Posted:
#1
2010-2011 NCAAB Record:
39-18 @ 68% for +19.2 Units
Wed, 03/16
Oral Roberts Golden Eagles +4.5
There are a number of factors that I like here, that make Oral Roberts a play for me. I'll be brief:
i) Prior to this game, OR has won 10 of its last 11 games, with the only loss being to Oakland, the Summit League champ. SMU is coming into this one losing 4 in a row and 6 of its last 8 games. Momentum and current form definitely favors the Golden Eagles.
ii) Oral Roberts played the #36 most difficult non-conference schedule compared to #345 non-conference schedule for SMU. There are 345 teams in division 1 NCAAB. Beating up on the 'weaklings' of college bball hardly qualifies as being 'battle tested'.
iii) Here are the things that SMU does well: has a very high EFG% on offense (remember that #345 non-conference schedule) and creates turnovers on the defensive end (do I even need to remind you about their schedule?). This team turns the ball over at a high rate on offense, doesn't rebound well, and does not get to the FT line. The Eagles, on the other hand, protect the ball well on offense, crash the 'boards', and get to the FT line on a consistent basis. Defensively this team is not that strong, which is definitely a negative, but I still feel they have a lot more 'positives' than SMU.
iv) Current form: OR is 4-1 ATS last 5 games. SMU is 1-4 ATS last 5 games. 'nuff said.
v) I know Oral Roberts is going on the road here, but this team is 11-11 ATS on the road, compared to 6-7 ATS at home for SMU. Don't see an advantage for SMU being at home here, as the home-court advantage is already included in the line.
I feel there are enough factors here to justify a play on the Golden Eagles. I expect this to be a tight contest and getting 3 'buckets' is solid value to me.
Good luck!
39-18 @ 68% for +19.2 Units
Wed, 03/16
Oral Roberts Golden Eagles +4.5
There are a number of factors that I like here, that make Oral Roberts a play for me. I'll be brief:
i) Prior to this game, OR has won 10 of its last 11 games, with the only loss being to Oakland, the Summit League champ. SMU is coming into this one losing 4 in a row and 6 of its last 8 games. Momentum and current form definitely favors the Golden Eagles.
ii) Oral Roberts played the #36 most difficult non-conference schedule compared to #345 non-conference schedule for SMU. There are 345 teams in division 1 NCAAB. Beating up on the 'weaklings' of college bball hardly qualifies as being 'battle tested'.
iii) Here are the things that SMU does well: has a very high EFG% on offense (remember that #345 non-conference schedule) and creates turnovers on the defensive end (do I even need to remind you about their schedule?). This team turns the ball over at a high rate on offense, doesn't rebound well, and does not get to the FT line. The Eagles, on the other hand, protect the ball well on offense, crash the 'boards', and get to the FT line on a consistent basis. Defensively this team is not that strong, which is definitely a negative, but I still feel they have a lot more 'positives' than SMU.
iv) Current form: OR is 4-1 ATS last 5 games. SMU is 1-4 ATS last 5 games. 'nuff said.
v) I know Oral Roberts is going on the road here, but this team is 11-11 ATS on the road, compared to 6-7 ATS at home for SMU. Don't see an advantage for SMU being at home here, as the home-court advantage is already included in the line.
I feel there are enough factors here to justify a play on the Golden Eagles. I expect this to be a tight contest and getting 3 'buckets' is solid value to me.
Good luck!
_________________
'10 MLBP: 20 - 8 @ 71% for +$13,130
'10 NFL: 58-44 @ 57% for +$9,600
'10 NFLP: 8-2 @ 80% for +$5,800
'10 CFL: 55-54 @ 51% for -$4,400
'10 CFLP: 4-4 @ 50% for -$400
--------------------------------------------------------------
'TOTAL: 145-112 @ 56% for +$23,730
"A dollar won is twice as sweet as a dollar earned."
0
....good luck though
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