Wednesday Futbol 12/14

WTD: 5-3-1  +1.86 units

Europa
Sporting Lisbon +1  -104
Besiktas win -119 
Maccabi Haifa win -105  2 units

Note: PAOK and Rubin will most likely play to a draw on thursday, screwing Tottenham's chances no matter how many goals they score.  The books had the PAOK draw at +170 to +190 yesterday, but it's down to +133 on 5dimes currently and +150 at the Greek (which I dont have an account at anymore)

I'll play PAOK draw +133 for thursday

Richmond, the next two days are VERY situational matches...some teams are ending their league seasons and want to go out with a bang (or just want to be done), and some are so far ahead in the group that they resting players.

Here's what I found on www.txodds.com

Wisla Krakow - Twente 2.70 - 3.60

Kind of hopeless situation for Wisla, because I know, they know, everybody knows that Fulham will defeat Odense, out of form and out of the league tomorrow. Still I prefer the home win alternative. Why? Winning against Twente would always be an achievement for the club, or I am at least thinking along these lines. It seems like Wisla have defensive worries ahead of this fixture, but their offensive key players Melikson and Malecki are playing again.

Four of the Twente starters at the weekend have not been included in their squad for this game, but no doubt, Twente have travelled with a quite strong squad. It remains to been seen which players will play from the start. Twente will play against Feyenoord next, their last game before the winter break, and winning against Feyenoord is what matters the most. So maybe, the home winner.

I tend to lean towards the over 2.5 at -128 because I just cant choose a side.

Bake!

Twente is leaving defense players at home, still bringing the regular strikers that are fit and available. Might be worth looking at over or Twente DNB....

These are both interesting bets, as the away teams are resting players, but are naturally better teams, while the home teams both play well at home...

BGB
barb
rabbit
Ganda
cowboys
colts
DJ
ekrres
R2S
ykim
Stellen
tmpeus

another draw im seriously considering is FC Brugge vs Braga.  they both sit with 10 points in their group with Birmingham within striking distance with 7... a draw would keep Brum out of reach...

And the books reflect that in the draw price as well at +177