Help Please --- BCS Title Score Predictions

Forum: College Football Page 1 of 2  1 2  
Author: [College Football] Topic: Help Please --- BCS Title Score Predictions
PokeU PM PokeU
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 44
 
PokeU
Participation Meter
Posted: 1/9/2012 1:43:58 AM
Need your help Covers football predictors. 


I'm tied for first in my bowl pool and could win $300 tomorrow but it's between me and a girl. .  We both picked LSU.


So the tiebreaker is how many points does LSU score?

2nd tie-breaker (if needed) is how many points Alabama scores.


So could you guy shoot me your scores or help me predict a confident range for LSU.  

Any help is appreciated.  Thanks in advance. 
Messier-11 PM Messier-11
Joined: Aug 2009
Posts: 10861
 
Messier-11
Participation Meter
Posted: 1/9/2012 1:45:38 AM
9-6 lsu
skibowe PM skibowe
Joined: Sep 2005
Posts: 553
Hawaii
 
skibowe
Participation Meter
Posted: 1/9/2012 1:48:57 AM
Lsu 24 ala 17

bone_diddley PM bone_diddley
Joined: Oct 2007
Posts: 41
Michigan
 
bone_diddley
Participation Meter
Posted: 1/9/2012 1:49:19 AM

LSU 23 Bama 17

PokeU PM PokeU
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 44
 
PokeU
Participation Meter
Posted: 1/9/2012 1:49:31 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Messier-11:

9-6 lsu

Geo21 PM Geo21
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 94
 
Geo21
Participation Meter
Posted: 1/9/2012 2:07:13 AM
Going to be higher than the first game I will tell you that. Indoors this time. There were many missed field goals and a td called back last game. I see team totals being 21-24 for LSU and 16- 20 Bama
BigShotWinna PM BigShotWinna
Joined: Aug 2010
Posts: 297
United States
 
BigShotWinna
Participation Meter
Posted: 1/9/2012 2:08:07 AM
LSU scores 24. Bama scores 28. G LUCK
pac12expert PM pac12expert
Joined: Sep 2010
Posts: 1252
United States
 
pac12expert
Participation Meter
Posted: 1/9/2012 2:18:36 AM
gonna be a lot more points scored in this one from the last meeting.  i say something like alabama 23 lsu 20
NoRice4U PM NoRice4U
Joined: Nov 2011
Posts: 94
 
NoRice4U
Participation Meter
Posted: 1/9/2012 2:19:52 AM
LSU 17-14
Hoesuff PM Hoesuff
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 388
Texas
 
Hoesuff
Participation Meter
Posted: 1/9/2012 2:30:11 AM
LSU 23-16
Posted using a mobile device.
Hoesuff PM Hoesuff
Joined: Mar 2011
Posts: 388
Texas
 
Hoesuff
Participation Meter
Posted: 1/9/2012 2:30:53 AM
24-17 lol
Posted using a mobile device.
shark_apreza PM shark_apreza
Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 12551
Portugal
 
shark_apreza
Participation Meter
Posted: 1/9/2012 2:33:00 AM
13-10 LSU
PrimeTimeBoys PM PrimeTimeBoys
Joined: Sep 2007
Posts: 13343
Pennsylvania
 
PrimeTimeBoys
Participation Meter
Posted: 1/9/2012 2:34:48 AM
LSU 24-21
degengambler34 PM degengambler34
Joined: Dec 2011
Posts: 3661
Nevada
 
degengambler34
Participation Meter
Posted: 1/9/2012 2:49:44 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by pac12expert:

gonna be a lot more points scored in this one from the last meeting.  i say something like alabama 23 lsu 20

That's quite a bold prediction considering their was 15 points scored in the first game, you're really going out on a limb saying there's gonna be more points. 
PokeU PM PokeU
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 44
 
PokeU
Participation Meter
Posted: 1/9/2012 2:50:31 AM
I didn't get to watch this LSU/Bama game the first time (I was at the Oklahoma State vs Kansas State game) and I'm watching it now and seeing lots of points left on the board.

I've got the offensive/defensive lines marked down as just about even, with a slight nod to Bama's d-line.  But these QB's are not very good, lots of over-thrown passes and poor decision making. 

You'd think in the month off these QBs would improve, right? 

Jefferson looks like more points than Lee.

I see the consensus seems to be LSU 17-24.  Wonder if I should pick in the middle of that slightly favoring the high number. Hm.   
jimmydafreak PM jimmydafreak
Joined: Oct 2003
Posts: 13626
United States
 
jimmydafreak
Participation Meter
Posted: 1/9/2012 2:51:27 AM

Both defenses still hold a pretty significat advantage over the offenses.  I think there is almost no shot that LSU's offense will score more than 10 points in this game.  If LSU gets past 10 points it'll be because of non-offensive scores.

Alabama's offense won't fare a whole lot better, but they definitely have the better more balanced offensive attack.  Look for Alabama to score in the 13-20 point range, and LSU to score in the 3-10 point range.  Even though I don't think LSU will score a touchdown in this game, I'll give them credit for one anyhow.

I'll call it 16-10 Alabama.

PokeU PM PokeU
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 44
 
PokeU
Participation Meter
Posted: 1/9/2012 3:02:26 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by jimmydafreak:

Both defenses still hold a pretty significat advantage over the offenses.  I think there is almost no shot that LSU's offense will score more than 10 points in this game.  If LSU gets past 10 points it'll be because of non-offensive scores.

Alabama's offense won't fare a whole lot better, but they definitely have the better more balanced offensive attack.  Look for Alabama to score in the 13-20 point range, and LSU to score in the 3-10 point range.  Even though I don't think LSU will score a touchdown in this game, I'll give them credit for one anyhow.

I'll call it 16-10 Alabama.


I'm starting to agree with you.  Bama D-Line looks to have a good advantage on LSU's O-line, the more I watch this 2nd half. 
degengambler34 PM degengambler34
Joined: Dec 2011
Posts: 3661
Nevada
 
degengambler34
Participation Meter
Posted: 1/9/2012 3:08:11 AM
I would unload in this game on bama but the special teams is just such a monster advantage for lsu. They will likely have much shorter fields to work with in this game . 
PokeU PM PokeU
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 44
 
PokeU
Participation Meter
Posted: 1/9/2012 3:13:55 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by degengambler34:

I would unload in this game on bama but the special teams is just such a monster advantage for lsu. They will likely have much shorter fields to work with in this game . 

Special teams are important! 
jimmydafreak PM jimmydafreak
Joined: Oct 2003
Posts: 13626
United States
 
jimmydafreak
Participation Meter
Posted: 1/9/2012 3:15:21 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by degengambler34:

I would unload in this game on bama but the special teams is just such a monster advantage for lsu. They will likely have much shorter fields to work with in this game . 

LSU most definitely holds the advantage in the kicking game, but look for Alabama to even it out quite a bit in this game.  I can only speculate about some things we may see because I don't know for certain, but I can tell you that Alabama has spent a lot of time in practice working on special teams.  As I said, expect a much better performance out of Alabama's special teams this go around.

 

 

PokeU PM PokeU
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 44
 
PokeU
Participation Meter
Posted: 1/9/2012 3:19:59 AM
Alabama has not given up many points at all this year if you throw out Georgia Southern. 

I bet if you went with Bama D averages, you'd give LSU about 10-17.

I took LSU's scores from 2011,2010,2009 vs. Bama

Then added in Covers predictions thus far and averaged it out and came out with LSU scoring 19 points.


PokeU PM PokeU
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 44
 
PokeU
Participation Meter
Posted: 1/9/2012 3:23:21 AM
Wow.  Bama has given up 8 pts a game if you throw out Georgia Southern. (No motivation).

That's a lot different than the 19 I came out with.


But in regards to MY bet...against a GIRL who doesn't know football.   I'd guess she goes high (17-24 or more).

Maybe I'd do good with a number like 16?
degengambler34 PM degengambler34
Joined: Dec 2011
Posts: 3661
Nevada
 
degengambler34
Participation Meter
Posted: 1/9/2012 3:24:51 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by PokeU:


Special teams are important! 

When you're talking about teams that play this kind of defense they really are actually lol. 
PokeU PM PokeU
Joined: Oct 2011
Posts: 44
 
PokeU
Participation Meter
Posted: 1/9/2012 3:27:19 AM
I just have to beat a girl with little football knowledge bros.  I appreciate the help.

I'm just looking for a good number that will hit as close as possible. 
jimmydafreak PM jimmydafreak
Joined: Oct 2003
Posts: 13626
United States
 
jimmydafreak
Participation Meter
Posted: 1/9/2012 3:30:46 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by PokeU:

Wow.  Bama has given up 8 pts a game if you throw out Georgia Southern. (No motivation).

That's a lot different than the 19 I came out with.


But in regards to MY bet...against a GIRL who doesn't know football.   I'd guess she goes high (17-24 or more).

Maybe I'd do good with a number like 16?

What kind of conslusion are you trying to reach?  Probably the safest bet is under the 40.5 point total.

If you give LSU credit for the 9 points they scored in the first game, they still won't hit 20 points.

 

Forum: College Football Page 1 of 2  1 2  
You have entered the forum as a GUEST. 
You must login/register to post or reply.