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Thursday 06/26/08

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Legend
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Posted: #1
8/1 WTD
 
Perfect day yesterday
 
Good luck to everyone
# 929
 
Legend
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Posted: #2
I'm taking the over 2 for the Spain today
 
I'm totally split for the end results I can see Spain to win or Russia to win...
 
I can see Russia upseting Spain today...that is just an early lean will post later my final play
 
 
# 929
 
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Posted: #3

G'mornin P

Congrats on great day yesterday

Here is a small conundrum Im faced with...

I have futures pending :  Ger to raise Cup +485 (bet 100)

and Russia to raise it @ +3300 (Bet 100)

Today, I'm thinking about taking Spain to advance (-143) for 500.... and if Russia Advance.... I'd look to find a middling hedge for Ger/Russia Final.

Doesnt that seem to you a prudent thing to do?

Is my thinking out of whack?...as I have nothing on Spain... as I expect(ed) them to choke at some point.

Good luck today .  Stay hot man!!

 

 
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Posted: #4
Good Morning P,

I already locked in Spain to Advance, Spain in Regulation, and Over 2.5 Goals
 
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Posted: #5

P - a las vegas sports consultant was on a sirius show and predicted a 3 - 2 Germany win.  Wow

and now he says he expects Russia to win 2 - 1, should we listen? lol

 

 
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Posted: #6
PSM, YES!!!!
 
I'm very much with you on the o2.5. I know P is on the over 2 just to be safe, but with Kolodin out for them I just don't see how the final will not be at least 2-1. I still have my future bet on Spain to win so I will be rooting for them but don't need any more money on them. Let's hope it comes out they way we see it. GL boys
 
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Posted: #7
You should take over if any of the following occurs
 
an under is at a -125 -to -129 range, all day and last second its only -120.
 
an under is at -120 and suddenly moves to -125 at last second.
 
You should take an under if
 
it stays the same price consistently all day usually around -122 to -126
 
Im only talkin about totals set at the 2.5
 
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Posted: #8
Its just something Ive noticed....cuz i play only totals, and I only play 2.5's and I watch lines.
 
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Posted: #9
Omega,
 
I have the o2.5 at +120. That was the only reason why I was wondering about it. I think this game will be final in regulation, so again, I just see the score to be 2-1. And look at these odds for both teams to finish 2-1
 
203   Spain 2 - 1       +700   
 
208   Russia 2 - 1       +900   
 
Captain
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Posted: #10
Bracks like those plays..

I have my future in on Spain already from before the Tourney Started...


 
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Posted: #11
Those are good odds!
 
Also, I like taking over .5 and 1  goals if its very low price.  Which in this case its only -117.
 
$1170 will win $500 if only 1 goal is scored.  You would think atleast one goal is scored.
 
Under .5 goals is only good at +120 or more.
 
 
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Posted: #12
The above post was talking about 1st halfs.
 
Captain
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Posted: #13
i agree.. im going to jump on that as well. good call omega
 
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Posted: #14
Me too PSM. 150 to win 563.
 
Omega, yeah I like the o1 1st H. I have +120. I have Spain +170 1h and Russia +300!!!
 
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Posted: #15
I have to check what I have it at.. I knew I threw a 1/2 sized bet on it
 
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Posted: #16
I also like to fade any price at -110.  For some reason -110 almost always lose.
 
Im taking a look at the 11:30 finland games.  And i can see Kups under 2.5 is a good bet.
 
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Posted: #17
However, they are doing some crazy lines there.  Honda game went from 2.5 -130 down to 2, with no option to increase it.  Basically they know its going to be a 1 goal game.
 
Some games are set at 2 and 2.5 with -116 and -111 juice....why not keep it at 2.5?
 
Under 15.5 total goals looks good.
 
 
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Posted: #18
Yes Lone, PSM, Brack, Omega all great stuff
 
Yes betting the spain or russia wins make sense..
 
for whatever reason I feel a RUSSIA win today, my 3 picks to win were Germany, Spain and Croatia, part of me want Spain to win it all and want them to win today but I have this big feeling that Russia is going to win..why I have no clue, just feel that the somehow they will go crazy today
# 929
 
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Posted: #19
that is an interesting thought..

omega,

what book do you use?
 
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Posted: #20
P,

The gut always knows best..

pretourney I said whoever won the Italia/Spain game wins it all, and I'm standing true to it

hopefully El Nino delivers for me today
 
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Posted: #21
Good Morning all..
Taking the over 2 also P..
then i can use live betting to add or hedge..
worked yesterday..picked over 3.5 twice
2 different prices but they hit..
might also choose a pick since they take them down for live betting..
 
Legend
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Posted: #22
 
Yesterday i went with the logic and it payed off..welll almost didnt , I didnt expecting Turkey to get 2..the 3 for germans yes
 
Today I do feel that Russia will play their counter fast attack break , and Spain will respond, both team are fast in the middle, but then again I did expected the Holland Russia to more fast pace...so WHO KNOWS
 
As they say that is why they play the game LOL
# 929
 
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Posted: #23
 
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Posted: #24
morning NYG

I see this as a 3-1 Spain win or a 3-2 Spain win.

I see Goals aplenty today
 
 
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Posted: #25
I think Fernando Torres Finally gets on Track today.

He has looked great when they get him the ball, but also he kind of reminds me of Henry at that age who stands around and waits for the ball.


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