a GS final is 4 times a year and its an awesome day!!! I will be putting around half my winnings from handball in the prop plays...all bets are placed early this morning ( 8 hours ago )
1. Novak Djokovic (SRB) - Rafael Nadal (ESP) (Fastest Serve in Match (km/h)) @ -110 10 units
The difference in km/h is around 4 ( on the spread ) getting -110 is a great value play. Nole served several times over 200 km/h ( 203, 204, 201... ) and Nadal's max was 200, with 199 and 198 in other matches. Thats why i risk alot of money on this one.
2. Novak Djokovic (SRB) - Rafael Nadal (ESP) (Which player will be 1st to break serve in the 1st set?) @+120 2 units
Yet another value bet. Its not @+100. I based this pick on the thought that Nole will dominate Nadal once again and get the early break and the 1st set will finish 6-3 imo...@+600 its a good bet for a exact 1st set score.
3. Novak Djokovic (SRB) - Rafael Nadal (ESP) (Who will serve more aces in the match?) Novak Djokovic (SRB) -2,5 @-140 3 units
Nole is expected to have 8-9 aces and Nadal 3-4. The handicap is -4.5 so to get a 2.5 is good, and the juice is abit high but i dont mind it. Nole is the better server and should have atleast 3 aces more than Nadal.
4. Novak Djokovic (SRB) - Rafael Nadal (ESP) (Which player will win 3 games first?) @-160 3 units
Well, i think Nole will serve first That's what the bookies think too...Nole is -500 to serve first. So, if he holds 3 times in a row ( or even better, breaks early ) he will get first to 3. The price on other bookies is -220.
5. Novak Djokovic (SRB) - Rafael Nadal (ESP) (Who will have more break points in the match?) Novak Djokovic (SRB) -0,5 -117 2units
Nadal is known for his 40-40 games and alot of savings of break points. So, i expect the same in this match. More should have 1 more break points than Nadal...one game when Nadal saves several break points on 40-A will get this wager a winner imo.
6. Novak Djokovic (SRB) - Rafael Nadal (ESP) (Which player will serve the first ace in the first set?) @-125 10 units
Nole is the better server. His handicap for aces is -4.5. I expect him to have an ace first. Nole to have an ace in a first set is +150 and Nadal is +350. That should say something. Only threat is NO ACE in first set but the total aces for the 1st set is 3.5 so i expect atleast one or two.
7. Novak Djokovic (SRB) - Rafael Nadal (ESP) (How many games will Rafael Nadal (ESP) win in the match?) Under 20,5 @-117 3 units
Nole owns. Nadal wont get over 20 games. Even in a 4 set match, he wont get it ( ofc if he loses, and that is what i hope ).
8. Novak Djokovic (SRB) - Rafael Nadal (ESP) (Who will have more double faults in the match?) Novak Djokovic (SRB) -0,5 @-117 5 units.
his total is 3.5 for the match @-117, Nadals is 2.5 and the under is -210. the line is telling us everything. Nole will have more DFs.
ok thats is. Good luck all
I will also play Nole -1.5 sets @+120...cant wait for the match







