$$$$$ NCAA Hoops - Manic Monday - 02/07/11 $$$$$

NCAA record:  22 - 19   +5.56 U

Last Monday recap: 0 - 2  -5.06 U

GT:     -4/   -102  3U

aTm:  ML +105  2U

Well after the hot start I definitely have hit a rut in the road, so I took some time off from posting CBB. Finished off my NFL season on a 5 - 1 +17.86 units last night. Time permitting I should be posting in here 2 to 4 days a week, however due to work, getting ramped up for , & EVO apps on my phone not working allowing me to post from anywhere will limit my participation here.

I really like 2 plays tonight so lets get @ it.................

Fresh off the dart board........................................

Plays:

WVA:       -1/  -103  3U

Kansas: O155 -105  2U

I initially leaned to Pitt last night as I posted that in Nropp's thread, however upon further study my initial lean gave way..

Lets start with Gibbs being out. Hard to replace the 16 pts & leadership provided here. Travan Woodall is a good quality back up that has averaged 20 min per game, now he will have to step up to 35 min per game.

Pitt really only goes 8 deep & now that rotation is down 1, this will be a problem tonight & going forward. I expect Huggo to have his mountaineers grind it out on the panthers tonight. This definitely would be a huge statement W over a hated rival. We basically have the same cast on both sides tonight as last year, where Pitt got blown out in Morgantown 70 - 51 & barely escaped the loss @ home in OT 98 - 95....oh I almost forgot......minus Gibbs.....

Vegas knew what they wanted by making the 4th ranked team in the country a 2 pt dog... & so far success they have @ a 86% ATS backing of the undermaned Panthers.

In looking @ the Mizzou @ Kansas over here is what I see......

Mizzou has played 7 games @ a total of 150+ this year going 5 - 2 to the over. The average possesions in these games were 160, producing .97 points per.

Kansas has played 4 games @ a total of 150+ this year going 4 - 1 to the over. The average possesions in these games were 140, producing 1.07 points per.

So we have a combined record of 9 - 3 to the over when either of these 2 teams have been involved.

Tonight I see these 2 combining for 150 possesions, which means I need them to average 1.04 points per = 156 points scored....... 

I see them getting the 1.04 pts per tonight.

On West Virginia with ya.

 GL tonight smatt

smatt-

I like the KU over.  I see the game at something like 87-73 KU.  I would lean slightly to KU minus the points, but it is just too big of a number for me to mess with.  I will stick with the over as well.

Good luck, and thanks for the contribution you made to Kine's presystem.  I will be following that additional angle.

Thanks Aggie, just doing as Kine suggested taking the pre system and massaging it to fit my needs in hopes of improving its hit ratio.......but u have to admit....79% is Damn good & everyone in here worth their salt could only hope to hit @ that success rate.....better known as Utopia.....

BOL tonight..............

If I had to choose it would be.......Under

however its a no play for me.....

Alright guys & gals I'm outta here to my local...... establishment, gotta live life to the fulliest............

To bad we still don't have the apps neccessary to post from smart phones....I have the EVO & I like it but I can't post here with it & I'm not lugging my laptop everywhere with me....

Quote Originally Posted by BigEastExpert:

 GL

BOL BEE................

Sorry I didn't get back to u last night 3rdLeg, I was out & about.

After logging into the above mentioned site, simply click the left side tab labeled.....Numbers.....then click..Sportsbook spy

From there u have options on what sports u would like to see how things are being played. In my opinion this bets sample pool is way better than the one here & better than sportsinsights because they pull data from more books than the 5.....insights pulls from. I believe its like 9 diferent books but someone with more inside knowledge to pregame could probably tighten up the exact # of books they pull from...

Mon recap: 1 - 1  -1.09 U

WVA:       -1/  -103  3U

Kansas: O155 -105  2U

Congrats to the Pitt backers last night as they dominated the 2H & closed me out upside down for the night. Man that Kansas game played out better than even I could have imagined. We didn't get the # of possesions I had capped, however the quality of each possesion produced 1.38 points per, which was the highest total of any of the previous 12 games these 2 had been in with a total set @ 150+.......

Perhaps back later in the day provided I can find something worth playing.

Thanks smatt and good luck with all your picks.