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Author: [College Basketball] Topic: Sloop Tuesday
sloop703 send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BookMaker |
sloop703
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#1
Posted: 11/12/2012 10:00:40 PM
5-1

0-1 Monday after getting a little trigger happy w/ Georgia in-game.

I have strong lean on Lobos, but don't want to deal with 2AM game. Also have Steelers -2.5 as last leg of my teaser and Chiefs +14 side that might hit a nice middle for me

Northeastern +10
Temple -3.5
Houston -1
also like USC

Work is seriously killing my capping time. Sorry for lack of write-ups

Like Northeastern tomorrow. Young Huskies put on a so-so season in CAA last year, but return 4 best players from last yr's team. They lost to Princeton by 9 last year on their home floor, so they're playing a familiar opponent. Princeton was 4th in Ivy in terms of tempo, but still relatively slow at 266th in adjusted tempo. Northeastern wasn't far off at 245th. (Slow pace helps cover a big #; less possessions.) NE only lost 3 games by >10 points after 12/22/2011 last year after starting the season 3-7 on a brutal non-conference schedule. Also potential look-aheads for Princeton w/ Rutgers and Syracuse on deck w/in following week...? NE also had extra day to prep, but I'm not putting any emphasis on a spot play here.

Breaks my heart to see Temple w/out Fernandez and Moore but the reality is they've still got plenty of pieces. Might take time to gel but I think Wyatt & Hollis-Jefferson will step up and others will step in. Easy for me to lay the chalk here against a Kent State team with 4 freshman, 5 sophs, 3 transfers; only 2 players who saw significant minutes. Esp. after they already played Friday in a big overachieving win over Drexel in OT. Fran Dunphy is one of my favorite coaches --- very, Very good at getting his team prepped and composed on the road. 

Not really fading San Jose St., as bad as they are. They actually have a decently-touted recruiting class. But Houston really showed some sparkle to close the year last year and I think they will surprise in C-USA.

Lean FAU +5.5
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#2
Posted: 11/12/2012 10:23:39 PM
thx good luck
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#3
Posted: 11/12/2012 10:33:55 PM
Just a word of caution sloop, Jonathon Lee is OUT tomorrow with a foot injury for Northeastern

GL
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#4
Posted: 11/12/2012 10:49:41 PM


Same read on the Temple game. Veteran team versus a young team coming off a big win for them.
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#5
Posted: 11/12/2012 10:58:10 PM
bol this year sloop
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#6
Posted: 11/13/2012 6:37:02 AM
Yeah good point Riccio. Lee averaged 15 a game last year, he's a senior and a very capable scorer. I'm letting this ride; if be more concerned if a big man was out considering pr
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#7
Posted: 11/13/2012 6:38:05 AM
(Sorry).....princeton's freakish height
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#8
Posted: 11/13/2012 6:47:45 AM
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#9
Posted: 11/13/2012 6:48:09 AM
What U think of the Umass/Harvard game??
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#10
Posted: 11/13/2012 6:49:15 AM
LB state is a solid team
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#11
Posted: 11/13/2012 8:48:57 AM
sloop you locked in those bets?

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#12
Posted: 11/13/2012 6:33:13 PM
Sorry guys just leaving work. Yes, I lock in all bets before I post. Was able to catch a bit of the temple game today
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#13
Posted: 11/13/2012 6:45:43 PM
Quanza - lbsu might be ok by big west standards w ennis and caffey but still lost too much this yr to compete at high lvl

Had no feel on umass game. Don't like laying big numbers to start season
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#14
Posted: 11/13/2012 6:49:05 PM
...on favorites bc is hard to know where both teams stand ESP w ivy basketball which I don't have good feel on other than a few select teams. But I like umass have watched them a lot think they will finish top 3 a 10
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#15
Posted: 11/13/2012 6:59:28 PM
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#16
Posted: 11/13/2012 7:06:33 PM
how much would u lay with USC? Seeing -8.5 right now. still a play?
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#17
Posted: 11/13/2012 7:48:15 PM
No way on USC...all value lost...saw this opened at 5.5 on BOL last night but must have climbed...ESP w the slow pace of USC and their frequent tendenxy to disappear...no thank u...beach will try to run but USC won't let it happen...I'd lean beach at that #... I think there will be buyback on this to be honest
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#18
Posted: 11/13/2012 7:56:47 PM
Was there a line on Miami game? If anyone can get it id take Miami 2h in a second regardless of way game is going. ESP on Miami....VERY streaky team prone to this
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#19
Posted: 11/13/2012 8:22:08 PM
Duke -4
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#20
Posted: 11/13/2012 8:55:59 PM
Northeastern +10
Temple -3.5
Houston -1
Duke -4

Games like Houston -1 I will look to avoid this season. I was victimized by this exact type of short road favorite last year; frequently found myself head scratching but always came back for more. I prefer siding with Vegas whenever possible, and these are the types of games they clean house on. I would have avoided this, but I believe I have a good read on Houston right now and am trusting my instinct.
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#21
Posted: 11/14/2012 12:10:09 AM
Northeastern +10
Temple -3.5
Houston -1
Duke -4

9-1 overall

*kerploop*

likely off on wednesday. like i said...i will be cutting back significantly on volume this year. forcing nothing

just a note...streaks will come and go...i will get cold...ive hit 13 of my last 14 basketball plays including nba (6-3 overall) and 49-36 since week 3 of NFL (55-49 overall)....this is not sustainable...there will be 300+ plays in college this year...so this little "streak" is nothing to get excited about and just a speck...but i feel good and it is step in right direction

feeling sorry for anyone who had houston -2. quite the moose
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#22
Posted: 11/14/2012 12:10:49 AM
also, i really hate this lack of avatar
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