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NCAA FOOTBALL WK 2

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Posted: #1
SEASON RECORD YTD:   6-4-1 (60.00%)
FUTURES RECORD YTD:  0-0-0         
ATS RECORD YTD:      4-4-1         
O/U RECORD YTD:      2-0            
MONSTER PLAYS YTD:   1-0                        
+3.5 UNITS YTD:                                           
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WEEK 1 RECAP   6-4-1:   1-0 on MONSTER PLAYS
---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
ARK ST vs OREGON OVER 65     MONSTER PLAY   3 UNITS
Marshall +22 (-120)
Washington St +13
UCF -21
Oklahoma State -63
Oklahoma -30
SMU +13
USC -39                                                 PUSH
North Texas +45.5
San Jose St +26
UCLA vs Rice over 55.5


WEEK 2 LEANS
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
PENN ST +10
INDIANA -13
MICHIGAN -21.5
UCF +17.5
BALL STATE +27.5
ECU vs SOUTH CAROLINA over (anything under 72)
WASHINGTON +23.5
UTEP +7.5
LA TECH -3.5
TULANE +25
NC STATE -4
WESTERN KENTUCKY +40.5
FRESNO STATE vs OREGON over (anything under 78)


"Had a good week last week going 6-4 and hitting the MONSTER play with the Oregon vs Arkansas State over 65. Looking at another MONSTER play this week. Will update as plays are locked in and information is shared. BOL all







previous thread:https://www.covers.com/postingforum/post01/showmessage.aspx?spt=33&sub=101403137






 
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Posted: #2
good stuff jdn....good luck
 
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Posted: #3
good stuff jdn....good luck
 
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Posted: #4
nc state is a great play. was really surprised when i saw that line. already locked in
 
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Posted: #5

On board with Meeechigan and PSU (overreaction....+10? really?)

Will be opposite on the UCF play, if the Bucks play like they did yesterday, UCF will cover (yes, 56-10, but very sloppy overall)

Lastly, kudos on the sjst/north tex covers -

 
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Posted: #6
mylife   

brinkstaa   too much love for Uconn and overreacting by most

Cherokee, penn state will have things worked out...UVA is not that good...this game has17-13 written all over it
 
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Posted: #7
La tech,,western ky,,Saban showed us what he has last week
 
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Posted: #8
***LOCKED IN***

NC ST -4
UNC -6.5
La Tech -3.5
Penn st +10

TEASER: Wisconsin -1 + UNC -1 + Penn St +17 (0.4u to win 1.0u)
 
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Posted: #9
good picks! the book i use doesn't even have the games up yet :(
 
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Posted: #10
go to 5dimes.

very reputable book
 
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Posted: #11
let's see...Clemson vs 

ULM (2007) w 49-26 as 26 pt faves NO COVER
citadel (2008) w 45-17 as 35 pt faves NO COVER
Mid Ten St (2009) w 37-14 as 18 pt faves COVER
No. Tex (2010) w 35-10 as 27 pt faves NO COVER
Presbyterian (2010) w 58-21 as 46 pt faves NO COVER
Troy (2011) w 43-19 as 14 pt faves COVER
Wofford (2011) w 35-27 as 25 pt faves NO COVER

7 chances over the previous 5 years in EARLY SEASON ACTION (wks1,2,3) against inferior opponents...

they cover spreads of 14 and 18 and fail to cover 26, 35, 27, 46, 25

it's a known fact that Clemson plays down to inferior competition ...they actually trailed at the half vs Troy...

I'll take my chances will ball st + 27


ball state +27.5

locked in
 
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Posted: #12
Nice hit with the Oregon over 

I don't know if Bama covers that 40.5 spread but I do like Bama TT over on that game. Also leaning LSU large this weekend 
 
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Posted: #13
JDN...I hear you on the stats.  However, Clemson is loaded this year and will not play down to the talent pool this year.  1st home game after the Auburn win.  If they roll up 528 total yards on an SEC defense, what is Ball St. gonna do to stop that?


 
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Posted: #14
Quote Originally Posted by ClemsonFan1:

JDN...I hear you on the stats.  However, Clemson is loaded this year and will not play down to the talent pool this year.  1st home game after the Auburn win.  If they roll up 528 total yards on an SEC defense, what is Ball St. gonna do to stop that?



I've heard this every year since Woodrow danzler was quarterbacking the tigers,


I'll have to pay to see it


ball st +27
 
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Posted: #15
gotta think the clemson/ball st over will be the monster play right?
 
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Posted: #16
still pending buddy

how was week1 for ya?
 
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Posted: #17
solid
 
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Posted: #18
Quote Originally Posted by jdnmoney:

***LOCKED IN***

NC ST -4
UNC -6.5
La Tech -3.5
Penn st +10
Ball state (1.5u)
tulane +25

TEASER: Wisconsin -1 + UNC -1 + Penn St +17 (0.4u to win 1.0u)


UPDATED CARD 
 
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Posted: #19
Love the Tulane play. Line looks pretty damn high. Wonder why. Also kinda liking Penn State but I put them on my mental fade list this year and if I were to lose that play I would be  I knew I shoulda faded them week 1
 
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Posted: #20
another solid looking card, good luck this week
 
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Posted: #21
I think all have over reacted to penn state

Ohio is a very good football team, top 40 in the country...WOULD GO OVER .500 IN THE B10

UVA is in no way better than PENN ST by 10 PTS

they aren't 10 points better than duke...

penn state will get alot better this year, they will work some things out on offense...remember, Ohio got lucky on a tipped ball for a long TDpass and needed a PSU muffed punt for another score...


+ 10 is the play and maybe ML
 
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Posted: #22
trey   Bol guy

buddy    hope u have an awesome season
 
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Posted: #23
Look at the Cin & Pitt game on thursday. The line is Cin -9

Pitt lost 31-17 to Youngstown St.

Cin will beat Pitt really bad in week 2.
 
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Posted: #24
liking that WKU line as well, think it goes up near 42. WKU isnt a bad sun belt team and they catch Bama between Michigan and Arkansas
 
 
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Posted: #25
Quote Originally Posted by Rain_Man:

Look at the Cin & Pitt game on thursday. The line is Cin -9

Pitt lost 31-17 to Youngstown St.

Cin will beat Pitt really bad in week 2.

completely disagree, although I reject ur opinion...

Youngstown is a very very good d-1aa team who runs a quirky offense and has fantastic skill guys...

this overreaction is exactly what the books want...

no play for me but would lean Pitt big
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