Posted: 3/22/2012 2:45:12 PM
Looking at the numbers and patterns - i see the flor/marq. game to go like this - florida crushes in the f/h - then marq. comes back in the s/h - whether they pull out a victory - not sure - this is based on similar situations in the past - iona/byu and a couple of years ago when msu played md - so i would avoid that game.
Wisc/syra - i like wisc to keep it close - i plan to bet wisc and the points - they could come out on top but would avoid for your suicide pool.
Cin/ohio st - i like ohio st to win - i assume you can't use them again.
that leaves louis/msu. on paper msu is better ranked according to sagarin and has played a tougher sked; however, on the road msu avgs. the same number of assists as they do turnovers - 12.8 - when that occurs i avoid the game - thus no patterns to divulge in this case. Louisville on the otherhand has a negative assist to turnover ratio - teams that advance in the torunament usually have a positive to negative assist to turnover ratio - if i had to make a choice - go with msu - as louisville is the only team that has a negative ratio regarding assists and turnovers - wisc, syr, cin, ohio st, flor, marq all have positive ratios - msu is neither.