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[Soccer] Topic: MLS Saturday/Sunday |
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Dempsey23- |
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Prospect
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 396
Location: New York |
#1 Posted: 7/28/2012 3:10:38 PM 4pm EST - Toronto vs Houston - Houston is unbeaten in 5 games but 4 of those have been at home. Away from home they either get blown out or keep it close/under for a point but either way they haven't had an away win in 4 months when they opened the season with a 4 game winning streak. Ever since changing coach TFC has lost just 2 of 10 and I don't see them losing here. Looking at the stats sure, make this is a pk. But looking deeper, Toronto should be something like a +110 favorite instead, will gladly take the PK. Toronto pk -130
730pm - Montreal vs Red Bulls - Montreal at home, over machine. 7 straight home overs. Either by good offense or bad defense, MTL always gets it done. Over 2.5 -130
8pm - Dallas vs Los Angeles - Dallas with 9/12 home unders but LA putting up ridiculous numbers away from home. Dallas despite their dire straits do not lose at home often and are almost never overwhelmed, so this way be a more even match than people think. No play.
830pm - Kansas City vs Columbus - I hate KC at home. And Columbus is a massive under team, so I bet this will end 5-4 or something ridiculous, completely opposite of what common sense says. No play. 9pm - Colorado vs Seattle - This isn't last year's Rapids, this Colorado team is struggling for defense big time right now (5 straight losses) and Seattle is an away over team. Over 2.5 -101
1030pm - San Jose vs Chicago - I was gonna call it an "upset special" but I see SJ is just a -135 favorite. Chicago has been playing teams real real tough, putting up 1-1-1 in 3 of the toughest places to play, all 1-0 or 0-0 (1-0 win @ KC, 0-0 @ HOU, 0-1 @ NY). If there's any team equipped to frustrate SJ right now it's the Fire. Chicago +.5, +1 -109
11pm - Portland vs Chivas - Portland is still an extremely competent home team, Chivas are as mediocre as can be. Portland absolutely needs this match after being battered in their last 4 games. Every game is must in right now. I see this as what TFC/HOU was supposed to be, home team in the +110 range due to their great home form and the fact that the other team is decent, but almost never wins away from home and if they did, it was ages ago (Chivas 0-3-2 last 5 away) - if Chivas wins this one then Portland at home is officially fair game for away teams, don't think that'll be the case though. Portland NTL +116/+229
Sunday 7pm Philadelphia vs New England - Great news, I thought this was going to have Philly as maybe a -120 favorite. Philly continues to be underrated after the coaching change, their only two losses being away to the two best home teams in the league (HOU/NY) while winning the other matches. NE is a woeful away team, and the odds let me put some insurance in with a Philadelphia NTL +114/+243 |
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bakemcbride |
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Legend
Joined: Jan 2007
Posts: 33900
Location: California |
#2 Posted: 7/28/2012 3:45:46 PM Great write ups as always... |
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utfootball4 |
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MVP
Joined: Jan 2012
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Location: North Carolina |
#3 Posted: 7/28/2012 5:03:23 PM bol |
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utfootball4 |
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MVP
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Location: North Carolina |
#4 Posted: 7/29/2012 10:07:24 AM are you still on philly? |
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Dempsey23- |
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Prospect
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Posts: 396
Location: New York |
#5 Posted: 7/29/2012 9:22:20 PM 4-2 +0.7u - Portland loss messed it up, but oh well.
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Veteran
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#6 Posted: 7/30/2012 2:16:59 AM Nice call on Philly. |
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