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off to a good start:

Rd1: 5-2, +6.9
Daly+120 o Toms       
Bradley+135 o Woods   
Pettersson+105 o Day  
Huh+105 o Davis       
Noh-120 o O'Hair      
Simpson+115 o Watson  
Kuchar-120 o McDowell 

Thanks DRoc!

Rd2: 2u
Dyson+125 o Choi
Kim+150 o Van Pelt
Scott-135 o Mahan
Haas+120 o Westwood
Oosthuizen-125 o Stricker
Daly+120 o Toms
Dufner-130 o Ogilvy
DJ+125 o McIlroy

Well done blair..

What are you focusing your numbers on this week?

Let's forget about AJ's thread last week

WeMove - I look at a lot of things.

1) The line itself:  is somebody overvalued because he's a golfchannel or pgatour.com favorite or just gets blindly bet up all the time?

2) Current Form:  I usually just look back the last 3-5 tournaments and count the number of times player A has been in the 60's vs. how many times player B has.

3) Major Performance:  This week, based on the type of course, I'm looking much more at the British and a little less on the US Open, and hardly none on the Masters'.

4) Head to Head:  this is one of my favorites to use and the pay site that I use gives this to me rather easily.  I will look at this both for FT and for individual rounds.

5) Attribute stats:  these are the correlations that I do.  Obviously this week I had nothing to build those correlations on, so I could only go by what I read.  I did give length considerably more attenstion this week than I normally would.

6) When we get past rd1, I also like to look at what a player has done in rd2 relative to what they've typically done in rd1.  In other words, if they went low do they tend to stay low, or conversely if they sucked, do they tend to continue to suck?

7) In rd2, I also like to look at how they finished rd1.  Did they finish on high note or on a low?  I'd rather be on the guys that finished on a high.

8) The last thing I can think of is, again on the pay site, I can find how the player does in strong wind relative to his regular scoring average.  This is just one number comparison of 5 scoring avg in wind vs 5 year overall avg, but at least it's something.

Thanks Bogey

On Tour-tips.com, if you look at the profiles >> player, it will have something like "good player in the wind", where it compares their 5 yr avg for all rds vs their 5yr avg in rounds where the wind was over some threshold (I think 10mph).  It's not much, but at least it's something

Bogey - that will take me some to look up, I'll try to look at that in the morning.   In general though, I can tell you that looking at that 5 year avg, there was not anybody that I remember that really stood out as being siginificantly different between their 5 yr overall avg and their wind avg.  Pretty much everybody was within a 1 stroke avg between wind and strong wind.  So, I wouldn't count on any magic insight from the limited data that I can easily get.

Hole 7 was a killer for me today with both DJ and Dyson taking a snowman.  If those 2 are pars, I make some nice coin:

Rd2: 4-4, -0.1
Dyson+125 o Choi          
Kim+150 o Van Pelt         
Scott-135 o Mahan         
Haas+120 o Westwood       
Oosthuizen-125 o Stricker 
Daly+120 o Toms           

Dufner-130 o Ogilvy        
DJ+125 o McIlroy           

There's way better odds out there than I got, but Carl Pettersson has had 2 weekend leads in his career - one at the Wyndam in North Carolina in 2008 and the other this year in South Carolina this year at the Heritage - he went on to win them both.

Pettersson +900  (1.5u) to win