How to be a good gambler.

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Author: [General Discussion] Topic: How to be a good gambler.
GunShard PM GunShard
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Posted: 4/30/2012 4:27:20 AM

1. Bet on sports that you are good at, don't bet on sports you are bad at.
2. Bankroll management. You should only be betting 1% to 10% of your total bankroll.
3. Never bet on heavily juiced lines. Like a line at -1000 for example.
4. Never bet on heavily valued lines. Like a terrible team at 100 to 1 odds to win championship.
5. Teams with home field advantage tend to win games, especially in football.
6. Be a strategic gambler by picking your spots and wait for the right opportunity. Never be an impulsive gambler by betting for the action or just because it's your favorite team.
7. Stay emotionless all the time. Bet like a robot. There's no place for emotions in this profession.
8. Parlays should be no longer than 2 teams. Secure your first pick before moving on to your second pick.
9. Teasers should never pass through the zero.

If you are extremely impulsive and egotistical. The best advice is to "Don't Gamble".

Skipbone PM Skipbone
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Posted: 4/30/2012 6:52:23 AM
wow. awesome.
chilitokid PM chilitokid
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Posted: 4/30/2012 10:42:37 AM
10. win more than you lose
I-Got-5-On-It PM I-Got-5-On-It
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Posted: 4/30/2012 11:12:17 AM
8 is a lot of crap

Parlays rule
mainmanmainman2 PM mainmanmainman2
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Posted: 4/30/2012 4:56:43 PM
parlayyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyyys should never be more than 50% of bankroll!


that is #11       
GunShard PM GunShard
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Posted: 4/30/2012 7:32:17 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by I-Got-5-On-It:

8 is a lot of crap

Parlays rule

I should limit that rule to ATS not Moneylines.

Two team ATS parlays should be limited to two

I-Got-5-On-It PM I-Got-5-On-It
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Posted: 5/1/2012 4:43:19 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by GunShard:

I should limit that rule to ATS not Moneylines.

Two team ATS parlays should be limited to two



parlays are good if you can win them on a regular basis say on a 5 teamer, statistically a 1 in 32 chance but generally a 23/1 payout (based on -110 lines) but if you can win 1 in 18 or 20 you doing quite nicely 



HutchEmAll PM HutchEmAll
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Posted: 5/1/2012 4:49:14 PM
Never bet on heavily valued lines.

____________

Yup, avoid value at all costs.   


mtndew146 PM mtndew146
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Posted: 5/1/2012 5:02:25 PM
can you bet on baseball based on stats alone or do you need to watch the games.
Randisist PM Randisist
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Posted: 5/1/2012 7:11:58 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by mtndew146:

can you bet on baseball based on stats alone or do you need to watch the games.


Yes...
Trigg PM Trigg
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Posted: 5/3/2012 2:19:19 AM
^ Lol. "yes" to which?
lovethedough PM lovethedough
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Posted: 5/3/2012 6:13:58 PM
Don't get high, on your own supply.
Messier-11 PM Messier-11
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Posted: 5/3/2012 6:26:16 PM
ride hot streaks....don't be the hero that tries to predict when a hot team is going to lose. Also, don't bet on cold teams thinking they are due for a win when they are in a long losing streak. Parlaying a few -300 thru-600 ml games if you now what you are doing is not dumb at all. Plan ahead.....for example a future bet on nadal to win the french open. Monitor his progress throughout the tournament and if you feel the need at some point to hedge then it buy out of your bet  sometimes guaranteeing yourself a profit. Maybe even go for a middle and take the +games line(realistically this would probably be in the semis or finals vs federer or joker). Don't bet on a lot of games. Pick your favorite game or few games and hit them hard. Don't bet 20 games a night and expect to come out on top. The best gamblers are very selective. 


Not saying I'm a great gambler. I am pretty good at picking winners for the most part and have hit more big parlays than your avg 20 gamblers combined would hit in their lifetimes. Very lucky...maybe.....probably...who knows. My biggest problem is bankroll management and being drawn into the casino games usually instead of sticking to my bread and butter of just sports betting and poker.
GunShard PM GunShard
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Posted: 5/18/2012 7:48:36 PM

My updated rules:

1. Bet on sports that you are good at, don't bet on sports you are bad at.
2. Bankroll money management. You should only be betting 1% to 10% of your total bankroll.
3. Never bet on heavily juiced lines. Like a line at -1000 for example.
4. Never bet on heavily valued lines. Like a terrible team at 100 to 1 odds to win championship.
5. Teams with home field/court advantage tend to win games, especially in football.
6. Be a strategic gambler by picking your spots and wait for the right opportunity. Never be an impulsive gambler by betting for the action or just because it's your favorite team.
7. Stay emotionless all the time. Bet like a robot. There's no place for emotions in this profession.
8. Parlays "against the spread" should be no longer than 2 teams. Secure your first pick before moving on to your second pick.
9. Teasers should never pass through the zero.
10. Sportsbooks make money off of both Sharp plays and Square plays because all lines are juiced. Sharp plays make money off of Square plays.
11. Always make your bet near game time. Players could get injured during the week before game time.
12. Sportsbook have an edge on the NFL than the NCAAF because they can focus on the 32 NFL teams but cannot focus on the hundreds of NCAAF teams.
13. Never deposit money for sportsbook bonus money that requires rollover. You are immediately juiced before you even placed your first bet.
14. Never bet on preseason games on any sport. Predicting a 2nd string or 3rd string team is stupid.
15. Gambling is similar to the stock market. Buy when it's cheap, sell when it's expensive.

If you are extremely impulsive and egotistical. The best advice is to "Don't Gamble".

vanzack PM vanzack
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Posted: 5/18/2012 7:51:08 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by GunShard:

My updated rules:

1. Bet on sports that you are good at, don't bet on sports you are bad at.
2. Bankroll money management. You should only be betting 1% to 10% of your total bankroll.
3. Never bet on heavily juiced lines. Like a line at -1000 for example.
4. Never bet on heavily valued lines. Like a terrible team at 100 to 1 odds to win championship.
5. Teams with home field/court advantage tend to win games, especially in football.
6. Be a strategic gambler by picking your spots and wait for the right opportunity. Never be an impulsive gambler by betting for the action or just because it's your favorite team.
7. Stay emotionless all the time. Bet like a robot. There's no place for emotions in this profession.
8. Parlays "against the spread" should be no longer than 2 teams. Secure your first pick before moving on to your second pick.
9. Teasers should never pass through the zero.
10. Sportsbooks make money off of both Sharp plays and Square plays because all lines are juiced. Sharp plays make money off of Square plays.
11. Always make your bet near game time. Players could get injured during the week before game time.
12. Sportsbook have an edge on the NFL than the NCAAF because they can focus on the 32 NFL teams but cannot focus on the hundreds of NCAAF teams.
13. Never deposit money for sportsbook bonus money that requires rollover. You are immediately juiced before you even placed your first bet.
14. Never bet on preseason games on any sport. Predicting a 2nd string or 3rd string team is stupid.
15. Gambling is similar to the stock market. Buy when it's cheap, sell when it's expensive.

If you are extremely impulsive and egotistical. The best advice is to "Don't Gamble".

Oh dear.

c.r.e.a.m. PM c.r.e.a.m.
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Posted: 5/18/2012 10:50:13 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by vanzack:

Oh dear.


a 'vanzack' sighting!!!

how have you been bud?
elsewhere PM elsewhere
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Posted: 5/18/2012 11:30:33 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Trigg:

^ Lol. "yes" to which?

Hirschfelder PM Hirschfelder
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Posted: 5/19/2012 2:25:52 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by GunShard:

My updated rules:

1. Bet on sports that you are good at, don't bet on sports you are bad at.
2. Bankroll money management. You should only be betting 1% to 10% of your total bankroll.
3. Never bet on heavily juiced lines. Like a line at -1000 for example.
4. Never bet on heavily valued lines. Like a terrible team at 100 to 1 odds to win championship.
5. Teams with home field/court advantage tend to win games, especially in football.
6. Be a strategic gambler by picking your spots and wait for the right opportunity. Never be an impulsive gambler by betting for the action or just because it's your favorite team.
7. Stay emotionless all the time. Bet like a robot. There's no place for emotions in this profession.
8. Parlays "against the spread" should be no longer than 2 teams. Secure your first pick before moving on to your second pick.
9. Teasers should never pass through the zero.
10. Sportsbooks make money off of both Sharp plays and Square plays because all lines are juiced. Sharp plays make money off of Square plays.
11. Always make your bet near game time. Players could get injured during the week before game time.
12. Sportsbook have an edge on the NFL than the NCAAF because they can focus on the 32 NFL teams but cannot focus on the hundreds of NCAAF teams.
13. Never deposit money for sportsbook bonus money that requires rollover. You are immediately juiced before you even placed your first bet.
14. Never bet on preseason games on any sport. Predicting a 2nd string or 3rd string team is stupid.
15. Gambling is similar to the stock market. Buy when it's cheap, sell when it's expensive.

If you are extremely impulsive and egotistical. The best advice is to "Don't Gamble".



If I had the energy I'd be embarrased for you.
darien123 PM darien123
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Posted: 5/21/2012 11:15:09 PM

Rules to live by 

      1. Never bet when you are angry or after a fight with your wife or girlfriend

       2. Never make a bet when your under the influence of drugs or alcohol

      3. Never bet with borrowed money or borrow money to bet

      4. Never brag about your wins and girl about your losses      "stay humble and grounded"

Slobbasaurus PM Slobbasaurus
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Posted: 5/22/2012 10:33:33 AM
Never bet under the influence of alcohol indeed.  Lost a lot of money doing this
ApacheM PM ApacheM
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Posted: 5/23/2012 4:04:27 PM
 After 45+yrs of gambling the BEST advice I can give is BET the DOG when possible.
blacksheep PM blacksheep
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Posted: 5/23/2012 4:14:37 PM
#5. And Basketball. Home court definitely favors the home team more often than not, and they seem to get mostly all of the refs calls as refs tend to not infuriate the home team crowd, as much as possible. Never mind the fact that players in college can't make a free throw if their life depends on it, especially in front of a hostile crowd.
lbcake PM lbcake
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Posted: 5/23/2012 4:57:35 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Hirschfelder:



If I had the energy I'd be embarrased for you.

Try some Buzz Monkey.

jmilrod PM jmilrod
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Posted: 5/23/2012 5:17:00 PM
yous a gawd dammm geeeenious
SALTY PM SALTY
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Posted: 5/23/2012 5:35:12 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by darien123:

Rules to live by 

      1. Never bet when you are angry or after a fight with your wife or girlfriend

       2. Never make a bet when your under the influence of drugs or alcohol

      3. Never bet with borrowed money or borrow money to bet

      4. Never brag about your wins and girl about your losses      "stay humble and grounded"


I disagree with #2.

Here is my betting ritual and I do it anytime I bet. If I do not follow this regimen I am friggin up.

1- roll a blunt.
2- log onto the internet and look at numbers and match-ups.
3- roll another for good luck after narrowing it down to the bets I want.
4-Wait on games to come on.
5- roll a pre-game blunt.
6- its halftime, better roll a blunt for the second half.
7- roll a celebratory blunt post game


It works for me
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