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Author: [College Football] Topic: 2011 NCAAF season win totals from Hilton
David_Payne send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
David_Payne
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#1
Posted: 7/24/2011 6:08:31 PM
I smell football. Hilton's opening season win totals are below and here's a link to our story: http://www.covers.com/articles/articles.aspx?article=&theArt=240944

Enjoy!

Alabama 10 -120o

Oklahoma 10

Boise St. 10.5 –120o

LSU 9.5 -160u

Stanford 9 -150u

S. Carolina 9 -150u

Arkansas 8.5

Texas A&M 8.5 -120u

Georgia 8.5 -160o

Oklahoma State 8.5
 
Nebraska 9.5 -140o

Florida State 9.5 -130o

Virginia Tech 10

Wisconsin 9.5 -120o

Arizona St. 8 -120o

West Virginia 9.5 -140u

Florida 7.5 -130u

USC 7.5 -130o

Notre Dame 8.5 -130o

Texas 8

Miss State 7.5 -130u

Miami 8 -120u

Oregon St. 6.5 -130u

TCU 9 -130u

BYU 8.5 -150o

Missouri 7.5  -120o

Michigan State 7.5 -120o

Auburn 6 -155o

Tennessee 6.5 -120o

Penn St 7.5 -155o

North Carolina 8 -130o

Michigan 7 -130o

Utah 7.5 -120u

Nevada 8 -125u

UNLV 2.5 -130o
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#2
Posted: 7/24/2011 6:28:04 PM
Ohio St?
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David_Payne send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#3
Posted: 7/24/2011 6:57:18 PM
Ohio State was not listed along with Oregon because Hilton manager said there was too much uncertainty.
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David_Payne send a private message View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook |
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#4
Posted: 7/24/2011 6:58:33 PM
Link to story since my hot link above did not take. Las Vegas Hilton first to release NCAAF season win totals
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#5
Posted: 7/24/2011 7:08:12 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by David_Payne:

Ohio State was not listed along with Oregon because Hilton manager said there was too much uncertainty.

Makes sense, even though OSU's fate is almost certain with the NCAA's latest statement. The 4 players won't start until game 6 (which has been known for some time)....even IF they receive a post-season ban, it shouldn't matter......hoping for a low number.

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Posted: 7/24/2011 7:12:20 PM
QUOTE Originally Posted by cherokee10:

Makes sense, even though OSU's fate is almost certain with the NCAA's latest statement. The 4 players won't start until game 6 (which has been known for some time)....even IF they receive a post-season ban, it shouldn't matter......hoping for a low number.



I strongly believe that Oregon and Ohio St are two of the best bets this year. OSU still most talented team in Big 10.
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#7
Posted: 7/24/2011 8:20:46 PM

Florida State 9.5 -130o

Give me the UNDER in a heart beat Under 9.5 +110 or ev money for 3 units

LSU 9.5 -160u

1 unit Under -1.6 units


Oklahoma 10

OVER for 3.3 units If I can get it at that price

Notre Dame 8.5 -130o

OVER 13 units to win 10 units

Oregon St. 6.5 -130u

Over for 2.6 units to win 2 units

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#8
Posted: 7/24/2011 8:28:18 PM
From the #s above..

LSU, ARizona State, Nebraska Under

Texas, Mich State, Missouri Over
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SouthWestPlayer
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#9
Posted: 7/24/2011 9:17:36 PM
Whats the line on Texas
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#10
Posted: 7/24/2011 9:18:04 PM
Florida over 7.5 looks good
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#11
Posted: 7/24/2011 9:18:56 PM
Wisconsin Over
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#12
Posted: 7/24/2011 9:35:29 PM
Michigan state over 7.5,   LSU over 9.5 and   mississippi state over 7.5
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#13
Posted: 7/24/2011 10:42:57 PM
Damnit, I was waiting to play Michigan State under and they come out with 7.5. 
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#14
Posted: 7/25/2011 10:05:01 AM
Those numbers seem very sharp. Not sure how much value this year in season wins compared to last year. 
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#15
Posted: 7/25/2011 10:19:18 AM
Notre Dame, Texas, Florida all over.
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#16
Posted: 7/25/2011 10:31:51 AM
Leans:
Michigan state Over 7.5

They have 5 games they should win easily and 7 close games. I believe they will win at least 3 of those 7 toss ups.


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#17
Posted: 7/25/2011 10:32:33 AM
If Florida loses to Alabama and FSU but beats Ole Miss, Kentucky, Vandy, and the other three non-cons, then 2-2 against Auburn, Carolina, Georgia, and Tennessee will give you an over. 
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#18
Posted: 7/25/2011 10:38:59 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Arid_Torpor:

If Florida loses to Alabama and FSU but beats Ole Miss, Kentucky, Vandy, and the other three non-cons, then 2-2 against Auburn, Carolina, Georgia, and Tennessee will give you an over. 

I'm sorry, brain fart. Ole Miss is not on the schedule--LSU is. 

So basically, assuming a loss to Bama, over 7.5 requires going at least 3-3 against FSU, LSU, Auburn, Carolina, Georgia, and Tennessee. That sounds a lot scarier than what I just posted. 
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#19
Posted: 7/25/2011 10:41:02 AM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by thorpe:

Those numbers seem very sharp. Not sure how much value this year in season wins compared to last year. 

Agree

these Numbers are VERY VERY Sharp

I see more Unders than Overs with Value (right now)

Maybe 3 or 4 really Stand out

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#20
Posted: 7/25/2011 10:59:28 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by DoubleUp4Life:

Agree

these Numbers are VERY VERY Sharp

I see more Unders than Overs with Value (right now)

Maybe 3 or 4 really Stand out



Depending on the team, if you like the under then you might want to wait a week or two for homers to bet up the juice on the over.
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#21
Posted: 7/25/2011 11:06:04 AM

Arkansas under 8.5 

 I just dont see this team winning nine games, especially hitting double digits as predicted by Phil Steele. Even though their schedule favors them with a majority of their tough games being played at home. I think 8 wins is tops.

I also would go over on your top three, Oklahoma, Bama, Boise

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#22
Posted: 7/25/2011 11:16:25 AM
Apart from A&M, LSU, and Bama, who do you have dealing the Hogs that 4th loss? 
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#23
Posted: 7/25/2011 11:32:38 AM
Alabama 10 -120o   

Oklahoma 10   
Hmmmmm... I was hoping for Under 10.5

Boise St. 10.5 –120o  

LSU 9.5 -160u      Did not want to pay anything over -140 but Under Looks Nice...Schedule is Hardest in many years according to my Numbers  

Stanford 9 -150u

S. Carolina 9 -150u

Arkansas 8.5   

Texas A&M 8.5 -120u

Georgia 8.5 -160o    Leaning heavy on the Under .....could Snow Ball early with tough games in first 5 of 6 ..... Boise St,  SC,   at Ole Miss,, Miss St,,,at Tennessee,,,,Richt is on a Hot seat   

Oklahoma State 8.5
 
Nebraska 9.5 -140o   

Florida State 9.5 -130o

Virginia Tech 10   

Wisconsin 9.5 -120o

Arizona St. 8 -120o

West Virginia 9.5 -140u.....Total is too high ....was thinking 9/8.5

Florida 7.5 -130u

USC 7.5 -130o

Notre Dame 8.5 -130o   Like the Under at ++Odds....only 1 Gimmie on schedule ....7-5 Sounds Right

Texas 8

Miss State 7.5 -130u   record might not be as good with the tough schedule .... could see many People pounding the Over . Tough to predict this teams Final finish

Miami 8 -120u

Oregon St. 6.5 -130u 

TCU 9 -130u

BYU 8.5 -150o

Missouri 7.5  -120o

Michigan State 7.5 -120o

Auburn 6 -155o

Tennessee 6.5 -120o    ...Like this one alot ....Maybe my Biggest Over play ..... hoping for 6.5 +100 when 5 dimes releases them ....Only 4 Road games ....

Penn St 7.5 -155o

North Carolina 8 -130o

Michigan 7 -130o

Utah 7.5 -120u

Nevada 8 -125u

UNLV 2.5 -130o
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#24
Posted: 7/25/2011 11:35:15 AM
QUOTE Originally Posted by Arid_Torpor:

Apart from A&M, LSU, and Bama, who do you have dealing the Hogs that 4th loss? 
I believe they lose to South Carolina, and Mississippi St. At best maybe a split.  State coming off of a nine win season, returning 15 - 16 starters, and looking to redeem their double overtime loss to the Pigs last year, and the Cocks are in my mind the team to beat in the East.
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#25
Posted: 7/25/2011 12:03:07 PM
QUOTE

Originally Posted by thorpe:



Depending on the team, if you like the under then you might want to wait a week or two for homers to bet up the juice on the over.

yeah Homers are helpful with line movement .....

 

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