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Author: [College Football] Topic: Get ready for the football season with these simple systems:
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#1
Posted: 7/16/2012 3:43:41 PM
System of the day #1 (NFL):

Favorites of 5 points or less after a dog win of 3 points or less:

45-92 ATS

A similar version of this system is very good in NCAA as well:

Teams with line from +2 to -2.5 are 46-83 ATS after a dog win of 3 points or less. They are also 75-114 ATS if their dog win was by 5-16 points.

Check this thread daily for more football systems !
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#2
Posted: 7/17/2012 4:28:43 AM
System of the day #2 (NFL):

Teams after scoring 7-9 points and covering by 2.5 or more at home are 48-22 ATS in the NFL.

Slightly different system applies to the NCAA:

Teams after scoring 3-9 points away and covering by 1.5 or more are 43-19 ATS.
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#3
Posted: 7/18/2012 1:47:38 AM
System of the day #3:

NFL home dogs after a road dog win are 77-36 ATS if their opponent won at home last week.

NCAA:

Home dogs after a road dog win are 40-17 ATS if their opponent played at home last week and either won as dog or lost as favorite.
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#4
Posted: 7/18/2012 12:36:03 PM
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#5
Posted: 7/18/2012 2:04:38 PM
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#6
Posted: 7/19/2012 12:48:34 AM
System of the day #4:

NFL favorites with 6 or less days of rest after OT game as a dog:

38-64 ATS

NCAA OT system: NCCA road teams with 6 or less days of rest after home OT win:

39-64 ATS
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#7
Posted: 7/20/2012 1:40:45 AM
System of the day (Friday):

NFL:
Dogs with min.regular rest after 3+pts dog OT win by 3+pts:

39-13 ATS

NCAA: not so successifull...

Road teams with line <11 and >-11 after winning by 3 or less as favorites in OT: 7-33 ATS
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#8
Posted: 7/21/2012 11:51:08 PM
Just before midnight...Saturday system of the day.

Road NFL faves of 3.5 pts or more after a home dog game and another dog game before that are 1-21 ATS

Home NCAA faves after a road dog win and another dog win before that are 6-21 ATS in last 27.
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#9
Posted: 7/22/2012 11:35:26 AM
Sunday system of the day:

NFL teams before a divisional dog game are 974-1214 ATS in first 16 weeks of the season. Big sample system, particularly good when these teams are looking forward to a big rival (Vikings 5-12 ATS before GB, Redskins 5-17 ATS before Cowboys,etc).


NCAA teams in this same situation are just as bad as the NFL teams. Probably the best way to use this system is to split it team-by-team as you will find out that some teams struggle in this situation more than other teams, especially before big rivals. Vanderbilt is 5-20 ATS in this situation before being a dog against Georgia. CMU is 1-12 ATS in this situation before being a dog against WMU...
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#10
Posted: 7/23/2012 2:06:50 AM
Monday System of the day:

NFL teams with 13-15 wins last season usually struggle in the first 5 weeks of the following season. Here is the breakdown of their ATS records depending on how many of those wins were upsets.

In the first 5 weeks of the season, teams with 13-15 wins last season are:

18-44 ATS if they had 0 upset wins last season...
25-40 ATS if they had 1 upset win last season...
63-80 ATS if they had 2-5 upset wins last season...
8-5 ATS if they had 6+ upset wins last season.

In conclusion, 12-15 wins teams are a very good early season fade if they collected 0 or very few dog wins last season. (New Orleans could be the team to go against early on, but dont forget to go with an occasional fade against New England, Baltimore and GB as well).

As for the NCAA, there is a good system to go against teams with less than 4 wins last season if they were upset at least 3 times. That system is good for the first two weeks only and it is 43-82 ATS (82-43 ATS if we are going against those teams).
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#11
Posted: 7/23/2012 2:12:22 AM
Feel free to give me your feedback here or on twitter (#winallsports)
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#12
Posted: 7/23/2012 11:51:34 PM

CHECK THIS SYSTEM OUT.

A ROAD FAVORITE OF 7 AND MORE AND WHEN LEADING AT HALF TIME BY ATLEAST 13 PTS COVER  350-20 ATS DATING BACK TO 1998.

NOW THAT IS A SYSTEM
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#13
Posted: 7/23/2012 11:54:01 PM

I DONT BELIEVED IN SYSTEM.. ALL SYSTEM IS FAILURE..

1.. FAILURE

2. LOST OF MONEY

3. LOST OF TIME

4. LOST OF FAMILY TIMES

5. TOO MUCH TIME ON SYSTEM

6. LAST BUT NOW LEAST... DONATION. DONATION. DONATION. DONATION

 
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#14
Posted: 7/24/2012 1:39:38 AM
These systems are as asimple as they come with only 2-3 parameters. Not even close to what you are saying. And nobody is forcing you to read my posts. I have been winning big money with those same systems for the past 7 years. Anyways, thanks for your feedback.
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#15
Posted: 7/24/2012 1:45:58 AM
System of the day for Tuesday 7/24/2012

NFL teams with max regular 6 days of rest are 12-40 ATS if they won their last game as underdogs of +11.5 or worst.


College teams are vulnerable in this situation if they were dogs of more than +14 in their win while favored in their following game (48-73 ATS)
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#16
Posted: 7/25/2012 3:19:40 AM
System of the day (Wednesday):

NFL teams that lost last game while allowing 7 points or less are 18-2-1 ATS if they did not cover the spread by 10+ points in that game.

In the NCAA, teams that scored 6-7 points in their last game and lost, while not covering by 10+ are 52-28 ATS.
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#17
Posted: 7/26/2012 2:28:16 PM
System of the day (Thursday) 26/7

NFL teams in weeks 4 and later after scoring 0 points at home:

32-11 ATS

NCAA teams in weeks 3-10 on the road after scoring 0 pts at home:

82-52 ATS (28-9 ats last 37)
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#18
Posted: 7/27/2012 1:05:31 AM
Friday:

Road NFL faves after a home dog win, against teams that played at home last week: 17-42 ATS.

Road NCAA faves after home dog win, against teams that played of the road last week: 69-109 ATS.
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Posted: 7/27/2012 3:19:21 AM
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#20
Posted: 7/27/2012 3:41:51 AM
Good stuff all-around!!
Posted using a mobile device.
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#21
Posted: 7/27/2012 3:54:44 PM
I will post at least one system in both NFL and NCAA every day before the season as well as during the season. If haters somehow get too boring you will be able to find me on twitter, but hopefully they will just quit once I start winning.
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#22
Posted: 7/27/2012 4:26:53 PM
i am generally wary of some of these more convoluted systems (i.e. tons of parameters)... however, some of these do have pretty impressive results over a long period of time, so you can't argue too much...

curious to see how some of these pan out... only problem is spotting games where the systems can be applied...
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#23
Posted: 7/28/2012 12:56:20 AM
Saturday system:

Road NFL teams trying to revenge previous season road loss of more than 10 points are 151-98 ATS.

In the NCAA, revenging previous season road loss is particularly effective for teams that lost that game in the first 9 weeks and by 48 pts or more (119-66 ATS).
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#24
Posted: 7/28/2012 6:52:00 AM

some pretty interesting trends...man have there really been 185 games with a revenge spot losing by 48 or more...that must be at least 30-40 years...it might be interesting to see how these various things have done over the last 5-10 years...a few trends could have reversed themselves and it would not show in the 30-40 year sample for a long time
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Posted: 7/28/2012 8:06:44 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by nostradamus12:

some pretty interesting trends...man have there really been 185 games with a revenge spot losing by 48 or more...that must be at least 30-40 years...it might be interesting to see how these various things have done over the last 5-10 years...a few trends could have reversed themselves and it would not show in the 30-40 year sample for a long time



4-0 last season after 2 bad seasons for this system. The system was a winner in 21 of last 30 seasons. Last season we had Kansas +20 against Baylor (lost by 1 point), Purdue +7.5 against Ohio State (Purdue won the game) as well as Iowa State covering as big dogs against Oklahoma and Wake killing Maryland 31-10 as 11 pts fave.
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