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Author: [College Basketball] Topic: Conference Tournament Totals (3/9)
riccio14 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 3/9/2012 10:57:15 AM

YTD: 33-20 (62.3%)

2009-'10: 14-7

2010-'11: 2-3-1

1-2 yesterday

Play: UMass / Temple Over 151

As a friend of mine often says, “dance with the girl who brought you” – and that’s exactly what I’ll be doing today. The Minutemen were very kind to our wallets early in the season as Vegas was slow to react to the ultra-fast tempo that Chaz Williams brought to Coach Kellogg’s dribble drive offense.

Today we get to back an over with a UMass team who is the 2nd fastest in the country with respect to adjusted tempo, has only played one game under 72 possessions in the L11, and has averaged 74.5 possessions through 16 A10 regular season conference games. Also noteworthy is the fact they are coming off a 77 possession, 175 point game in the opening round of the tournament vs Duquesne—so there was no slow down despite entering postseason play.

Now playing fast is one thing, you still need to put the ball in the basket (please see UC Irvine / Cal St Fullerton game yesterday). Well there’s no better opponent in the conference that is better suited than the Owls to do this. Temple is an above average paced team (#118, 67.1 poss. per game), but more importantly, the most offensively efficient team in the A10. Temple is ranked 14th in the country averaging 1.141 points per possession and should have no trouble at all maximizing their scoring chances with these additional opportunities. In their only match up this year, this proved to be the case – an OT game with 89 possessions that was tied at 80 at the end of regulation. And this was despite Temple only shooting 39.1% from the field that day. Now today, we only see a 1 point adjustment up from the posted total that day.

KenPom predicts 75 possessions in a game that all indicators point to being a track meet.

Good luck if you decide to make a play

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nropp11
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#2
Posted: 3/9/2012 11:04:26 AM
Yup.
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#3
Posted: 3/9/2012 11:06:09 AM
GL !!!
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#4
Posted: 3/9/2012 11:07:00 AM
Any lean on sides +7.5 seems like a lot for a hungry umass team on a neutral court
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#5
Posted: 3/9/2012 11:11:00 AM
Good Luck Ricco
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#6
Posted: 3/9/2012 11:59:46 AM
its at 156 still like the over....
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#7
Posted: 3/9/2012 12:00:03 PM

now its 153.5

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#8
Posted: 3/9/2012 12:00:14 PM
It seems as though all you give are overs
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#9
Posted: 3/9/2012 12:00:49 PM
good luck dude
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#10
Posted: 3/9/2012 12:01:33 PM

took it at 156... lets get some points

 

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#11
Posted: 3/9/2012 12:01:36 PM
riccio AND nropp on the same side of a total?

HAMMER TIME!


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#12
Posted: 3/9/2012 12:02:17 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SammyX:

It seems as though all you give are overs


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#13
Posted: 3/9/2012 12:03:15 PM
yes,I took 1H and game over. GL Covers
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#14
Posted: 3/9/2012 12:04:07 PM
so,Nropp11 said YUP ,too...lol
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#15
Posted: 3/9/2012 12:07:32 PM
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#16
Posted: 3/9/2012 12:11:37 PM
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#17
Posted: 3/9/2012 12:16:35 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SammyX:

It seems as though all you give are overs

whatever he's giving, he's hitting over 62%.  and what exactly do you give? 

good luck today riccio.  
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Sal_Tessio send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#18
Posted: 3/9/2012 12:22:49 PM
LOVE the pace... just need a few more shots to drop and we'll be fine.

Early tip.  They'll wake up soon.
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monkeymark5
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#19
Posted: 3/9/2012 12:23:09 PM
hope the trend continues, you hit the first one of the day

good luck 
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#20
Posted: 3/9/2012 12:28:49 PM
Good luck bud
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Sal_Tessio send a private message View Space | Friends | Playbook |
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#21
Posted: 3/9/2012 12:59:13 PM
Temple walking the ball up the floor EVERY friggin time like they are Princeton. 
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riccio14 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#22
Posted: 3/9/2012 1:12:40 PM

36-31 HT

~35 possessions, but unfortunately both teams shooting under their season averages in the first half

Adjusted game total 148

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#23
Posted: 3/9/2012 1:17:12 PM
Push the pace UMASS, need to get Temple running
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riccio14 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#24
Posted: 3/9/2012 1:19:40 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by troylex300:

Push the pace UMASS, need to get Temple running

15-0 UMass run to start half just may do that....

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#25
Posted: 3/9/2012 1:20:11 PM
Temple sleep walking in the 2nd half
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