a*skicking from earlier tonight, but I freakin' LOVE this UNI team. Too much. But Wichita has proven to be a bad matchup for them over the last few years, and I must concede that Gregg Marshall is the second-best coach in the country.


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JFen31
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#19
Posted: 12/31/2012 12:22:45 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TurnstoneMoney:

Any thoughts on Pitt laying 6 against Cincy?

Adams/Zanna should have a huge advantage inside. 


Might tease Pitt to get it at a PK but really wish the Oakland Zoo was fully present to create some atmosphere. Obviously Cincy was a bit overranked and I happily faded them against New Mexico. When Kilpatrick isn't hitting shots consistently, the offense becomes really stagnant. Pitt should have a big advantage on the glass, though I'm very concerned about the poor schedule Pitt has to played to this point. Definitely not comfortable laying the points in such an ugly game, but am confident in saying Pitt pulls it out just based on having more weapons with which to work.


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#20
Posted: 12/31/2012 12:29:31 AM
JFen, since you're someone that likes to look for spots, which I think is very important in college hoops, do you think I'm nuts for going with Rider tomorrow?  They're playing back to back roadies but I just can't see Delaware blowing them out...
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#21
Posted: 12/31/2012 12:52:24 AM
Yeah I'm gonna just lay off Rider.  They don't have much in terms of rebounding...easy scratch.
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#22
Posted: 12/31/2012 11:56:08 AM
This is a ridiculous line in my opinion on the Gopher game. If Mich St. truely is a top 20 team and has played a far superior schedule to that of Minn. this line is about 3 - 4 points to high. With that being said I agree Izzo has done magic in the barn and everything points to Mich St. However if this is going to be a upstart Minn team they need to win and convinceably. I dont like the line and feel it is begging you to play Mich St. and will not buy into that. Gophers by double digits.
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#23
Posted: 12/31/2012 12:00:51 PM
Heads up on O state game..big bad boone bought out around 4,000 tickets and gave them away...house will be packed
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JFen31
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#24
Posted: 12/31/2012 12:23:45 PM
Fellas, I'm on my way back to Philly for the SJU/Drexel game and can't get any thoughts out right now. Wanted to play SLU at -3 but that is clearly not going to happen.

12/31 Current Card
SLU/Indiana ML -105 (2 units)
Michigan State +6 (1 unit)
Drexel +2 (1 unit)
CCSU 1H +15.5 (1 unit)
OK State -2 (1 unit)


Might add somethin' later.

#THWND

Good luck, everyone.


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#25
Posted: 12/31/2012 1:30:58 PM
JFen, if you get a chance...how do you feel about NC state over 165 that you mentioned yesterday.  I booked it at 166 (-105) for a unit parlayed with Pitt ML...thought about adding more and wanted your thoughts on that over....thanks man!
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