For years, Denver has benefited from it's huge home court advantage vs
Sun Belt opponents due to the lengthy travel and altitude associated
with playing there. But playing away from Magness Arena was an entirely
different story for the Pioneers....until this year. DU is 6-2 away from
home this year--with the six wins equaling as many wins away from home that they've had in the previous five seasons combined. This
includes conference road wins already at Arkansas St (by 3), South
Alabama (by 17), and LA-Monroe (by 15). Not to mention an impressive
road win at Utah St by 13 earlier in the year.
And just as their past road woes have been well documented, so has the
slow pace at which Joe Scott wants his teams to run his Princeton style
offense at. In the previous 4 years, Denver has finished every season in
the bottom 5 nationally with respect to tempo, never averaging more
than 59.7 possessions. An interesting fact this year though is that
Denver has "sped" things up a little bit more, averaging 61.0
possessions per game (#336). To take the correlation one step further,
in the four games that they played opponents this year with tempo's
ranked in top 100, they exceeded 69 pts each time and went 3-1 (only
loss was by 2 in OT to Iona). Maximizing the additional possessions with
their highly efficient offense, Denver scored 69 pts on 66 possessions
vs Portland St (#86), 78 pts on 74 possessions vs Iona (#18), 79 pts on
66 possessions vs Troy (#46), and 78 pts on 60 possessions vs W Ky
(#89). Today they will go against a N Texas team who will be the second
fastest they've yet to face this year who rank 38th nationally with
respect to adjusted tempo.
And now for the maybe the most important angle to today's game. Denver
is catching a N Texas team who will be playing their first game since
the announcement was made that Chris Jones and Jordan Williams will miss
the remainder of the season due to academics earlier in the week. It
cannot be stressed enough how big of a blow this will be to the Mean
Green today. Jones was the team leader in points, assists, and
steals. Williams was third on the team in points. The combined 25 points
the two contributed equaled 37% of the team's total offense per game. UNT
coach Johnny Jones on the situation, “Our rotation has been cut down.
We
lost our first- and third-leading scorers. Those guys played a lot
of
minutes.” Now they will have to rely heavily on freshman Trey
Norris to lead an offense vs a Denver defense ranked 30th nationally,
only allowing 60 points per game.
Denver should be extremely focused
today as well based on the fact that Denver was embarrassed by 22
points in last year's trip to Denton and scored a season low 41 points.
As a result, I can see this game quickly becoming lopsided due to
Denver's highly efficient offense benefiting from the extra possessions it will get going vs an undermanned N Texas team
Best of luck if you decide to make a play
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To remove first post, remove entire topic.
YTD: 15-6 (1-1 on last posted plays on 1/17)
Stepping away from totals for today's play
Play: Denver-3
For years, Denver has benefited from it's huge home court advantage vs
Sun Belt opponents due to the lengthy travel and altitude associated
with playing there. But playing away from Magness Arena was an entirely
different story for the Pioneers....until this year. DU is 6-2 away from
home this year--with the six wins equaling as many wins away from home that they've had in the previous five seasons combined. This
includes conference road wins already at Arkansas St (by 3), South
Alabama (by 17), and LA-Monroe (by 15). Not to mention an impressive
road win at Utah St by 13 earlier in the year.
And just as their past road woes have been well documented, so has the
slow pace at which Joe Scott wants his teams to run his Princeton style
offense at. In the previous 4 years, Denver has finished every season in
the bottom 5 nationally with respect to tempo, never averaging more
than 59.7 possessions. An interesting fact this year though is that
Denver has "sped" things up a little bit more, averaging 61.0
possessions per game (#336). To take the correlation one step further,
in the four games that they played opponents this year with tempo's
ranked in top 100, they exceeded 69 pts each time and went 3-1 (only
loss was by 2 in OT to Iona). Maximizing the additional possessions with
their highly efficient offense, Denver scored 69 pts on 66 possessions
vs Portland St (#86), 78 pts on 74 possessions vs Iona (#18), 79 pts on
66 possessions vs Troy (#46), and 78 pts on 60 possessions vs W Ky
(#89). Today they will go against a N Texas team who will be the second
fastest they've yet to face this year who rank 38th nationally with
respect to adjusted tempo.
And now for the maybe the most important angle to today's game. Denver
is catching a N Texas team who will be playing their first game since
the announcement was made that Chris Jones and Jordan Williams will miss
the remainder of the season due to academics earlier in the week. It
cannot be stressed enough how big of a blow this will be to the Mean
Green today. Jones was the team leader in points, assists, and
steals. Williams was third on the team in points. The combined 25 points
the two contributed equaled 37% of the team's total offense per game. UNT
coach Johnny Jones on the situation, “Our rotation has been cut down.
We
lost our first- and third-leading scorers. Those guys played a lot
of
minutes.” Now they will have to rely heavily on freshman Trey
Norris to lead an offense vs a Denver defense ranked 30th nationally,
only allowing 60 points per game.
Denver should be extremely focused
today as well based on the fact that Denver was embarrassed by 22
points in last year's trip to Denton and scored a season low 41 points.
As a result, I can see this game quickly becoming lopsided due to
Denver's highly efficient offense benefiting from the extra possessions it will get going vs an undermanned N Texas team
Good write up.. I live in near Denton and wanted to fade them in their next game.. However I was a little scared to do so when I saw it was Denver. You make a valid argument for taking them here. Additionally Denver really screwed me last week blowing a 30 point lead to only win by 13 for the backdoor cover. Let's hope they keep it together in the 2nd half after UNT has some time to adjust to the new line up. I am on it
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Good write up.. I live in near Denton and wanted to fade them in their next game.. However I was a little scared to do so when I saw it was Denver. You make a valid argument for taking them here. Additionally Denver really screwed me last week blowing a 30 point lead to only win by 13 for the backdoor cover. Let's hope they keep it together in the 2nd half after UNT has some time to adjust to the new line up. I am on it
GL riccio! Denver seems to have turned the corner for sure. I have faded them twice on the road this year and lost both. Good info about the North Texas guys. It's tough to keep up with every team out there and that is why you come to this site to get quality info. If you can sift thru the crap on here you can find some serious quality!
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GL riccio! Denver seems to have turned the corner for sure. I have faded them twice on the road this year and lost both. Good info about the North Texas guys. It's tough to keep up with every team out there and that is why you come to this site to get quality info. If you can sift thru the crap on here you can find some serious quality!
Great stuff man. This is the reason I come to this site. So many teams and stuff happens that you cant possibly know without assistance like injuries or issues like this this.
A Baylor/Denver ML parlay pays +134
bol bro
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Great stuff man. This is the reason I come to this site. So many teams and stuff happens that you cant possibly know without assistance like injuries or issues like this this.
Good write up.. I live in near Denton and wanted to fade them in their next game.. However I was a little scared to do so when I saw it was Denver. You make a valid argument for taking them here. Additionally Denver really screwed me last week blowing a 30 point lead to only win by 13 for the backdoor cover. Let's hope they keep it together in the 2nd half after UNT has some time to adjust to the new line up. I am on it
Glad to hear that someone who follows the team locally has a similar opinion on today's matchup. GL with your play
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Quote Originally Posted by Texan:
Good write up.. I live in near Denton and wanted to fade them in their next game.. However I was a little scared to do so when I saw it was Denver. You make a valid argument for taking them here. Additionally Denver really screwed me last week blowing a 30 point lead to only win by 13 for the backdoor cover. Let's hope they keep it together in the 2nd half after UNT has some time to adjust to the new line up. I am on it
Glad to hear that someone who follows the team locally has a similar opinion on today's matchup. GL with your play
Yacker, Train -- glad to be of assistance and thanks for the compliments. Covers forum can still be a great resource and discussion platform. But like you said, sometimes you just need to know where to look. BOL with your cards today
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Yacker, Train -- glad to be of assistance and thanks for the compliments. Covers forum can still be a great resource and discussion platform. But like you said, sometimes you just need to know where to look. BOL with your cards today
Just an FYI to anyone who cares, I will be attending this game tonight. I have a strong record of making 2nd half plays when I am in attendance. I look at everything from shootaround to body language, home crowd noise ....etc. I will drop a second half play in from the old smart phone tonight just in case anyone wanted the info.
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Just an FYI to anyone who cares, I will be attending this game tonight. I have a strong record of making 2nd half plays when I am in attendance. I look at everything from shootaround to body language, home crowd noise ....etc. I will drop a second half play in from the old smart phone tonight just in case anyone wanted the info.
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