Posted:
#1
Interesting position here as it's Homecoming for SJose and Hawaii is coming in off a bye week.....I love bye weeks. I haven't heard if RB Brandon Rutley is in our out for tonights game.
- SJ opponents are 19-13 including Stanford and a close loss last week to a "decent" BYU team. Hawaii's opponents 9-18.
- SJ on offense is a concern although 4 of their 6 games have been on the road so far. #91 in offense, #80 passing, #99 in scoring, #108 in passing efficency and #79 in turnover margin.
- SJ special teams is a concern as well. #92 in punt return avg, #82 in ko return avg and #69 in punting avg. This is a receipe for losing the field position game to Hawii.
- SJ on defense is a huge concern. #94 rushing, #93 in passing efficency defense, #92 in total defense, #119 in sacks and #119 in tackles for a loss.....not a great sign for pass happy Hawaii.
- Hawaii on offense is typical Hawaii offense. Throw a ton and run a little.....although I see Hawaii running against the SJ defense a little more than people might expect.
- On offense Hawaii is #25 in scoring, #8 in passing, #38 in passing efficency, but #110 in rushing but it doesn't matter. What concerns me at first glance is Hawaii is #100 in sacks allowed, although with SJ #119 in sacks I'm not real concerned. SR QB Moniz is fun to watch and puts up big numbers....15tds to 1 pick is amazing regardless who you have played and in his career in 29 games he has thrown for 68 scores vs. 26 picks annd has rushed for 9 more tds. Moniz has improved year after year.
- Special Teams and turnovers for Hawii is average, although as much as they throw and as many times as Moniz has been sacked I'm ok with them being ranked #51 in turnover margin. They are below average on punt returns at #86 and average KO retuns at #54. I'm not impressed by Freshman Kicker Tyler Haden as he's missed 2pats and only 2 of 4 fg's.
- Hawaii on Defense....against lesser teams they put up good numbers. Oveall they are #18 against the run, #27 in total defense, #3 in sacks and #37 in tackles for a loss. Must keep in mind that teams can throw against Hawaii but mainly because they are trying to keep up with Hawaii's offense.
Overall and Pick:
A bye week to me is much more important that a Home Coming game. With that said I wouldn't touch the 1H against a Home Coming team as they may come out more motivated early before reality sets in.
I'll take Hawaii's 3rd year starting Senior QB Moniz and his experience over a 1st year starting Senior QB Matt Faulkner. In my opinion this is where the biggest gap in talent falls and I just don't see San Jose St stopping Hawaii's offense and I don't see them keeping up either.
Hawaii Warriors -5.5 
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