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Author:	[General Discussion] Topic: betting on the election
Michfan15	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Captain Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 6903 Location: New York	#1 Posted: 2/9/2012 3:29:39 AM trying to plop down a fat bet on Santorum. whats the best site to use for this type of wager? Bodog had him at 15/1 earlier today. Obvioiusly he won't be such a longshot any more but I still think there will be value before most people catch up.
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Raisethis2	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Prospect Joined: Sep 2011 Posts: 284 Location: Illinois	#2 Posted: 2/9/2012 9:26:30 AM Send your money to me fool. I'll book this one at 1000 to 1.
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MIZUNO22	RSI View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \| My Sportsbook: MGM Grand \|
Rookie Joined: Nov 2005 Posts: 562 Location: Ohio	#3 Posted: 2/9/2012 9:39:40 AM Recently saw Obama at -150 for re'election.
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Michfan15	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Captain Joined: Oct 2008 Posts: 6903 Location: New York	#4 Posted: 2/9/2012 2:23:42 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Raisethis2: Send your money to me fool. I'll book this one at 1000 to 1. For real? Whats your paypal, ill ship you $ tonight @ 1000/1
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KOAJ	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Covers Linesmen Joined: Oct 2005 Posts: 66698 Location: New Jersey	#5 Posted: 2/9/2012 2:34:51 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by Michfan15: For real? Whats your paypal, ill ship you $ tonight @ 1000/1 ill take it as well my dog has more of a chance. ricky has no money and no delegates and way too many skeletons. he will have no power in tampa at the convention
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KOAJ	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Covers Linesmen Joined: Oct 2005 Posts: 66698 Location: New Jersey	#6 Posted: 2/9/2012 2:35:49 PM also, you should research the delegate process. the caucuses from tuesday night mean garbage because it is only the first step in gaining delegates from those 3 states. translation - he won nothing on tuesday night and never had the ground game to get the delegates for the national convention
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MakeSumCake	RSI View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Apr 2010 Posts: 2994 Location: Texas	#7 Posted: 2/10/2012 1:34:42 AM Bet or no bet it'll be the same outcome.
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mainmanmainman2	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Feb 2011 Posts: 4309 Location: Antarctica	#8 Posted: 2/13/2012 1:44:32 PM -190 at some books now just asking u to vote take the rep.
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ClubDirt	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
MVP Joined: May 2003 Posts: 16904 Location: United States	#9 Posted: 2/13/2012 1:53:03 PM flush your money down the toilet. it'll save time.
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rangerz2478	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
All-Star Joined: Oct 2007 Posts: 13932 Location: New Jersey	#10 Posted: 2/13/2012 2:04:06 PM Santorum is currently a 17% shot on intrade to win the republican nomination so he should be about +500 to win the nomination. Factor that with a +150 or so to beat Obama and anything in the 15-1 range is pretty solid. Those of you saying he should flush his money down the toilet are nothing short of ignorant. There is always a price that makes a bet worth it, no matter how impossible you may think it is.
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ClubDirt	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
MVP Joined: May 2003 Posts: 16904 Location: United States	#11 Posted: 2/13/2012 2:05:51 PM there is always a price that creates value for a proposition, but that price ain't it.
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HutchEmAll	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Legend Joined: Jan 2004 Posts: 35053 Location: Minnesota	#12 Posted: 2/13/2012 2:16:39 PM This isn't Dewey and Truman. And CD is right, that price isn't even close to what I would need to make a play. I honestly give him about a 1% chance.
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HutchEmAll	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Legend Joined: Jan 2004 Posts: 35053 Location: Minnesota	#13 Posted: 2/13/2012 2:19:20 PM What you need to understand is that this is the way it works. They don't like the favorite to slam dunk the thing. But when someone else gets some traction, they smear the piss out of them and things get back to "normal" (just ask Newt about this as he got chopped down after he looked like he may be gaining some steam). Besides, the losers are also trying to position themselves to get certain things.....so they know there can be a payoff if they stick it out for a while. Santorum might be the flavor of the week, but he has absolutely no shot.
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ClubDirt	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
MVP Joined: May 2003 Posts: 16904 Location: United States	#14 Posted: 2/13/2012 2:31:20 PM and santorum is probably the least electable of all the 15 minutes of fame republicans, tied with bahcmannia. 1% chance of santorum winning 25% chance of another one of these starring santorum 24.95% chance of option #2 with the guy in the other stall being rightwing South Carolina Senator Jim DeMint
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eyedog	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Sep 2002 Posts: 2485 Location:	#15 Posted: 2/13/2012 3:07:33 PM I already laid -170 on the imbecile. At least when he wins I will get a lunch on him. And if he loses by some chance I will gladly sacrifice my bet.
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rangerz2478	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
All-Star Joined: Oct 2007 Posts: 13932 Location: New Jersey	#16 Posted: 2/13/2012 3:11:31 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by HutchEmAll: What you need to understand is that this is the way it works. They don't like the favorite to slam dunk the thing. But when someone else gets some traction, they smear the piss out of them and things get back to "normal" (just ask Newt about this as he got chopped down after he looked like he may be gaining some steam). Besides, the losers are also trying to position themselves to get certain things.....so they know there can be a payoff if they stick it out for a while. Santorum might be the flavor of the week, but he has absolutely no shot. I'm not saying you're right or wrong but if you really feel this way, you should sign up at intrade.com.
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depeche2	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Legend Joined: Feb 2002 Posts: 66823 Location: Illinois	#17 Posted: 2/13/2012 3:14:21 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by rangerz2478: Santorum is currently a 17% shot on intrade to win the republican nomination so he should be about +500 to win the nomination. Factor that with a +150 or so to beat Obama and anything in the 15-1 range is pretty solid. Those of you saying he should flush his money down the toilet are nothing short of ignorant. There is always a price that makes a bet worth it, no matter how impossible you may think it is. No need to guess. Santorum is 6.2% chance to win the Presidency at Intrade. Quick math I think that translates to around 17-1. Personally feel that's far too high. Ought to be getting at least 25-1.
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mainmanmainman2	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Feb 2011 Posts: 4309 Location: Antarctica	#18 Posted: 2/13/2012 3:19:15 PM should be 50-1 i think that was what paul was a week or two ago
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666LES	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Veteran Joined: Dec 2006 Posts: 1767 Location: New York	#19 Posted: 2/13/2012 3:21:02 PM Take your money in singles to the Walmart parking lot. Throw your bankroll into the air. Far greater good for many more people.
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rangerz2478	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
All-Star Joined: Oct 2007 Posts: 13932 Location: New Jersey	#20 Posted: 2/13/2012 4:08:08 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by depeche2: No need to guess. Santorum is 6.2% chance to win the Presidency at Intrade. Quick math I think that translates to around 17-1. Personally feel that's far too high. Ought to be getting at least 25-1. Ohh okay I just saw Obama to win, not the individual republican candidates. 6.2% is between 15 and 16-1. (6-94) I have no valid opinion on the matter but the general belief on here sounds like he should be closer to 3%.
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HutchEmAll	View Space \| Blog \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Legend Joined: Jan 2004 Posts: 35053 Location: Minnesota	#21 Posted: 2/14/2012 5:08:40 PM QUOTE Originally Posted by rangerz2478: I'm not saying you're right or wrong but if you really feel this way, you should sign up at intrade.com. Rangerz- I am going to check it out.
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FrozenTundra	View Space \| Friends \| Playbook \|
Captain Joined: Mar 2006 Posts: 7890 Location: Canada	#22 Posted: 2/14/2012 5:59:50 PM I would bet right now that Obama gets re-elected. He may be doing a pretty bad job, but considering the competition, he will win. Personally, I wish Ron Paul softened his stance a bit as I love what the guy stands for and he could take down Obama and get the US on track again. Yes, I expect a back lash lol
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