39-20-1 YTD
Couldn't be happier with the year thus far but I've been waiting for this game to unload a bit on. I have been super disciplined all year, betting relatively the same amount on each play and it's worked out great.
I just can't resist on this play.
Arkansas @ LSU
Let's review the Hogs schedule:
New Mexico at home. Worst team in college football Hogs 52-3
Troy at home. Maybe the second worst team in CFB, Hogs 38-28.
@ Bama, 14-38 Bama. Hogs never in this game.
Neutral site vs Texas A&M. A&M up 35-17 at half, final 42-38 hogs
Auburn at home, Hogs win easy 38-14 against another unranked team
@ Ole Miss, Hogs comeback again down 7-17 at half, win 29-24
@ Vandy, Hogs again come from behind down 20-28 in 4th.
Hogs then play S. Carolina, Tenn and Miss st at home. Won fairly easily against fair at best teams. Carolina being the best team but they are over rated.
So they had to come back against Troy, Vandy, TAM, and Ole Miss. All unranked teams today and Vandy, Troy and Ole Miss are piss poor teams.
#3 in the country by default. The worst #3 team I can ever remember. A terrible team away from home, a good team at home.
LSU has given up 40 total points at home in 6 games.
The Hogs are 0-3 ATS on the road this year
Wilson is a good QB but he hasn't seen a defense like this all year except against Bama when he had only 185 yds, did throw 2td's but he also tossed a pick.
Comp games:
Ark beat Auburn 38-14 at Home, LSU beat Auburn 45-10 at home
Ark lost to Bama at Bama 14-38, LSU beat Bama at Bama 9-6
Ark beat Ole Miss at Ole Miss 29-24, LSU beat Ole Miss at Ole Miss 52-3.
The Hogs are 0-3 ATS on the road this year
I'm betting the chickens, the pigs, the cows, the horses and even the barn on......................
LSU -12
and this might go down a little
Prediction LSU 40-13