Started a new thread as the other one got messed up.....
2006 Posted Season Record: 45-23 66%
2007 Posted Season Record: 24-23 51%
Week 6 and on: 0-0 $0.00
Well I took it on the chin this past weekend as it seems many of us did going a bismal 2-8 ATS
Back to the basics for me this week, last week I listened to too much outside talk which swayed me on a couple of big plays for me like Uconn and ASU. I will start tracking plays a little differently this week as well starting with a bankroll of 500.00 and posting actual dollar amount of wager.
Also congrats to all south florida backers last week. 7 turnovers by WVU was heartbreaking but USF hung in there and managed to pull out the W.
This week im leaning towards:
Memphis -2.5...The shooting on campus could sway me away from this game and also the fact that 2 of the worst Defenses will be on display
Wisconsin +3...Come on vegas you are killing me with this illinois team. They have cost me the last 2 weekends but im back for a 3rd. Wisky hasnt impressed to this point but still think they are a SOLID ball club.
Kansas State -3....Whomever you think will win this game bet the spread with them. My favorite trend of the week..Winner of the last 12 meetings are 11-1 ATS. Some other reasons I really like this play:
Kansas is 0-7 ATS when KSU has been ranked (#24 this week)
Kansas has lost 21 of last 25 road games
Kansas has played NOBODY this year
Kansas First road game and actual competition
Kansas hasnt won @ Kansas State in almost 20 years
Wake Forest -7...Match up very well with Duke
Demon Deacons are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings in Duke.
Demon Deacons are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings.
Road team is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 meetings.
Georgia +2/ML...Main thing that stands out to me in this game is Defense. Georgia
Tenn Ranks:
|
Record |
Rank |
| Total Yards |
439 |
128 |
| Passing Yards |
250.8 |
116 |
| Rushing Yards |
188.2 |
117 |
| Points Allowed |
37.5 |
136 |
| Field Goal % |
88.9 |
109 |
Georgia a great road team in the SEC covering 5 of last 7 on the road while tenn is 10-28 last 38 home games. Think georgia wins this one SU!
Arizona State -8...Kicking myself in the ass for not playing them last week against stanford!! Anyhow
Favorite is 9-1 ATS last 10 meetings
Washington State ranks near the bottom in Pass D giving up nearly an average of 300yds a game!!
Nevada -3...Nevada is now 12-1 ATS as a fav at home.
Virginia Tech +5...Another ML shot here imo. Tech should be able to shut down davis and spiller or at least contain them forcing harper to be the focus on offense. If they finally get the offense moving they will win their 5th straight against clemson.
Will add plays once I play them.
GL 2 ALL and lets have a better week than last!!!