Saturday Atlantic-10

YTD Total 45-37-3 (+5.49 units)
Big Plays (2-2)

Sides: 34-23-2
Totals: 11-14-1
ML dogs: 1-1
Parlays: 2-2

Horrible day with Bona. Got wind PG Fernandez was not playing, and upped my game play to a big play and bumped up slightly my 1st half play and hopped on under for small...to no avail. Stopped watching it... Bona just never is going to make it over the hump if they play like that. Fordham was around but then late got slaughtered. Not sure what has gotten into GW, but they have held serve so far...

Damn A-10 is so funky this year...really funky. About as off and on and I can remember in recent years...Lost half my winnings just that one day in over 6 units.

Still up, so really to me this is as bad as it gets, yet Im still plus money. Hopefully a positive day today in the tank.

2 games I like today so far (havent looked at totals)

Duquesne pk + Mass -3....

back soon to lock them in

This is pretty much I wrote in Blake's thread

JF in or out Im playing the Dukes most likely. He isnt 100% and with Eric Evans back, Duquesne looks much better. McConnell is a top end frosh right now (my pick for A-10 rook so far, not Staten) and I think the Duquesne fans finally have something to cheer about. This is a huge game for them, a benchmark if you will. I will take the home team...

Plus, you have to love the way Duquesne is playing right now...

I would like to see if Fernandez is playing and that will probably tailor my level of play...will not be drastic, but should affect it slightly.

Something I am crossing my fingers on...

A Umass total in and about 148-150...

Another lean...

Harvard -1. You can say Im anti-GW right now plus harvard has played so well this year with great road wins etc. I think they can handle GW here. No reason to think they cant win...

Locked in:

***BIG PLAY***

Harvard -1 (2 units)

Interesting line movements

Harvard is now +1...it should be noted..typo above...I have harvard at a PK...Mass is down to 2.5 as well. Im not sure if this is people just going "Hey look, GW and LaSalle are on some winning streaks" or what...interesting. I figured for sure that Mass would not drop...my benefit I guess.

Typo...

Harvard pk (2 units)

Today is going to be a real big card...I cant help myself..if I like it, I need to fire...so far...

Harvard pk (2 units)
Massachusetts -2.5 (1.5 units)
Fordham +11 (1 unit)

Some thoughts...

Really like Harvard today at a big play. GW has looked ok, but it has been mostly against inferior teams. Harvard comes in with road savvy and I believe this line would be 3 or 4 had GW not stumbled on some wins lately. Listen, heck, who knows, maybe GW is better than I am giving them credit for, but I just dont buy this team that much. Ill take a team that can shoot, get some defensive stops, and can shoot lights out from the FT line.

Mass is really a case of taking a team at home who is slightly better than their opponent (I believe). LaSalle is coming off a win but again I think this line is reflective of Mass getting slaughtered at the Cintas. Mass played tough against dayton and won. Expect a grind slow pace from Mass, who seems to be falling into this style instead of the dribble drive they are accustomed to in years past.

Fordham plays a team in Charlotte that grinds games out as well. Pts should be a premium in my opinion. With that said I will be on the under most likely. Charlotte has only won 2 games by more than 10 in their last 10 and while Fordham is coming off a horrible 2nd half, and should have trouble finding the hoop at times...I feel this slower pace if it holds is more beneficial for them. Too often Butler and co. step up from 3 way to quickly. Giving them a chance to set up some offense and limit the up and down non fast break heaves should benefit them. I see a 65-58 type final.

Other leans:

Duquense +1
Fordham/Charlotte UNDER 136
Mass/LaSalle UNDER 149

Updated Card:

Harvard pk (2 units)
Massachusetts -2.5 (1.5 units)
Duquesne pk (1.25 units)
Fordham +11 (1 unit)

Updated leans:
Stl/St. Joe Under 125.5
Fordham/Charlotte U 136
LaSalle/Mass U 149

He is playing. Not a good start for them..down 16-1...

adding

Mass stated they want to slow the game down like they have the last 2...150 to lose is rather lofty...I see a game in the low 140's...maybe even in the high 130's if things go perfect

**BIG PLAY**

Mass/LaSalle UNDER 149 (2 units)

Dukes back up large right now...18...hopefully they hold. Interested to see 2nd half line...