CFB SATURDAY WEEK 5

21-12 ytd

Not much to like about the Friday card for me. I think there was some value in Utah St at +10 but I see its now down to TD so I'll pass on the Friday card and try to knock down some W's on Saturdays card. 

Saturday:

TEXAS TECH - 6 1/2

Red Raiders didn't look very good against Nevada last week as they were outgained by 120 yards but managed to get the su win on the road as a 15 point favorite. That doesn't look good at all until you look at the Jayhawks stats in their last game against Tech as they were outgained by over 400 yards and got trounced by over 40. Infact Turner's boys have flat out sucked at home going 1-7ats at home their last 8 against Big 12 opposition. Back to that Red Raider performance last week.....I'll bet Tuberville worked their ass off this week and won't allow a repeated poor defensive effort here. Maybe Ol Turner should have went soliciting a new conference to play in for his ats backers. He needs to do something to pay them back for KU's pitiful 4 wins in their last 16 conference games. Hopefully for us, he don't start the payback this week. 

ARKANSAS +3

Arkansas did just what I expected them to do last week in getting run over by Big Bad Bama being outrushed nearly 200 yards.This week however they have an opponent they can handle. A & M looked like a high school defense last week in the 2nd half against OSU being outscored 27-6 and could still be hungover as they were up 20-3 at half. (I will admit that OSU's offense is no slouch though.) When you get into the ats numbers against these soon to be conference rivals you will see that Arkie has covered 6 straight in this series. I faded the youngster (Wilson) last week in a hostile environment. I'll ride with him this week in the friendlier confines of JJ's stadium to keep it within the 3 spot and call for the Aggies to get the su win. 

KANSAS ST + 3 1/2

OVER 63

Yes I know Baylor has been very impressive thus far. I also know that all three of their wins were at home and two of them were against sub par competition in Rice and SF Austin. This is the week we'll really see how good Baylor is as they go on the road to Manhattan Ks and being from Oklahoma, I can tell you is a very tough place to go into and come away with a W. KState was on my radar last week going to The U but I couldn't pull the trigger as they hadn't played anyone yet this year. They ran the ball very well against that Miami defense and should be able to run it here in this one as Rice did rack up the yards last week gaining over 400 in that shootout that had us cashing our over ticket by the 3 rd qtr. I look for the same this week as the over has cashed 7 of the last 8 BU conference games.Oh by the way....these two combined for nearly 90 points when they hooked em up last year.

TEXAS - 9 1/2

Here is another one of those don't look at the numbers and just hold your nose and play it games. Big Tex has been a wallet burning proposition the last couple of seasons but I think they are improving and are starting to come together.Big Mack will be looking to make amends for last season huge upset by the Cyclones as a three TD dog. I think he can get it done here on the road as the road team has cashed 5 straight times in this series.

FLORIDA +4 (hook)

Now we cooking with grease boys. This will be one hell of a big time football game. Can Fla stop the run? They only allow about 2 yds per carry. Can the Bama QB's hold up to the pressure of what will be a super hostile environment? Oh its gonna be good.Florida has beat Bama in 4 of the last 5 at home with their lone loss coming by a mere single point. I think Florida has the edge offensively here and Bamas young QB's may have some stage freight. I'll side with the Home dog and buy to the full 4 although I wouldn't be a bit suprised to see Fla win it outright.

VIRGINIA TECH -6 1/2

Clemson comes in off two big wins beating Auburn and Florida St in the past two weeks. I'd like to say thanks to them for getting me to the pay bank as I backed them both times.Both of those games were at home and now they travel to play in yet another huge early season game. This time I don't think they'll come away with the win. Infact I think this one may get ugly. Beamers boys will be fired up thanks to Clemmy coming in off two big wins.Going to be very interesting to see how the young Clemson QB handles himself against the Hokies in this hostile environment.The real reason I'm backing the Hokies here is I have no faith in the Clemmy D. They give up nearly 30 points a game and were out rushed by Wofford. Tech meanwhile hasn't played anyone really.But then again they haven't give up many points with that stingy defense.Tech owns this team winning 5 straight with the closest margin being 17 points and I can see that same scenario playing out here..    

 Bol fellas.

Its all good Tide.

How bout a Bama 3 point win.

BOL TREE!

lean Va Tech, Texas

not sure on the Bama game, just not quite sold on Florida yet

all over KState

Im with ya on Bay/KSU Over, Texas, and was leaning TT.  But we're opposite on a few as I like Bama, Baylor, and lean Clemson.

I hate going agianst ya, but BOL Tree  

GL Tree

gl today bud

Quote Originally Posted by bobby007:

Tree, Gl bro on all ur plays........... If you had a Dime to put on the over in the Baylor game would you do it? Im thinking of putting it on that game, or if you have any other totals in any other game....thanx

That would depend on how much a normal 1 unit play is. If its a dime for you then yes. If your standard 1 unit play is less than a dime then no. In other words I'm trying to say just a standard 1 unit play for me. 

I really like the play though, the only holdback for me not increasing my bet is I haven't seen the Baylor offense on the road yet in Big 12 play so I kept it at one unit.

bol on it bro.

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