Hello Covers world I am up nice and early to extend my in-depth personal opinion on the New Orleans Bowl. I have done an extensive amount of research into this game and feel confident in my choice. First off I would like to wish everyone good luck for the rest of the Bowl Season. In my opinion there is nothing better than the Bowl Season. Oh yeah my name is Tim Thibeault (pronounced Tebow) just thought I would throw it out there
but I am a Pats fan so I have had to stop liking him. Anyways back to business, here is my analysis!
12:00 PM Eastern Time
ECU vs U.L. Lafayette
Location:Superdome in New Orleans, Louisiana.
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Projected weather: Low 60's with 5 MPH wind
Line: UL Lafayette -6.5
Over/Under: 66.5
*Sportsbook: Intertops
Public Consensus:
ATS 72% of the public is on UL-Lafayette
Money Line 71% seem to feel there is value in ECU
Over/Under 88% are on the over
ECU 8-4
*6-6 ATS on the year
*2-4 ATS on the road (more of a home game for UL Lafayette)
*7 Overs/5 Unders
More Information:
-ECU ranks 105 out of 120 teams in pass defense.
-ECU scored 141 points in their current 3 game win streak. That averages out to 47 points per game. They also let up 110 points in those 3 games, averaging out to 37 points a game.
-ECU averages 5.7 yards per play in their last ten games.
-Shane Carden, ECU quarterback, has threw for 300+ yards in 4 of his last 6 games.
-ECU has reached over 500 total yards in 3 of their last 10 games, once reaching 600 yards even.
U.L. Lafayette 8-4
*8-4 ATS on the year
*5-1 ATS at home(more of a home game for UL Lafayette)
*6 Overs/4 Unders/1 Push
*4 Overs/0 Unders/1 Push at home
More Information:
-ULL won this same bowl game last season 32-30 against San Diego State.
-ULL ranks 111 out of 120 teams in pass defense.
-ULL scored 118 points in their current 3 game win streak, averaging out to 39 points per game. They allowed 78 points which averages to 26 points per game.
-ULL averages 6.8 yards per play in their last ten games.
-ULL has reached over 500 total yards in 4 of their last 10 games, once reaching 607 yards.
My Thoughts/My Pick
Okay well with all that being said, I generally do not go with the public when it is this high of a percentage, but I will be sticking with the OVER. There is WAYYY too much pointing at a shootout/points galore in this one. I love this pick and can not wait for this game to start! Best of luck all hope I helped.
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