Sunday picks

My first picks for tomorrow:

 

M. City-Stoke
Im still wondering how City didn't win their last game away to Newcastle where they were the much better team IMO. Could have "killed" it in the 1st half and ended up having a hard time to get a draw...
...now at home and against a lowly Stoke side trying to get away from the relegation zone I think they will win as they're clearly one level above the visitors and Robinho is in great form.
My pick: M. City (1.50);

Wigan-A. Villa
Tough loss for Wigan last weekend at Anfield with those two late goals.
Zaki is in great form but A. Villa are having a very good season and IMO they do have some very good young talent in the team.
I watched them a few times this season and I was impressed with their team play, ability to keep the ball and to look for a counter attack in a fast and dangerous way.
Interesting game this one should be and I think it is likely to end in a tie.
My pick: draw (3.40);

W. Ham-Arsenal
This will be far from an easy game for Arsenal as West Ham are having a very good season so far.
Still, a title contender must win this type of games and being 4 points behind the leaders (Liverpool, Chelsea and Hull) Arsenal can't think of anything else but to win here.
I thinkk they will do it with more or less difficulty.
My pick: Arsenal (1.62);

Maritimo-R.Ave
These are traditionally slow paced and low scoring teams in Portugal.
Hosts have their coach suspended for 2 weeks and have 5 unders in their last 6 overall.
Visitors have 4 unders in their last 6 away games and 5 of the last 7 meetings at "Estádio dos Barreiros" were unders.
Clear under game for me.
My pick: <2.25 (1.76);

Nacional-Setúbal
Two other traditionally slow paced and low scoring teams in Portugal.
Hosts had a 77% "under" rate last season in the league and this season they have 3 overs and 2 unders so far.
Setúbal have 5 unders in their last 6 overall and 3 of the last 5 meetings at "Eng. Rui Alves" were unders.
Another clear under for me.
My pick: <2.25 (1.79);

Benfica-Naval
Naval are having a good season and they do play as a team even though they do not have much individual quality.
Benfica, of course, are the clear favorites here being the much better team and playing at home.
Benfica sees Yebda ("Player of the month" in September in Portugal who got injured during warmup before the Hertha Berlin game) and Aimar back in the available player roster and after Porto's home loss to Leixões they should be pumped up for a result here.
It's the new stadium (built for the Euro-2004) 5th anniversary and Benfica will want to celebrate in style (I know I'll be there and I'm counting on it...).
My pick: Benfica -1.5AH (1.99);

P. Ferreira-Sporting
This is always a tough game for Sporting and that shows in the 2-1-2 record in the last 5 meetings at "Mata Real".
Hosts are a tough team to beat at home but they have conceded goals in their last 24 league games and tomorrow it does not look like the best of days for them to break that trend...
...Sporting coming from a long trip from the Ukraine where they beat Shaktar but they are clearly one level up P. Ferreira and should win this one with more or less difficulty in order to get closer to the top of the table.
My pick: Sporting (1.67);

Good luck!

good luck mate.....

Nice write ups brother gl

24 -6

nice writeups, bol

Thanks guys !

 

Adding:

 

Germany:

 

Stuttgart-Bochum
Stuttgart trying to move up in the table close to the European Competition access zone of the table while Bochum are only struggling to get away from the relegation zone.
Hosts are 4-1-1 in their last 6 home games and have a 7-3-0 record in their last 10 home games against Bochum.
I can't see anything but a home win on this one.
My pick: Stuttgart (1.47);

Good luck!

Italy:

 

Atalanta-AC Milan
Atalanta are having a good season but AC Mialn is clearly one level up in terms of class and quality and they have all the momentum going with 5 wins and 1 draw in their last 6 overall.
My pick: AC Milan ((1.81);

Lazio-Napoli
Two teams having a great season so far.
Lazio playing at home and having won 7 of the last 8 meetings at home are the slight favorites here but Napoli has shown they're a good team and a hard one to beat.
I expect a tight game and will risk the draw.
My pick: draw (2.98);

Udinese-Roma
Udinese having a great season so far and look impressive at home.
Roma having a horrible season so far but they are getting players back from injury like Totti and should improve their results and the league standing with time.
Expect this to be a tight game as well and I see the draw as very likely and will take it at this price.
My pick: draw (3.14);

Palermo-Fiorentina
Both teams having a good season and Palermo has a good 4-2-0 record in their last 6 overall.
Fiorentina lost 3-0 to Bayern in their midweek European game but I do think they could and should have got a different result as they missed many scoring chances (Mutu and Gilardino) and the Germans seemed to score on every chance they had.
It should be another close game and will risk the draw here.
My pick: draw (2.97);

Good luck!

Spain:

 

Coruna-Gijon
Coruna are 4-2-0 in their last 6 home games and Gijon despite winning their last 2 games are not having a good season and conceded goals in 5 of their last 6 games.
Coruna also has a 4-1-0 record in the last 5 meetings at home to Gijon.
I think this is good value for a home win.
My pick: Coruna (1.85);

Mallorca-Espanyol
Teams are close together in the table and have similar value IMO.
Hosts have a 2-2-2 record in their last 6 overall while the visitors have a 0-3-3 record in their last 6.
Mallorca also has a 7-3-1 record in the last 10 meetings at home to Espanyol but I think we'll se a tight game and a draw, just like last year, is a very likely result as Espanyol keeps it a tight afair most of the times.
My pick: draw (3.23);

Huelva-Valencia
I've said it a few times before: Huelva is not neraly as good this season as they lost their most important players. That shows in a horrible 0-2-4 record in their last 6 games overall.
On the other hand Valencia are in great shape and are 6-0-0 in their last 6 overall. If they want to have a shot at the title this is a game they simply have to win no matter what.
My pick: Valencia (1.86);

R. Madrid-A. Bilbao
With Barça winning last night Real needs to win (teams like Real, don't they always?) this home game against a Bilbao side having a terrible season.
I watched Bilbao playing Barça recently adn they didn't impress me and looked vulnerable at the back.
Real are 5-1-0 in their last 6 home games with 5 of those going over the total.
They also have a 12-1-3 record in their last 16 meetings at home to Bilbao with 11 of those games going over the total.
My picks: R. Madrid -1.5AH (1.83) and >3 (1.95);

Sevilla-Malaga
Malaga are having a good season but this game should be too much for them to get something as Sevilla are one level above them in terms of class and quality.
Sevilla with 7 wins in their last 7 at home games and alwayes scoring at least 2 goals in all of those games.
My pick: Sevilla -1.5AH (2.07);

Good luck!