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Author: [College Football] Topic: SNF College Football Bowl Season Thread
SatNightFever05 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#1
Posted: 12/6/2011 2:46:28 PM
OK, so nice little 2-0 +$500 week 14 to push me little further into the black.. been seeing things really well the last month, think I'm like 12-3 the last month..

Regular Season: 58-48-2 (55%), +$550

Will also find my Regular Season win totals and Conference futures.. pretty sure I went 3-3 on my Reg Season win totals severly whiffing on LSU, Tenn and Oklahoma.. but won with Nebraska Under, Arizona Under, ND Under...

Conf win totals were huge success.. Had UGA at +350 to start the year to win the SEC East and added on some at +650 after the 0-2 start.. also had VT to win the Coastal, Oregon to win the P12 and Wisky to win the B10.. only Conf bets I lost were hedges (OSU to win Leaders/SC to win SEC East)

OK, so onto Bowl Season

I typically won't lock anything in this early because of the suspensions/coaches fired, etc. that can happen and while I might miss out on some good #'s, I've learned that the risk/reward just isn't there to lock in a bet 4 weeks before it happens..

With that said, here's what I'm looking at..  all thoughts/comments are appreciated 


Bowl Season Leans


Utah St/Ohio Over.. should be lots of pts here

FSU -3 vs ND.. Irish struggled in many games this yr.. like FSU to rebound in bowl season and prep for next yr

Wash/Baylor Over- anything under 80 will be worth play

Tulsa +2.5 vs BYU- not sold on Cougs.. liked how Tulsa played for much of the year.. only losses were to OU/OSU/Boise/Houston

NW +10 vs A&M.. A&M in shambles.. NW typically plays underdog very well, esp at double digits

Cavs +1.5 vs Auburn.. Cavs very good at stopping run, Auburn can't throw.. UVA gotta be pumped for being here- step back for Auburn vs NT game a year ago

Vandy -3 vs Cincy.. fading BE vs decent SEC team

OSU +2 vs UF.. god, Florida is awful.. 6 weeks of practice for Braxton should make him better..

Va Tech +2.5 vs UM.. keep hating on the Hokies.. undeserving yes, but still better than UM that went 1-2 vs B10 teams above 6-6 on the yr

Okie St- only at 3 or less.. Stanford very overrated and got to 11 wins because of schedule..

will also be on LSU, K-State and Wisky at some point



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#2
Posted: 12/6/2011 3:07:06 PM
like most of those....
looking for points?....check out that Ark St / N Illinois OVER 62....only 4 pts more than Ohio / USU.....
Toledo / AF OVER 71 not bad....

your only loss will of course be Va Tech.....

best of luck.....
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#3
Posted: 12/6/2011 4:59:30 PM
Any leans on Air Force? I think Toledo's defense will have a hard time stopping them.
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#4
Posted: 12/6/2011 5:52:39 PM

Nice to see a thread about CFB gambling on the CFB gambling forum. 

I disagree with many, which should bode well for you. 

 

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#5
Posted: 12/8/2011 11:08:33 AM

LSU-Wisky-VTch-Clem- nothing locked in...still looking

I'm leaning Stanford...but now you have me thinking...

also took Navy -7 for Saturday

I think your Bowl thread last year is how we met......you had a decent Bowl season.....would have been a great one if not for a sting of losses near the end if I remember correctly. 6 I think.... I can't see that happening two years in a row.

GL this year friend

Slo~

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#6
Posted: 12/8/2011 8:56:14 PM
Love OSU agaionst FLA. Good luck.
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#7
Posted: 12/8/2011 9:14:58 PM

gl bud

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#8
Posted: 12/9/2011 9:52:07 AM
BOL: SNF
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#9
Posted: 12/9/2011 1:45:18 PM
On Stanford, just think OSU's minds wouldn't be on this game. GL, SNF
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#10
Posted: 12/9/2011 3:00:23 PM

Best of Luck

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#11
Posted: 12/12/2011 12:44:07 AM
Like all your picks except Okie St.


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#12
Posted: 12/12/2011 1:59:41 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by SatNightFever05:








Tulsa +2.5 vs BYU- not sold on Cougs.. liked how Tulsa played for much of the year.. only losses were to OU/OSU/Boise/Houston



Vandy -3 vs Cincy.. fading BE vs decent SEC team


Okie St- only at 3 or less.. Stanford very overrated and got to 11 wins because of schedule..

will also be on LSU, K-State and Wisky at some point






agree with most of your plays... strongly agree with these ones above!
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#13
Posted: 12/13/2011 6:45:49 PM
will get to all comments.. started new job, so I've been busy..

more to follow...


Tulsa +3 vs. BYU, $550 to win $500

NC State -2 vs. Louisville, $330 to win $300

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#14
Posted: 12/15/2011 12:52:58 PM
good luck with your plays
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#15
Posted: 12/15/2011 3:07:40 PM
SMU +4 vs. Pitt, $220 to win $200

Utah State -1.5 vs Ohio, $220 to win $200


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#16
Posted: 12/15/2011 11:15:49 PM
ULL vs. San Diego State, Over 58.5, $330 to win $300

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#17
Posted: 12/15/2011 11:54:35 PM
Good luck man.  Way to turn it around after a rough start.
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#18
Posted: 12/16/2011 12:27:00 AM
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#19
Posted: 12/16/2011 11:06:56 AM
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#20
Posted: 12/16/2011 12:25:52 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by bookieassassin:

like most of those....
looking for points?....check out that Ark St / N Illinois OVER 62....only 4 pts more than Ohio / USU.....
Toledo / AF OVER 71 not bad....

your only loss will of course be Va Tech.....

best of luck.....


Missed the boat on Ohio/USU  should have fired on 57.5  already up to 59.5 at my place..

Will look hard at Toledo/AFA.. just hate taking Overs with straight run teams

I clearly haven't learned my lesson by fading UM


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SatNightFever05 send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#21
Posted: 12/16/2011 12:26:41 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Absolutxedge22:

Any leans on Air Force? I think Toledo's defense will have a hard time stopping them.


Lean hard to Air Force and the Over.. still got sometime to look at that one
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#22
Posted: 12/16/2011 12:27:30 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by MaineRoad:

Nice to see a thread about CFB gambling on the CFB gambling forum. 

I disagree with many, which should bode well for you. 



Yea, this forum gets kinda shady and or not good towards the end of the season.. hopefully it'll pick back up again starting this week




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#23
Posted: 12/16/2011 12:29:05 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by slomotion:

LSU-Wisky-VTch-Clem- nothing locked in...still looking

I'm leaning Stanford...but now you have me thinking...

also took Navy -7 for Saturday

I think your Bowl thread last year is how we met......you had a decent Bowl season.....would have been a great one if not for a sting of losses near the end if I remember correctly. 6 I think.... I can't see that happening two years in a row.

GL this year friend

Slo~



Hard to think the ACC will go 2-0 in BCS bowls considering how shitty their conference is.. like Wisky and LSU

I get the motivation or non-motivation on Okie State's part, but Stanford I feel is vastly overrated and got to 11 wins because of schedule.. nothing more.

Yea, I ran off like a 12-2 start to Bowl season and finished by going 0-7 or something 

Hopefully that won't be the case thisyr 
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#24
Posted: 12/16/2011 12:31:28 PM
Zcoach Think Florida is dog poo

Tree

Nostra

Bunny I hear ya.. can't fault anyone for taking the Cardinal here

Sports

Larry

Ice Loving Tulsa

Insight

Aggie

Giant
 
Kaplan 
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#25
Posted: 12/16/2011 12:35:32 PM
That will do it until after Christmas...



Bowl Picks
Utah State -1.5 vs Ohio, $220 to win $200

ULL vs. SDSU, Over 58.5, $330 to win $300
NC State -2 vs. Louisville, $330 to win $300
Tulsa +3 vs. BYU, $550 to win $500
SMU +4 vs. Pitt, $220 to win $200
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