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Author: [College Basketball] Topic: Saturday Hoops
nropp11
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nropp11
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#1
Posted: 3/24/2012 8:37:54 AM
November: 46-38, +5.20
November Leans: 39-38
December: 65-70, -9.45
December Leans: 67-79
January: 52-39, +15.80
January Leans: 40-37
February: 63-44, +65.90
February Leans: 56-49
March: 62-43, +84.35
March Leans: 39-37


Just some leans today, and one important note. These two teams play some good defense, and both look to play pretty slow as well. With Mercer, I've commented on how their size at the guard position and size in general really forces other teams to work the ball and take difficult shots. Their coming off an upset victory at Old Dominion where they scored well over a point per possession having scored 79 points, but it's a bit misleading b/c ODU really had to change the style at the last minute as Bazemore was arrested during warmups. The game still only hit 63 possessions. As for Fairfield, I think they're in for a struggle today. They aren't the most talented team offensively and now they enter this game without Needham of course, and the other PG on the roster in Wade just broke his hand and is done for the season. Those two players both rank nationally in assist percentage, and combined they assisted on over 44% of this team's offense. Again, they aren't the best of offensive teams as it stands, so this hurts. It doesn't only hurt from a chemistry standpoint, but those two are also their best perimeter shooters. In terms of the defensive side of the ball, and the reason I avoid the side and go after the total here, Fairfield gets a bit better. They bring more size into the lineup, and while they're filling the void with no real offense, the players that step up here have some good defensive #'s, and more importantly a bit more size. Mercer's defense forces teams to move the ball, this should be present today with a Fairfield team without a true PG, and Fairfield's defense forces teams to move the ball, probably a bit more-so as Mercer really hasn't seen a defensive scheme like this on the year. Fairfield's defensive average at home falls below 60 points, and again, this is going to be one of the better defensive lineup that trots out on the court all year. 

Plays: None

Lean: Mercer/Fairfield Under 126
Lean: Louisville +1.5
Lean: Ohio State -2.5

GL
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#2
Posted: 3/24/2012 8:43:25 AM

Neil - Do you cap the women's tourney?

Ive been doing well and have a few big plays today and was curious do you follow?

Good luck today

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nropp11
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#3
Posted: 3/24/2012 8:48:08 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by TheEDouble:

Neil - Do you cap the women's tourney?

Ive been doing well and have a few big plays today and was curious do you follow?

Good luck today


No. Good luck with your plays.
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ochurricane
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#4
Posted: 3/24/2012 8:54:17 AM
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#5
Posted: 3/24/2012 9:07:59 AM
Sorry you don't have a play today as you've been mad hot.  This is typically the hardest time of the year to get hot too. 

Props to you for all your great writeups and insight.

I'm on Gators & Buckeyes tonight...but they will be medium to small plays.


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#6
Posted: 3/24/2012 9:20:40 AM
Playin your leans for the sake of making the games interesting. Plus im a gator fan so if either team wins I can consider it a win for me haha. Thanks for the insight as always nropp.
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#7
Posted: 3/24/2012 9:22:35 AM
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#8
Posted: 3/24/2012 9:38:11 AM
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#9
Posted: 3/24/2012 9:39:45 AM
like the OSU lean nropp
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#10
Posted: 3/24/2012 9:41:36 AM
Thanks for all the hard work Neil...truly a great capper!       
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#11
Posted: 3/24/2012 9:48:45 AM
So u think pitino beats his pupil and his guards dominate? 

All signs point to Ohio st and I hate when it's this one-sided...
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#12
Posted: 3/24/2012 9:48:52 AM
,gL
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#13
Posted: 3/24/2012 9:53:59 AM
Thank you sir.  Lots of respect........
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#14
Posted: 3/24/2012 10:01:56 AM
Wish you leaned toward my Gators, though I much appreciate all of your contributions.  Thank you
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#15
Posted: 3/24/2012 10:10:51 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by motorcitymama:

Thank you sir.  Lots of respect........


gary busey as an avatar!  ahahhah!!!

add me to the legion of thankful followers also, nropp...  very nice job all season, sir! 
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depbmoc
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#16
Posted: 3/24/2012 10:24:35 AM

i love the louisville lean

i wouldlove to hear what your thoughts are on the syr ohio st game

you truly are one of the best baskeball cappers  not only have you helped me make money, more importantly you have saved me lots of money. only rarely do i play opposite of you

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#17
Posted: 3/24/2012 10:42:07 AM
On his twitter Nropp says Louisville wins easy.

wonder why it isn't a play for him then.
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#18
Posted: 3/24/2012 11:14:48 AM
Believe he said Louisville would beat UK easy, not Florida...but yes, he leans Louisville. But Stuckey leans Florida so who gives a garbage really
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#19
Posted: 3/24/2012 11:20:28 AM
Nropp, do you cap any other sports after college basketball season?  You are the only reason I've really gotten in on NCAA basketball this year and I'm not sure what to do when it's over!
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#20
Posted: 3/24/2012 11:21:00 AM
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#21
Posted: 3/24/2012 11:21:56 AM
take louisville..dont ask..just do it..
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#22
Posted: 3/24/2012 11:27:17 AM

Plays: None

Must be difficult to go from a detailed analysis to an actual prediction (right?).

I like Florida (who is Missouri-like) and Cuse early and Ohio ST 2nd H

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#23
Posted: 3/24/2012 11:42:47 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Quantum_Leap:

Plays: None

Must be difficult to go from a detailed analysis to an actual prediction (right?).

I like Florida (who is Missouri-like) and Cuse early and Ohio ST 2nd H


If they're "Missouri-like" today they'll get stomped
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#24
Posted: 3/24/2012 11:47:11 AM
  Appreciate Nropp

Good luck to all.
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#25
Posted: 3/24/2012 11:58:00 AM

Thanks nropp! Good luck.

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