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I absolutely love this time of year.. Going to use this thread for my confernece tournament predictions and future bets.  Individual games will be included in a separate daily thread.

My official plays will be in bold and I'll add either before the tournament or possibly during.  Much of this will be leans and predictions, so not an official play until bolded.

Big South

I'll start by saying I have no interest in either of the two opening round games tonight.  And I'll add that I don't think any of the four teams playing tonight make any sort of noise in this tournament.  UNC-Asheville is the # 1 seed and they'll benefit from that by hosting games until they are eliminated.  As indicated earlier, I think both top two seeds reach the semifinals, but both will be challenged by their semifinal opponent, whoever that turns out to be.  I expect myself to be on the dogs in both semifinal round matches.

Predicted Winner : Coastal Carolina +450

Struggled down the stretch, but have quality wins over Power Conference teams this year in LSU and Clemson.  They shoot the ball extremely well and will be a tough out even if they need to go on the road in the finals.  I think NC-Asheville will find themselves in a tough matchup come the semis.  If they don't exit there, they will in the finals.

Darkhorse Winner : Campbell +1000

Odd my darkhorse is lined up to play my projected winner, but I think it comes down to one of these teams in the finals, so I'll stick with that projection. 

Potential Upsets : Liberty over Charleston Southern, either over NC-Asheville

Be back with the Horzion later on tonight..

Horizon

No disrespect to the Big South, but there is sure to be more action and anticpation for the Horizon league.  Valpo and Cleveland State received the double byes into the semifinals.  A down year for Butler, a below expectation year for Detroit, but the top seeds earned their byes.  That being said, I think one of them misses the finals and I wouldn't be even the slightest bit surprised if they both miss.  Valpo has home court in the semis and while they have 10 of 12 in conference, it's the same team who won 6 games by a combined 24 points.  Yes, a win is a win, but things change in a one and done format.  I like this Cleveland State team, but unfortunately they sit on the side as the team who I think wins this tournament.

Predicted Winner : Detroit +600

Almost should be a dark horse at this value, but they are the 3 seed and thanks to oddsmakers for giving Butler name recognition.  I don't see anything but a semi final matchup with Detroit vs. Cleveland State and I think one of these teams gets the automatic bid. 

Darkhorse : Wisconsin-Milwaukee +1200

Again, Butler getting more love than the 3 and 4 seed, but no complaints here.  I think the value here is tremendous despite the fact that they likely will meet Butler and then have a road game vs Valpo.  They have 4 losses by 9 points, they competed with Michigan State, hung around with Marquette and beat Wisconsin.

Potential Upsets : Green Bay over Youngstown State, Detroit over Cleveland State, Milwaukee (or Butler) over Valpo

dmmx - It's really a combination of both.  I don't often pick chalk to go through the tournaments, but of course with so many, I will have several #1 seeds winning.  Unlikely that I bet a future on a team laying significant chalk, so for those I'll look to bet on them within each individual game.  And yes it is a Peter Griffin reference.  I had to change my handle at Covers request, and while thinking of a name, that episode was on. 

Keep 'em comin', Spazzer.  I'll jump in, accordingly.   

GiLmo - good to see you buddy.  Looking forward to your thoughts

Absolute, jimmag - thanks guys.

Looking forward to your writeup and post 

GL SDS