|Haven't posted here in a while as I've been posting my plays elsewhere. Can't mention where b/c it would likely get me boxed again and that's a road not worth going down...
Posted: 11/30/2012 12:40:43 PM
Anyways, I'm back because I often get asked for analysis of my plays and rather than answer questions one by one I figured this would be the place to share my insight. So here we go...
South Florida -3.5
I just don't see it for Georgia tonight. This is a team that hasn't topped 60 points in any of their last 5 games, and a trip to Tampa to take on South Florida certainly shouldn't do anything to help a team already badly struggling to score. The Bulldogs are led by athletic swing man Kentavious Caldwell-Pope. Pope is a solid player and can do most things pretty well, problem for him is one thing he can't do, shoot. Pope is shooting 36.4% from the field on the season, on the heels of 39% shooting from the field last year as a Freshman. The numbers don't lie, he can't shoot. Don't tell him that though, as he attempts nearly twice as many shots as anyone else on the team. Against a tough defense like USF with plenty of length to throw at him this wreaks of a 4 for 14 type of night for Pope. When your star player has a night like that it's very tough to hang in on the road with a team like South Florida. As if Pope's struggles shooting the ball weren't enough, it's also worth mentioning that 3 of Georgia's other 4 top scorers shoot at 39%, 34%, and 34% respectively. Take a team that can't shoot, send them on the road against a very good defensive team, slow the pace of the game, and you've got a recipe for disaster. Frankly I don't know if Georgia even reaches 50 points tonight.
As far as South Florida goes on offense I certainly won't paint them to be some offensive juggernaut. They are a slow it down, grind it out type of team. What works in their favor is they don't have a ball hog like Pope ruining the offense. In fact no South Florida player even averages double figure field goal attempts, which for their type of style is a good thing. Forward Toarlyn Fitzpatrick leads the way for the Bulls averaging 13 points a game on a very respectable 50% from the field and 40% from 3 point lead. In addition to Fitzpatrick Guards Jowanza Poland and Shaun Noriega each shoot 37% from 3 point land. Simply put, they have more efficient scoring options than Georgia does.
At the end of the day what we likely have here is a slow paced game that'll make your eyes bleed. Just expecting Georgia to be a bit uglier than USF.
South Florida 58
maybe a few more to come... still digging