| Author: |
[College Basketball] Topic: Saturday Hoops |
|
nropp11 |
RSI   View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: Pinnacle Sports | |
Captain
Joined: May 2006
Posts: 7920
Location: United States |
#1 Posted: 3/24/2012 8:37:54 AM November: 46-38, +5.20 November Leans: 39-38 December: 65-70, -9.45 December Leans: 67-79 January: 52-39, +15.80 January Leans: 40-37 February: 63-44, +65.90 February Leans: 56-49 March: 62-43, +84.35 March Leans: 39-37
Just some leans today, and one important note. These two teams play some good defense, and both look to play pretty slow as well. With Mercer, I've commented on how their size at the guard position and size in general really forces other teams to work the ball and take difficult shots. Their coming off an upset victory at Old Dominion where they scored well over a point per possession having scored 79 points, but it's a bit misleading b/c ODU really had to change the style at the last minute as Bazemore was arrested during warmups. The game still only hit 63 possessions. As for Fairfield, I think they're in for a struggle today. They aren't the most talented team offensively and now they enter this game without Needham of course, and the other PG on the roster in Wade just broke his hand and is done for the season. Those two players both rank nationally in assist percentage, and combined they assisted on over 44% of this team's offense. Again, they aren't the best of offensive teams as it stands, so this hurts. It doesn't only hurt from a chemistry standpoint, but those two are also their best perimeter shooters. In terms of the defensive side of the ball, and the reason I avoid the side and go after the total here, Fairfield gets a bit better. They bring more size into the lineup, and while they're filling the void with no real offense, the players that step up here have some good defensive #'s, and more importantly a bit more size. Mercer's defense forces teams to move the ball, this should be present today with a Fairfield team without a true PG, and Fairfield's defense forces teams to move the ball, probably a bit more-so as Mercer really hasn't seen a defensive scheme like this on the year. Fairfield's defensive average at home falls below 60 points, and again, this is going to be one of the better defensive lineup that trots out on the court all year.
Plays: None
Lean: Mercer/Fairfield Under 126 Lean: Louisville +1.5 Lean: Ohio State -2.5
GL |
|
quote |
|
TheEDouble |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Covers Rehab
Joined: Jan 2012
Posts: 781
Location: |
#2 Posted: 3/24/2012 8:43:25 AM Neil - Do you cap the women's tourney?
Ive been doing well and have a few big plays today and was curious do you follow?
Good luck today |
|
quote |
|
nropp11 |
RSI |
Captain
Joined: May 2006
Posts: 7920
Location: United States |
#3 Posted: 3/24/2012 8:48:08 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by TheEDouble: Neil - Do you cap the women's tourney?
Ive been doing well and have a few big plays today and was curious do you follow?
Good luck today
No. Good luck with your plays. |
|
quote |
|
ochurricane |
RSI |
Rookie
Joined: Oct 2005
Posts: 791
Location: Florida |
#4 Posted: 3/24/2012 8:54:17 AM  |
|
quote |
|
mrpickem |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: 5Dimes | |
Veteran
Joined: Jul 2002
Posts: 3160
Location: Florida |
#5 Posted: 3/24/2012 9:07:59 AM
Props to you for all your great writeups and insight.
I'm on Gators & Buckeyes tonight...but they will be medium to small plays.
|
|
quote |
|
|
|
detroitigerz |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Prospect
Joined: Mar 2012
Posts: 23
Location: |
#6 Posted: 3/24/2012 9:20:40 AM
|
|
quote |
|
wonwiththehook |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BookMaker | |
Captain
Joined: Mar 2007
Posts: 5959
Location: United States |
#7 Posted: 3/24/2012 9:22:35 AM |
|
quote |
|
fupm |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Rookie
Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 911
Location: |
#8 Posted: 3/24/2012 9:38:11 AM  |
|
quote |
|
HotRoute |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Hall of Fame
Joined: Sep 2007
Posts: 24059
Location: Wisconsin |
#9 Posted: 3/24/2012 9:39:45 AM |
|
quote |
|
mj81 |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Prospect
Joined: Feb 2012
Posts: 192
Location: |
#10 Posted: 3/24/2012 9:41:36 AM |
|
quote |
|
ZonaCats |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2007
Posts: 3600
Location: United States |
#11 Posted: 3/24/2012 9:48:45 AM
All signs point to Ohio st and I hate when it's this one-sided... |
|
quote |
|
LaDaddy |
RSI |
Hall of Fame
Joined: Feb 2007
Posts: 22025
Location: Massachusetts |
#12 Posted: 3/24/2012 9:48:52 AM |
|
quote |
|
motorcitymama |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Feb 2012
Posts: 2605
Location: Colorado |
#13 Posted: 3/24/2012 9:53:59 AM |
|
quote |
|
betjackson |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2004
Posts: 1688
Location: |
#14 Posted: 3/24/2012 10:01:56 AM |
|
quote |
|
HoundsBlood |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Rookie
Joined: Aug 2009
Posts: 541
Location: |
#15 Posted: 3/24/2012 10:10:51 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by motorcitymama:
Thank you sir. Lots of respect........
gary busey as an avatar! ahahhah!!!
add me to the legion of thankful followers also, nropp... very nice job all season, sir!
|
|
quote |
|
depbmoc |
RSI |
All-Star
Joined: Jan 2011
Posts: 11094
Location: Indiana |
#16 Posted: 3/24/2012 10:24:35 AM i love the louisville lean
i wouldlove to hear what your thoughts are on the syr ohio st game
you truly are one of the best baskeball cappers not only have you helped me make money, more importantly you have saved me lots of money. only rarely do i play opposite of you |
|
quote |
|
PR9 |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Dec 2011
Posts: 1517
Location: |
#17 Posted: 3/24/2012 10:42:07 AM
wonder why it isn't a play for him then. |
|
quote |
|
KINGKASHTRO |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | My Sportsbook: BetUS.com | |
Rookie
Joined: Feb 2009
Posts: 675
Location: New York |
#18 Posted: 3/24/2012 11:14:48 AM |
|
quote |
|
kwnole |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Prospect
Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 22
Location: |
#19 Posted: 3/24/2012 11:20:28 AM |
|
quote |
|
allboutmoney |
RSI  |
Veteran
Joined: May 2009
Posts: 1408
Location: United States |
#20 Posted: 3/24/2012 11:21:00 AM  |
|
quote |
|
JavierVasquez |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Banned
Joined: Sep 2010
Posts: 3556
Location: |
#21 Posted: 3/24/2012 11:21:56 AM |
|
quote |
|
Quantum_Leap |
RSI  |
Captain
Joined: May 2010
Posts: 9894
Location: New York |
#22 Posted: 3/24/2012 11:27:17 AM Plays: None
Must be difficult to go from a detailed analysis to an actual prediction (right?).
I like Florida (who is Missouri-like) and Cuse early and Ohio ST 2nd H |
|
quote |
|
PR9 |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Dec 2011
Posts: 1517
Location: |
#23 Posted: 3/24/2012 11:42:47 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by Quantum_Leap: Plays: None
Must be difficult to go from a detailed analysis to an actual prediction (right?).
I like Florida (who is Missouri-like) and Cuse early and Ohio ST 2nd H
If they're "Missouri-like" today they'll get stomped |
|
quote |
|
evilelvis |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Aug 2010
Posts: 2848
Location: California |
#24 Posted: 3/24/2012 11:47:11 AM
Good luck to all.
|
|
quote |
|
gwrshaw311 |
RSI  |
Prospect
Joined: Feb 2012
Posts: 29
Location: |
#25 Posted: 3/24/2012 11:58:00 AM Thanks nropp! Good luck.
|
|
quote |