November 11-4 +6.70 December 0-0 +0.00 January 0-0 +0.00 February 0-0 +0.00 March 0-0 +0.00 April 0-0 +0.00
Notes: -Maybe Purdue can win games shooting every shot from outside the paint. Well, if a non-scorer Lewis Jackson can put up 26 then I think I'm just supposed to tip my cap -Davidson with a 1-point lead at half as a 17.5 dog and they still were in danger of not covering. Nice job to fight back after Duke really turned it on (thanks to Davidson turnovers) -New Mexico isn't the team I expect them to be in March, mainly because they shot too many 3s considering the percentage they were going in and showed some struggles at the line. Fortunate to cover even with an 8-point lead with three minutes left
November 11-4 +6.70 December 0-0 +0.00 January 0-0 +0.00 February 0-0 +0.00 March 0-0 +0.00 April 0-0 +0.00
Notes: -Maybe Purdue can win games shooting every shot from outside the paint. Well, if a non-scorer Lewis Jackson can put up 26 then I think I'm just supposed to tip my cap -Davidson with a 1-point lead at half as a 17.5 dog and they still were in danger of not covering. Nice job to fight back after Duke really turned it on (thanks to Davidson turnovers) -New Mexico isn't the team I expect them to be in March, mainly because they shot too many 3s considering the percentage they were going in and showed some struggles at the line. Fortunate to cover even with an 8-point lead with three minutes left
-Buffalo
with big guy surrounded by shooters and a couple guys who can replace
the PG while Princeton is going to play their tough to defend offense
with all the backscreens and cuts. Buffalo looks like it has some lanky
guys who can switch a lot so that should limit the effectiveness of that
offense
-Cards
thin with injuries but they have a prolific backcourt and tons of 3pt
shooters. Butler with a big guy and a bunch of guards so it should be a
good matchup although the Bulldogs are much weaker than the last two
seasons.
-La
Salle is going to be terrible especially with the void Aaric Murray
left, JMU also lost a great big man but returns experienced starters
-FAU
with a lot returning including 8 of top 9, but they miss their
shotblocker and need new guys to fill the void inside. George Mason with
an idiot coaching them with less talent than he's used to, plus missing
big scorers and depth problems
-Rematch
from last year when I had So Miss and they couldn't score against the
2-3, which CSU may be getting away from as they're trying to play
faster. USM should be okay with pace with their backcourt returning and
then they have some serious height with scoring bigs (despite losing
Flowers). CSU with experience in the backcourt then a gaping hole inside
after losing Ogide and they struggle with 3pt shots
-UTEP
vs. NMSU is a rivalry and McKines threw some gas on the fire telling
the UTEP fans to go to Juarez. UTEP with some solid recruits then a
swingman, inside scorer and 3pt shooter return. NMSU off the big win
against UNM probably celebrated too much and I'm not sure they'll be as
prepared. They have a shotblocker, a good guard and size
-Zags
with solid bigs and will take a ton of 3s while Hawaii is never as good
in any sport on the mainland. They also have a knockdown 3pt shooter,
7-foot transfer to match Sacre and size with a new PG
guesses:
BUF 1-2
LOU 2-4
JMU 2-3
FAU 5-6
USM 1-2
NMSU 4-5
Zags 14-15
locked in:
Florida Atlantic -1 (-110) vs. George Mason
-FAU
not off to the best start, but GMU isn't very good and FAU should be
pumped for this one at home. Line should be higher and will go up.
0
from yesterday's thread...
Saturday thoughts:
-Buffalo
with big guy surrounded by shooters and a couple guys who can replace
the PG while Princeton is going to play their tough to defend offense
with all the backscreens and cuts. Buffalo looks like it has some lanky
guys who can switch a lot so that should limit the effectiveness of that
offense
-Cards
thin with injuries but they have a prolific backcourt and tons of 3pt
shooters. Butler with a big guy and a bunch of guards so it should be a
good matchup although the Bulldogs are much weaker than the last two
seasons.
-La
Salle is going to be terrible especially with the void Aaric Murray
left, JMU also lost a great big man but returns experienced starters
-FAU
with a lot returning including 8 of top 9, but they miss their
shotblocker and need new guys to fill the void inside. George Mason with
an idiot coaching them with less talent than he's used to, plus missing
big scorers and depth problems
-Rematch
from last year when I had So Miss and they couldn't score against the
2-3, which CSU may be getting away from as they're trying to play
faster. USM should be okay with pace with their backcourt returning and
then they have some serious height with scoring bigs (despite losing
Flowers). CSU with experience in the backcourt then a gaping hole inside
after losing Ogide and they struggle with 3pt shots
-UTEP
vs. NMSU is a rivalry and McKines threw some gas on the fire telling
the UTEP fans to go to Juarez. UTEP with some solid recruits then a
swingman, inside scorer and 3pt shooter return. NMSU off the big win
against UNM probably celebrated too much and I'm not sure they'll be as
prepared. They have a shotblocker, a good guard and size
-Zags
with solid bigs and will take a ton of 3s while Hawaii is never as good
in any sport on the mainland. They also have a knockdown 3pt shooter,
7-foot transfer to match Sacre and size with a new PG
guesses:
BUF 1-2
LOU 2-4
JMU 2-3
FAU 5-6
USM 1-2
NMSU 4-5
Zags 14-15
locked in:
Florida Atlantic -1 (-110) vs. George Mason
-FAU
not off to the best start, but GMU isn't very good and FAU should be
pumped for this one at home. Line should be higher and will go up.
You see any way NCST keeps up with Vandy? I think this line is low (obviously because they lost to Clev St), but also because NCST didnt lose to Princeton.
0
Nice start GW
You see any way NCST keeps up with Vandy? I think this line is low (obviously because they lost to Clev St), but also because NCST didnt lose to Princeton.
lines that I saw: -Long trip for Harvard to go to LMU, but they are an extremely talented bunch returning everyone with great shooting, defense and a stud inside. Seeing minus 5 on the road across the country looks like a decent amount against a team that beat Ucla, but that win was a bit of a fluke and Harvard is better. -SDSU lost a ton and they host LBSU off a ridiculous win @Pitt. The Beach is talented, but let's not pretend a good mid-major is exempt from blowing a game. A little revenge here for LBSU as I had SDSU in this game last year and they couldn't keep up with the Aztecs, but Casper Ware's speed is the difference in this game. Travel back from Pitt and the let-down are huge here -Kentucky will kill PSU -Akron will have a little trouble if they are forced to play at Duquesne's pace, or at least the big guys will. For that reason I can't imagine they will allow that to happen and they should manhandle the Dukes inside. Having to play last night is rough to then have to turn around and play a team with this pace -ODU way down but they'll play good defense, USF having to find an offense with a new PG is a concern. Gilchrist vs. Cooper should be a good matchup, but there's a ton of questions about offense in this game -Vandy will be looking to avenge the stain of the Cleveland State loss, just not sure how they'll stop C.J. Leslie without Ezeli. If Goulbourne/Chiengang can do it then Vandy will cover this line, but John Jenkins' ankle is a cause for concern considering how bad their offense has looked without him. He should play tomorrow, while Scott Wood is OUT according to NCSU sources so that will help Vandy. Just not sure I want to play it -Texas is young but they have ballhandlers and will score a bunch. Oregon State will try to use their trap to slow the game and they have to prove to me that they can score, but I'm not sure they can do either. The 'Horns aren't very good, but the Beaves are either -Clemson with a short bench, but they're talented and deep up front and that doesn't work well with CofC. Both teams lost their leaders in Demontez Stitt and Andrew Goudelocke, but the Tigers should be better prepared for this one. Wiggins will play great defense on the wing, but I'm not sure that will make a huge difference unless he can defend the post. -Wisconsin good and Wofford way down
lines that I saw: -Long trip for Harvard to go to LMU, but they are an extremely talented bunch returning everyone with great shooting, defense and a stud inside. Seeing minus 5 on the road across the country looks like a decent amount against a team that beat Ucla, but that win was a bit of a fluke and Harvard is better. -SDSU lost a ton and they host LBSU off a ridiculous win @Pitt. The Beach is talented, but let's not pretend a good mid-major is exempt from blowing a game. A little revenge here for LBSU as I had SDSU in this game last year and they couldn't keep up with the Aztecs, but Casper Ware's speed is the difference in this game. Travel back from Pitt and the let-down are huge here -Kentucky will kill PSU -Akron will have a little trouble if they are forced to play at Duquesne's pace, or at least the big guys will. For that reason I can't imagine they will allow that to happen and they should manhandle the Dukes inside. Having to play last night is rough to then have to turn around and play a team with this pace -ODU way down but they'll play good defense, USF having to find an offense with a new PG is a concern. Gilchrist vs. Cooper should be a good matchup, but there's a ton of questions about offense in this game -Vandy will be looking to avenge the stain of the Cleveland State loss, just not sure how they'll stop C.J. Leslie without Ezeli. If Goulbourne/Chiengang can do it then Vandy will cover this line, but John Jenkins' ankle is a cause for concern considering how bad their offense has looked without him. He should play tomorrow, while Scott Wood is OUT according to NCSU sources so that will help Vandy. Just not sure I want to play it -Texas is young but they have ballhandlers and will score a bunch. Oregon State will try to use their trap to slow the game and they have to prove to me that they can score, but I'm not sure they can do either. The 'Horns aren't very good, but the Beaves are either -Clemson with a short bench, but they're talented and deep up front and that doesn't work well with CofC. Both teams lost their leaders in Demontez Stitt and Andrew Goudelocke, but the Tigers should be better prepared for this one. Wiggins will play great defense on the wing, but I'm not sure that will make a huge difference unless he can defend the post. -Wisconsin good and Wofford way down
You see any way NCST keeps up with Vandy? I think this line is low (obviously because they lost to Clev St), but also because NCST didnt lose to Princeton.
without Wood hitting 3s, it's C.J. Leslie
0
Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:
Nice start GW
You see any way NCST keeps up with Vandy? I think this line is low (obviously because they lost to Clev St), but also because NCST didnt lose to Princeton.
GW, FAU jumped out to me when I first saw it. I bet it a little big. 2 units.
It's just my way of playing but if I like a team to win, I often play them for a unit 1st half and a unit for the win. Home teams are of course the priority. Just a thought. 2nd Half bets don't work so well for me although I often do them in spots.
Can't find 1st half bets on FAU yet but feel confident they will cover -1.
GL, Doc
0
GW, FAU jumped out to me when I first saw it. I bet it a little big. 2 units.
It's just my way of playing but if I like a team to win, I often play them for a unit 1st half and a unit for the win. Home teams are of course the priority. Just a thought. 2nd Half bets don't work so well for me although I often do them in spots.
Can't find 1st half bets on FAU yet but feel confident they will cover -1.
You see any way NCST keeps up with Vandy? I think this line is low (obviously because they lost to Clev St), but also because NCST didnt lose to Princeton.
I think the line is more a reaction to the return of CJ Leslie and the questions surrounding the status of John Jenkins. Sounds like Jenkins will play but I worry about an ankle injury for a guy who relies so much on his athleticism.
Vandy will also miss Ezeli badly in this matchup. The addition of Leslie alongside Howell and Painter is a solid frontcourt. Goulbourne and Taylor will have their hands full. From what I remember last season, I was not overly impressed by Tcheingang, and without Ezeli they don't have much depth in bigs. With Wood out for the Pack they will be taking it down low all day long.
Finally, Vandy only shoots about 60% from the charity stripe. If NC State keeps it within single digits I can't trust the Commodores to pull away by 6+ at the end of the game.
Expecting this line to go up for sure. Leaning Wolfpack if I can get 7 or 8
0
Quote Originally Posted by TRAIN69:
Nice start GW
You see any way NCST keeps up with Vandy? I think this line is low (obviously because they lost to Clev St), but also because NCST didnt lose to Princeton.
I think the line is more a reaction to the return of CJ Leslie and the questions surrounding the status of John Jenkins. Sounds like Jenkins will play but I worry about an ankle injury for a guy who relies so much on his athleticism.
Vandy will also miss Ezeli badly in this matchup. The addition of Leslie alongside Howell and Painter is a solid frontcourt. Goulbourne and Taylor will have their hands full. From what I remember last season, I was not overly impressed by Tcheingang, and without Ezeli they don't have much depth in bigs. With Wood out for the Pack they will be taking it down low all day long.
Finally, Vandy only shoots about 60% from the charity stripe. If NC State keeps it within single digits I can't trust the Commodores to pull away by 6+ at the end of the game.
Expecting this line to go up for sure. Leaning Wolfpack if I can get 7 or 8
GW, FAU jumped out to me when I first saw it. I bet it a little big. 2 units.
It's just my way of playing but if I like a team to win, I often play them for a unit 1st half and a unit for the win. Home teams are of course the priority. Just a thought. 2nd Half bets don't work so well for me although I often do them in spots.
Can't find 1st half bets on FAU yet but feel confident they will cover -1.
GL, Doc
I agree with you, and yeah I am strictly a flat bettor but if I really love a side and want to make it 2U sometimes I look at the 1H line as well
komot, ngu, paz, andre, juan, mozart, orange
beast-- it's finally getting cold up here
0
Quote Originally Posted by Pecador:
GW, FAU jumped out to me when I first saw it. I bet it a little big. 2 units.
It's just my way of playing but if I like a team to win, I often play them for a unit 1st half and a unit for the win. Home teams are of course the priority. Just a thought. 2nd Half bets don't work so well for me although I often do them in spots.
Can't find 1st half bets on FAU yet but feel confident they will cover -1.
GL, Doc
I agree with you, and yeah I am strictly a flat bettor but if I really love a side and want to make it 2U sometimes I look at the 1H line as well
I think the line is more a reaction to the return of CJ Leslie and the questions surrounding the status of John Jenkins. Sounds like Jenkins will play but I worry about an ankle injury for a guy who relies so much on his athleticism.
Vandy will also miss Ezeli badly in this matchup. The addition of Leslie alongside Howell and Painter is a solid frontcourt. Goulbourne and Taylor will have their hands full. From what I remember last season, I was not overly impressed by Tcheingang, and without Ezeli they don't have much depth in bigs. With Wood out for the Pack they will be taking it down low all day long.
Finally, Vandy only shoots about 60% from the charity stripe. If NC State keeps it within single digits I can't trust the Commodores to pull away by 6+ at the end of the game.
Expecting this line to go up for sure. Leaning Wolfpack if I can get 7 or 8
glad to see i'm not alone
0
Quote Originally Posted by cashColt:
I think the line is more a reaction to the return of CJ Leslie and the questions surrounding the status of John Jenkins. Sounds like Jenkins will play but I worry about an ankle injury for a guy who relies so much on his athleticism.
Vandy will also miss Ezeli badly in this matchup. The addition of Leslie alongside Howell and Painter is a solid frontcourt. Goulbourne and Taylor will have their hands full. From what I remember last season, I was not overly impressed by Tcheingang, and without Ezeli they don't have much depth in bigs. With Wood out for the Pack they will be taking it down low all day long.
Finally, Vandy only shoots about 60% from the charity stripe. If NC State keeps it within single digits I can't trust the Commodores to pull away by 6+ at the end of the game.
Expecting this line to go up for sure. Leaning Wolfpack if I can get 7 or 8
PP-- a very different Matt Painter team than we're used to, but they've exceeded my expectations in filling in for JJ and E'Twuan. I don't expect them to play like this, but Ryne Smith is amazing
Sunday thoughts: -Ark State looks like they have O problems but play good D and are outstanding at home. Ohio returns their PG, a 3pt shooter anda versatile forward but defense was a question. -URI coming off a good showing @Texas despite a 10-point loss. Rams aren't very good this year and I think they'll struggle with height. NEB has a ton of height, but offense is a question considering the transfers they're working in and relying on heavily. Pace and high-scoring will be URI's goal, while Nebraska wants to slow it down. I would think NU wins the pace battle -Creighton with a ton of hype thanks to a solid team returning with a soft schedule. McDermott is a matchup nightmare, Echenique will block shots and they return their PG while Iowa looks like they have a solid backcourt with not much inside besides Basabe. Big game in the state of Iowa, neutral court -SLU will slow the game down and that will make it very difficult for UW, especially on the road. Billikens with the tempo battle and their tough D makes Washington unable to score many points here to cover a spread. UDub definitely more athletic with a solid backcourt with depth. Both teams have 3pt shooters, UW with a skinny frontcourt who can't do much in the half-court but they do have a shotblocker inside as well. Hope the lines comes higher than a possession -Portland is very similar to Wazzu, both teams like to shoot 3s and don't have traditional post players. Wazzu looked like they only want to play the 2-3 despite Gonzaga shooting the lights out against it, so that should mean a similar thing. If Portland shoots well they can cover/win. Wazzu definitely better team, but at home the Pilots can keep up -Colorado with depth at PG and some okay players in the frontcourt, but they're not good. WMU with a big guy that may be tough for Dufault to cover, just wish WMU could shoot better -Maryland surprised me with the win over Colorado, but they aren't a good team. Iona dodges a bullet because they don't have post players besides undersized Mike Glover, and I actually think they have more talented guards. -Wichita State and Temple both play a ton of defense. Can't imagine a spread over a possession here. Size advantage to WSU, athleticism to Temple. I'm guessing the Owls avoid foul trouble in this one, they're a little better but this should be close. -Purdue is going to shoot a ton of 3s, Alabama won't be able to keep up with them if the Boilers get hot. Athleticism advantage to the Tide, who will play great D. Hummel against Mitchell should be fun to watch, Green should have his way inside. Ryne Smith is going to run off screens all day, which will be hard for Alabama cuz I'm not sure they deal with it much -WKU vs. VCU skip -LSU vs. GT skip -I think St. Joe's has the interior D to slow Tulsa, not sure they can score efficiently enough -Seton Hall is far from perfect, but they can play D and I think they can limit NW's 3pt offense which struggles away from Evanston anyways. Betting SHU to score is a concern, but the NW defense is terrible so that should help
PP-- a very different Matt Painter team than we're used to, but they've exceeded my expectations in filling in for JJ and E'Twuan. I don't expect them to play like this, but Ryne Smith is amazing
Sunday thoughts: -Ark State looks like they have O problems but play good D and are outstanding at home. Ohio returns their PG, a 3pt shooter anda versatile forward but defense was a question. -URI coming off a good showing @Texas despite a 10-point loss. Rams aren't very good this year and I think they'll struggle with height. NEB has a ton of height, but offense is a question considering the transfers they're working in and relying on heavily. Pace and high-scoring will be URI's goal, while Nebraska wants to slow it down. I would think NU wins the pace battle -Creighton with a ton of hype thanks to a solid team returning with a soft schedule. McDermott is a matchup nightmare, Echenique will block shots and they return their PG while Iowa looks like they have a solid backcourt with not much inside besides Basabe. Big game in the state of Iowa, neutral court -SLU will slow the game down and that will make it very difficult for UW, especially on the road. Billikens with the tempo battle and their tough D makes Washington unable to score many points here to cover a spread. UDub definitely more athletic with a solid backcourt with depth. Both teams have 3pt shooters, UW with a skinny frontcourt who can't do much in the half-court but they do have a shotblocker inside as well. Hope the lines comes higher than a possession -Portland is very similar to Wazzu, both teams like to shoot 3s and don't have traditional post players. Wazzu looked like they only want to play the 2-3 despite Gonzaga shooting the lights out against it, so that should mean a similar thing. If Portland shoots well they can cover/win. Wazzu definitely better team, but at home the Pilots can keep up -Colorado with depth at PG and some okay players in the frontcourt, but they're not good. WMU with a big guy that may be tough for Dufault to cover, just wish WMU could shoot better -Maryland surprised me with the win over Colorado, but they aren't a good team. Iona dodges a bullet because they don't have post players besides undersized Mike Glover, and I actually think they have more talented guards. -Wichita State and Temple both play a ton of defense. Can't imagine a spread over a possession here. Size advantage to WSU, athleticism to Temple. I'm guessing the Owls avoid foul trouble in this one, they're a little better but this should be close. -Purdue is going to shoot a ton of 3s, Alabama won't be able to keep up with them if the Boilers get hot. Athleticism advantage to the Tide, who will play great D. Hummel against Mitchell should be fun to watch, Green should have his way inside. Ryne Smith is going to run off screens all day, which will be hard for Alabama cuz I'm not sure they deal with it much -WKU vs. VCU skip -LSU vs. GT skip -I think St. Joe's has the interior D to slow Tulsa, not sure they can score efficiently enough -Seton Hall is far from perfect, but they can play D and I think they can limit NW's 3pt offense which struggles away from Evanston anyways. Betting SHU to score is a concern, but the NW defense is terrible so that should help
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