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WEDNESDAY NCAAB 11/9/11

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2011-2012 Regular Season: (1-0 100% +3 Units)
Sides: (1-0 100% +3 Units)
Totals: (0-0)
2nd Half Bets: (0-0)
Team Totals: (0-0)
1 Unit Plays: (0-0)
2 Unit Plays: (0-0)
3 Unit Plays: (1-0)
4 Unit Plays: (0-0)
5 Unit Plays: (0-0)



(Wednesday 11/8/11): MY SPREADS
St. John's -16 vs Lehigh
Mississippi State -6 vs Akron
Texas A&M -21 vs Liberty
Arizona -10 vs Duquesne
 
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There's going to be some serious money to be made fading overrated teams this early in the season.    Last night Mississippi State was our first victim of the overrated team that couldn't cover a big spread. 
 
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Posted: #3
16 might be enough to take the hawks with your fade an overrated team. could be a little inflated after W&M didn't show up for half the 2nd half last night
 
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Think you're short on the Mississippi St line by about 3-3.5 points. I'm looking at Akron if I can get 11, but I'm fearing something closer to 9.

They were certainly unimpressive last night, but I can't see them laying only 6, at home, against an Akron team that has to replace 3 of their top 6 scorers.


 
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Quote Originally Posted by TRoe15:

Think you're short on the Mississippi St line by about 3-3.5 points. I'm looking at Akron if I can get 11, but I'm fearing something closer to 9.

They were certainly unimpressive last night, but I can't see them laying only 6, at home, against an Akron team that has to replace 3 of their top 6 scorers.




Akron won 23 games last year and made the NCAA Tournament.  Zeke Marshall will be a force this year in the MAC.  They return 4 starters and have some new talent coming in.  I think they could beat Miss State on Wednesday.
 
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I think 10 is about right on the Duquesne game, if I can get that at ten im going to take a hard look at duquesne. I think they will be with zona till the end only losing by missing free throws down the stretch
 
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Quote Originally Posted by thewhitesmith:

16 might be enough to take the hawks with your fade an overrated team. could be a little inflated after W&M didn't show up for half the 2nd half last night


I have St. John's covering last night, but didn't like line movement to take them. 
 
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I don't expect A&M to be in the 20's.  I would suspect it to be more like 18 or so.  I likely will be on the Ags at anything around 18 or lower.
 
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Quote Originally Posted by duquesne5:

I think 10 is about right on the Duquesne game, if I can get that at ten im going to take a hard look at duquesne. I think they will be with zona till the end only losing by missing free throws down the stretch


Yeah.  Could be a solid bet. 
 
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Quote Originally Posted by aggieaccountant:

I don't expect A&M to be in the 20's.  I would suspect it to be more like 18 or so.  I likely will be on the Ags at anything around 18 or lower.



 
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Posted: #11
guys its gonna be around 

St.John's -12.5
Miss. St. -7
Texas A&M -18.5
Arizona -9


 
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(Wednesday 11/8/11): MY SPREADS
St. John's -16 vs Lehigh
Mississippi State -6 vs Akron
Texas A&M -21 vs Liberty
Arizona -10 vs Duquesne

Actual Spreads:
St. John's -12
Mississippi State -7
Texas A&M -18.5
Arizona -9
 
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Quote Originally Posted by gators140:

guys its gonna be around 

St.John's -12.5
Miss. St. -7
Texas A&M -18.5
Arizona -9




hahah it's nice to post what you think the spreads will be once they come out. 
 
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Leans:

St. John's -12
Akron +7
Texas A&M -18.5
Arizona -9


Doubt I play more than 1 of these on Wednesday. 
 
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Nice call on the Akron line. Perhaps I was just being optimistic and hoping for something closer to 9.

Either way, agree with the Arizona lean. That will be the only side I can see myself playing right now. Good luck with whatever you decide.


 
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Quote Originally Posted by TRoe15:

Nice call on the Akron line. Perhaps I was just being optimistic and hoping for something closer to 9.

Either way, agree with the Arizona lean. That will be the only side I can see myself playing right now. Good luck with whatever you decide.




Duquesne could scare me.  Gotta read more about them before this game. 
 
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Based on your predicted lines, it would appear the Johnnies and A&M would be the two plays I suspect you will be considering.
 
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Posted: #18
BOL Papa.
 
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Quote Originally Posted by aggieaccountant:

Based on your predicted lines, it would appear the Johnnies and A&M would be the two plays I suspect you will be considering.


Even though those are the furthest from my spreads, doesn't necessarily mean I will play them.  Other factors to consider.
 
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Posted: #20
Leans:

St. John's -12
Akron +7
Arizona -9



A&M moved to 20.5...No more value there in my opinion.
 
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so are these games actually homes games or a tournament at neutral  site?

 
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Home games^
 
 
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(Wednesday 11/9/11):
Akron +7.5 -110 (3.3 to win 3 Units)



Going to fade this Mississippi State team again, but this time with what I think will be a 20+ win Akron team this season.  This is my only play tonight. 
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