Posted:
#1
November: 46-38, +5.20
November Leans: 39-38
December: 65-70, -9.45
December Leans: 67-79
January: 52-39, +15.80
January Leans: 40-37
February: 63-44, +65.90
February Leans: 56-49
March: 40-26, +59.45
March Leans: 21-21
Pending (2* Long Beach/New Mexico Under 138, Leans: Harvard Under, Kentucky Over)
Against teams with height (top 100 effective height) this year, South Dakota State has scored:
55 (0.80 points per possession)
61 (0.93 points per possession)
64 (0.92 points per possession)
Now, they did hang a crooked # on Washington team (with a bad defense) ranked #65 in height currently, however N’Diaye did not play that game and they wouldn’t be a top 100 without the 7 footer in the lineup. So, why height? Not all that big of a sample size, but having watched my fair share of Summit League games this year, this offense is really, really, really dangerous. But, they’re only as dangerous as how much they can score from the inside. Sure, they have a ton of good shooters, a ton of experience on the outside, but they’re an extremely one-dimensional team when they can’t score from the inside. As for Baylor, they have that size on the interior, so they don’t even have to focus on it. They can pressure the guards, limit the inside touches which is a big focus here. If South Dakota State can’t get the ball inside, the offensive sets are worthless. I have no idea what Baylor will do defensively, I assume they go man, but zone might not be a bad idea either, but if that happens than SD State launches three’s all night which makes this total scary, but at the same time slows the pace of the game. This game could be fast, I just don’t think it’s in Baylor’s best interest to go up and down. If that’s the case, then it’s awfully hard to ignore SD State’s inefficiencies when they can’t utilize the interior.
3* South Dakota State/Baylor Under 141
Two really good defensive teams, and more importantly, Loyola MD has the houses inside to slow down Sullinger from a defensive standpoint. But the focus here is on how much Loyola MD can score. They aren’t the greatest shooting team in the country from the perimeter, in fact, they rarely look for shots out there as this offense would rather have a guy get to the hoop or a guy take a 15 foot jumper. The problem is that Ohio State contains guard penetration extremely well, very, very, well. They just rarely let it happen, so I should have a Loyola MD team that forced to take some outside shots and mid-range jumpers, negating their one really big advantage which is getting to the foul line. Shouldn’t happen tonight. Probably more of a fade on Loyola MD here without having to lay the heavy chalk, and hope that the Loyola defensive pressure and ability to block shots on the interior keeps this under the # b/c Ohio State has the ability of pushing the tempo and lighting it up from the outside.
3* Loyola MD/Ohio State Under 131.5
Also playing South Carolina Upstate in the CIT. Kent State should not be favored on the road as they haven’t beaten a decent team on the road since, well, the first game of the year. SC Upstate matches up well with size and they crash the glass pretty well, something Kent State struggles with, especially when they use their zone defense. The top half of the Atlantic Sun is far better than the West half of the MAC, which is where Kent State’s road wins came. Kent went with a smaller lineup down the stretch, they can’t do that here, or they’re toast.
3* SC Upstate +2
0
...
Hot Forum Topics
