Lean List:
Samford ML... the boooks seem to think that Elon should play em tough @ home this might be trus but thinking that Samford should win the game
Indiana +10 & under 131... having troubles understanding why this spread isn't 6-8 range right now
Also why this total is'nt in the 120's
Fla Atl -7 & under 143.5... even though the history between the 2 does'nt say so
NC Greensboro ML... Have no idea why besides the fact I think it's time for law of averages to aplly with a home win for them here
Louisville ML... This may be the sucker bet on the board today im sure lots will be playing this one...
Loyola Maryland +17... Siena is only giid within their conference but I think the books are giving them just a little tooo much credit here if u ask me...
Fairfield -11... Marist is worthy of fade material almost anytime they go out
Fla Int +2.5... Wow this conference is really beaten each other up interesting
Lou-Monroe +2.... same reasons as above also home court looks pretty big within this conference
South Alabama +6... 6 pts in this one could end up being huge
WKY pk em... All the WKY backers from last time out might be a bit bitter on backing this team agin right away but it might be the right time
Butler -11.5... Loyola-Chicago is not that good don't really know how they have 12wins total so far they are 3-4 within conference and Butler might feed off of this team just as Detroit did a few games back in Chicago winning by 17pts
Half way through the card be back in a few with the second half of leans hoping to get this down to 5 or less plays again
Lean list continued:
Austin Peay -3 or ML... Peay looks prime for the pickins here their starting lineup is good and they play well as a team... (really like this one)
SE missouri St. -1.5.... this one looks to easy to take due to Martin's ugly 1-12ats record this season and 2-14su and then I noticed that the spread opened around -3 and now it's only -1,5 with heavy action from teh public coming in on Missouri st.
Pepperdine +22... very small lean as Gonzaga always seemed to be overrated every season but the history says Zags like beaten up on Pepperdine the school of rich kids
Fla/Ark... Now this game is a me with a slight lean to fla
Org St/Stan... Good luck trying to figure this conference out
Loyola-Marymount +11.5... couple of things here just a lot of pts IMO and raivo is most likely out for tonight
San Jose St +6... Will most likely not play it because La Tech is eating up this conference right now though. But it looks juicy
Cal/Oregon... The mere fact that they opened this spread uo @-13 or what ever it was at your book tells me the oddsmakers don't evn know what to do with this conference so they opened up a big number on this game to get action off the home team here. MAYBE again this conference is a cluster fuck right now
Thats the lean list I will look at the 11pm games later on now the fun part forlulating this mess down to 5 or less plays
1st play is:
Butler -11.5 for 30 units... This to me is exactly were you can take advantage of Butler's talents on the road within their conference were they are better than everybody else. The horizon conference is week and I believe we are getting a great number at a great value due to being on the road. I got Butler winning this gam by 15 or so easy...
POD
2nd play is:
Austin Peay ML -150 for 10 units... AP is a decent team within the conference and Tenn Tech is just 2-5su in conference play and is only 3-4su @ home this season. Tech is a beatable team and I realy like AP's starting 5 banging the boards and playing defense today. Yes im laying 15units to win 10 units I know not something i normally do but I missed the line movement and believe I have to pay the preice to get the value right just in case they win by 1 or 2...
3rd play is:
Loyola Marymount +11.5 for 15 units... Marymount is a decent team IMO with a decent ats record of 8-6-1 and with road wins already this season @ Southern California, & @ Notre Dame leading me to believe htis team is no slouch when it comes to competing to win. Also something big to note on tonight's game is that Portland G Nik Raivio the teams leading scorer is doubtful with an achillies injury, the reason it's a 15 unit play and not a 10 unit play...
like this one
4th play is:
Elon University / Samford under 119 for 5 units... After further review on this one this game looks like a solid under play. Heads up they have stayed under the total all 3 times they have played and between the 2 they average 118ppg I think today they shall fall below their averages as we have one team that seems to be very selectice with their shots (Samford) and one team that shots only 38.5% from the field on the season (Elon). This is a very low spread so I will only go 5 units on it...
Established in 1995,
remember my units were like -80 something 3 days ago. Be back in a bit with my leans first then plays second. BOL today everyone
WKY pk em... All the WKY backers from last time out might be a bit bitter on backing this team agin right away but it might be the right time
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