Posted: 12/11/2012 11:59:10 PM
Coach: Advantage Oregon (slight)
I realize Snyder is an icon and a fantastic motivator. His schemes have grown with the times and his players play smart. Chip's teams have become a polished and well oiled machine (accept against teams with dominating front 7's). His teams consistently rank in the top 5 in major offensive categories and he allows his coordinators to coach with confidence.
I give a slight edge to Chip (partly because his recruiting has given him the more talented team).
QB vs pass rush/secondary: Advantage Oregon
I will give an edge in receivers to K.State. But I don't believe the WR's are going to decide this game.
Regarding pure passing skills Mariota is the choice. Mariota's passing efficiency is 165.3 compared to Klein's 156.1 rating. Mariota's completion percentage is 69.87; Klein's is 66.18. Mariota threw six pics. Klein had seven. Lastly, Mariota has passed for 30 TD's to Klein's 15. Klein is the better and tougher runner. Klein is way more important to his team. Mariota will out play Klein because the talent around him is better and Chip has a month to prepare.
Backfield rushing vs front seven: Advantage Oregon
Both teams have effective rushing attacks (but with different styles). With Klein being an TE playing QB, K. State likes to pound teams and tire them out with a physical attack (a weakness of the Ducks in the past). Oregon uses high tempo and a precise execution of a handful of plays to befuddle and tire out opposing D's and then....BOOM. Arthur Brown is a stud (Meshak Williams is pretty good too) but the rest of the front seven is slightly above average. Brown is going to have to cover a ton of ground. K. State will try to do what Stanford did (stay with assignments (on zone read and option plays), penetration and make plays in space) but all teams try to play this way against UofO. K. State's front 7 is no Stanford (its not even close). Oregon's front 7 will have most of their players back. When healthy, Oregon's front 7 played very well and I think they have enough to hold K. State's rushing attack until K. State needs to pass (after falling behind early). Also, look for plenty of big plays from Oregon's back field.
Overall, Oregon has the more talented team and will be ready to play. K. State has some talented players but they have too many average (though overachieving) players to hang with the Ducks. I believe K. State will play tough early but cant stick around with Oregon. Oregon wins the eye test hands down.
Thanks for reading.