ACC - 3-0
Big 10 - 1-0
Big East - 4-1
Big Sky - 1-1
Big West - 1-1
C-USA - 0-3
IVY - 1-0
MAAC - 2-0
MAC - 2-3
MEAC - 1-0
MVC - 2-2
MWC - 2-1
OVC - 0-1
Pac 12 - 2-2
SEC - 3-2
Southern - 1-1
Sun Belt - 3-0
WAC - 2-1 WCC - 0-2
Yesterday was a fair day for me. I mentioned the home dogs were wise plays, South Florida, Delaware, Denver, all came through, unfortunately Tulsa did not. 1-1 yesterday with the USC blowout coming in. Like I said, very strange bet %'s on that line that threw up a red flag. Those bets often cash, but are very rare.
A few early leans include Bucknell +19.5, Wright St +3, UAB +10, Nebraska -12.5, Oakland +9, W Carolina +5.5, Illinois St -13.5, Gonzaga -12.5, Texas Arlington +6.5, UC Davis +7, and UCLA -16.
I'll be narrowing these down to only 2 or 3 plays. I am definitely not rocking this card, but need to continue research and justify these lines or find the most value within these plays. Best of Luck to all today!!
ACC - 3-0
Big 10 - 1-0
Big East - 4-1
Big Sky - 1-1
Big West - 1-1
C-USA - 0-3
IVY - 1-0
MAAC - 2-0
MAC - 2-3
MEAC - 1-0
MVC - 2-2
MWC - 2-1
OVC - 0-1
Pac 12 - 2-2
SEC - 3-2
Southern - 1-1
Sun Belt - 3-0
WAC - 2-1 WCC - 0-2
Yesterday was a fair day for me. I mentioned the home dogs were wise plays, South Florida, Delaware, Denver, all came through, unfortunately Tulsa did not. 1-1 yesterday with the USC blowout coming in. Like I said, very strange bet %'s on that line that threw up a red flag. Those bets often cash, but are very rare.
A few early leans include Bucknell +19.5, Wright St +3, UAB +10, Nebraska -12.5, Oakland +9, W Carolina +5.5, Illinois St -13.5, Gonzaga -12.5, Texas Arlington +6.5, UC Davis +7, and UCLA -16.
I'll be narrowing these down to only 2 or 3 plays. I am definitely not rocking this card, but need to continue research and justify these lines or find the most value within these plays. Best of Luck to all today!!
Illinois St is a very good mid major team out of the Missouri Valley Conference, which is a good mid major conference. The Redbirds have not only beat lesser opponents, they have obliterated them. Most recently, Norfolk St, a 7-5 squad, was dominated by 32 at home. Yes they have N Iowa on deck, however that is not for another 9 days. First things first, take care of the traveling Arkansas LR Trojans. To Ark LR's credit they have only lost 2 games by the posted margin of today's game, however those two teams were the best two teams they faced (Tulsa by 16 and Mich St by 22). Illinois St is going to be the 3rd best game of the year. If Illinois St didn't dominate in their wins I may be more reluctant on this pick, however I envision a game landing between those two scores 16-22 points. Best of Luck!
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Pick:
MVC - Illinois St -14
Illinois St is a very good mid major team out of the Missouri Valley Conference, which is a good mid major conference. The Redbirds have not only beat lesser opponents, they have obliterated them. Most recently, Norfolk St, a 7-5 squad, was dominated by 32 at home. Yes they have N Iowa on deck, however that is not for another 9 days. First things first, take care of the traveling Arkansas LR Trojans. To Ark LR's credit they have only lost 2 games by the posted margin of today's game, however those two teams were the best two teams they faced (Tulsa by 16 and Mich St by 22). Illinois St is going to be the 3rd best game of the year. If Illinois St didn't dominate in their wins I may be more reluctant on this pick, however I envision a game landing between those two scores 16-22 points. Best of Luck!
This similar play came up twice yesterday, with South Florida and Delaware. +2.5 (give or take a point) with a large majority of the bets going on the traveling team and the home team pulled out the victory. Tonight the traveling team is Idaho. A Vandal team that I have watched play a few times, and while they are much better than in years past (not saying much) they rarely are put to the road test. The line is showing a little value I believe as we are catching Idaho after a nice win at Oregon St and now 3 straight. The books have been favoring the Wright St lines all year. As if to say this team is better than what they are playing at. Covering in only 1 of their last 5 I think they could give Wright a -3 or -4 at home tonight if not for their poor ATS % of late. I'm showing 82-86% of the bets respectively coming in the Vandals, showing where the public perception lies. Give me the Raiders at home with a few insurance points. Good Luck to all!
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Thanks D-Town!!
Pick:
Horizon - Wright St +2.5
This similar play came up twice yesterday, with South Florida and Delaware. +2.5 (give or take a point) with a large majority of the bets going on the traveling team and the home team pulled out the victory. Tonight the traveling team is Idaho. A Vandal team that I have watched play a few times, and while they are much better than in years past (not saying much) they rarely are put to the road test. The line is showing a little value I believe as we are catching Idaho after a nice win at Oregon St and now 3 straight. The books have been favoring the Wright St lines all year. As if to say this team is better than what they are playing at. Covering in only 1 of their last 5 I think they could give Wright a -3 or -4 at home tonight if not for their poor ATS % of late. I'm showing 82-86% of the bets respectively coming in the Vandals, showing where the public perception lies. Give me the Raiders at home with a few insurance points. Good Luck to all!
First, I would like to start by saying I do NOT like UC Davis for the entire game. That said, I have watched UC Davis hang with teams for the first half on the road, time after time. Tied with EWU, up 5 at Hawaii, up 10 vs Sac St. All of which turned into double digit losses for the Aggies. San Jose St's home defense is 276th in the 1st half. UC Davis road scoring is 209th in the 1st half. Again, I would not touch the game's final as both of these teams can be so horrendous at any given time, but I will grab the Aggies to come out to a decent start. Good Luck!
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Pick:
Big West - UC Davis 1st 1/2 +4.5
First, I would like to start by saying I do NOT like UC Davis for the entire game. That said, I have watched UC Davis hang with teams for the first half on the road, time after time. Tied with EWU, up 5 at Hawaii, up 10 vs Sac St. All of which turned into double digit losses for the Aggies. San Jose St's home defense is 276th in the 1st half. UC Davis road scoring is 209th in the 1st half. Again, I would not touch the game's final as both of these teams can be so horrendous at any given time, but I will grab the Aggies to come out to a decent start. Good Luck!
A few leans that are just not quite making the cut...at this point. UAB +9.5, OD +4, Oakland +9, EWU +16.5, Buffalo +13, Bucknell +19, UCLA -16, and Western Carolina +5.
Hope there's a lot of wins out there tonight! I'll be checking in. May play one of the above by nights end.
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A few leans that are just not quite making the cut...at this point. UAB +9.5, OD +4, Oakland +9, EWU +16.5, Buffalo +13, Bucknell +19, UCLA -16, and Western Carolina +5.
Hope there's a lot of wins out there tonight! I'll be checking in. May play one of the above by nights end.
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