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[College Basketball] Topic: KP difference system plays |
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Phi131 |
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#1 Posted: 2/22/2011 1:07:34 PM Yesterday 1-3
Posted YTD 1-3
Not the way I wanted to have these posted plays started. This system has done well for me for awhile, I was hoping the 1st day wasn't going to be 1 and 3. Is what it is though. Here's what I have today.
Plays for 2/22/2011
Lasalle vs Xavier -14
KP: Xavier -18
Play: Lasalle +14
Lasalle vs Xavier over/under 154.5
KP: 158
Play: Under 154.5
Indiana St vs Northern Iowa over/under 126
KP: 123
Play: Over 126
Tennessee vs Vanderbilt -6
KP: Vandy -9
Play: Tennessee +6
Michigan St vs Minnesota over/under 132
KP: 136
Play: Under 132
Weber vs Idaho St over/under 139
KP: 135
Play: Over 139
TCU vs Utah over/under 138
KP: 143
Play: Under 138
That's all I have so far. There are a few plays that are 1 point to 1/2 point away from fitting into the system. Use what you want from this information. Best of Luck to all. |
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jraines |
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#2 Posted: 2/22/2011 1:15:06 PM  |
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shark_apreza |
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#3 Posted: 2/22/2011 1:16:00 PM  |
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tidefan07 |
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#4 Posted: 2/22/2011 1:44:30 PM |
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owhat12 |
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#5 Posted: 2/22/2011 1:49:56 PM |
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Phi131 |
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#6 Posted: 2/22/2011 2:30:55 PM |
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beaverfan23 |
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#7 Posted: 2/22/2011 2:34:18 PM
I am interested to see how the totals do.
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JEG53 |
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#8 Posted: 2/22/2011 2:37:32 PM
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PINNACLE |
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#9 Posted: 2/22/2011 2:44:54 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by JEG53:
So your taking the kenpom #s vs the line and if there is a certain amount of difference then your going with kenpom #s as being the true line and Vegas is off on their lines?
Actually it looks to be the opposite. Based on the plays he has in post no. 1, it would appear that he's putting more credence in the "Vegas" line. |
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Phi131 |
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#10 Posted: 2/22/2011 3:21:14 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by JEG53:
So your taking the kenpom #s vs the line and if there is a certain amount of difference then your going with kenpom #s as being the true line and Vegas is off on their lines?
Pinnacle is right. The opposite of what you stated. In yesterday's thread I had explained how KP doesn't take into consideration the intangibles that Vegas does. These intangibles will move the line slightly one way or the other, but not veering too far from the projected line. My plays are based on this hypothesis...and so far so good. I hope, for my bankroll's sake, this trend continues.
Best of Luck |
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Phi131 |
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#11 Posted: 2/22/2011 3:22:59 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by beaverfan23:
I am interested to see how the totals do.
For sure! Like I said, they have treated me very well. I would say pretty consistent on the 60 to 65% rate.
I visited your thread. I dig your spin.
Best of Luck! |
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wizzy69 |
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#12 Posted: 2/22/2011 3:53:08 PM |
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Phi131 |
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#13 Posted: 2/22/2011 3:59:25 PM |
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jakeandba |
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#14 Posted: 2/22/2011 6:42:01 PM phi thanks for sharing this system. Have to ask, but is it possible to back test this idea? If this systen is indeed has merit, it would be wise to be able to back test for any idea of its previous success or failure. It sucks to be out of the game based on a great idea which fails to produce results over the long term.
anyway not meaning to bash but i have had a ton of experience of following a system where i went broke b.c i did not take the time to back test. Since then i have learned some discipline, but it was something i would not want to repeat. |
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shark_apreza |
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#15 Posted: 2/22/2011 6:44:41 PM |
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Phi131 |
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#16 Posted: 2/22/2011 10:36:35 PM
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pcp333 |
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#17 Posted: 2/22/2011 10:54:51 PM |
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Skipbone |
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#18 Posted: 2/22/2011 10:59:24 PM  systems |
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Phi131 |
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#19 Posted: 2/23/2011 1:39:01 AM
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poolman11 |
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#20 Posted: 2/23/2011 1:51:49 AM |
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Phi131 |
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#21 Posted: 2/23/2011 1:55:22 AM
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FLIGHT823 |
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#22 Posted: 2/23/2011 3:04:46 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by Phi131:
Today went 4-3. I'm not sure if anyone else was able to get the Weber/Idaho St total line at 139. I got it off SBR, however my book opened at 135 which wouldn't have ever qualified for the system. Oh well, posted is posted. Overall 5-6.
4-3 today ....not bad but I agree we probably need to tweak this system a little.... |
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