| Author: |
[College Football] Topic: FRIDAY BOWL PICKS (FROM THE SQUARE) |
|
msohn |
RSI   View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2002
Posts: 3659
Location: United States |
#1 Posted: 12/31/2010 2:36:43 AM
SIDES: 7-9
TOTALS: 6-1
I got murdered Thursday with the plays on Kansas State and Tennessee hitting really hard (on the heels of the Missouri loss). Maybe you should fade my sides as the only thing working now are the totals.
MEINEKE CAR CARE BOWL
SOUTH FLORIDA VS. CLEMSON
I am focusing on Clemson here. The Tigers have the 9th best scoring defense allowing 17.8 ppg. I have a hard time seeing SF generating scoring drives against this defense. Offensively, the Tigers could also be frustrated by the SF run defense as well. Clemson had the #86 scoring offense this year at 23.8 ppg but take away the 58 they put up on Presbyterian and they fall to #103 with 20.6 ppg. The best play here seems to be the under.
UNDER 40.5
SUN BOWL
NOTRE DAME VS. MIAMI
The two big question marks are the performance of ND freshman QB Tom Rees and the Hurricanes game preparation under interim head coach Jeff Stoutland. I am going to lay the points and take the athletic advantage of the Hurricanes.
MIAMI -2.5
UNDER 47.0
LIBERTY BOWL
GEORGIA VS. CENTRAL FLORIDA
Central Florida has been great ATS this season and I think that a lot of us on Covers made a lot of units backing them. But in this game, I like the size and speed of the Georgia O- and D-lines to win the line of scrimmage battle. Meanwhile, I would hope for the Bulldogs to score points with a vertical passing attack. Assuming CF is forced to double up on Green, this should open up space for the other Georgia receivers.
Two freshman QBs here means that we should expect the unexpected and backers of either side will be shaking their heads at times, but I like the Bulldogs here at less than 1 TD.
GEORGIA -6.5
CHICK-FIL-A BOWL
SOUTH CAROLINA VS. FLORIDA STATE
SC (9-4 ATS and 9-4 O/U) played only 4 games that would have gone under the 54.5 total for this matchup whereas FSU (9-4 ATS and 5-8 O/U) played 8 games that ended below this game total. FSU brings a pass rush that generated 46 sacks, which I believe was tops in FBS. I think that this pass rush will disrupt Garcia, who has made some bad plays under pressure.
UNDER 54.5
|
|
quote |
|
msohn |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2002
Posts: 3659
Location: United States |
#2 Posted: 12/31/2010 2:42:09 AM
SIDES: 7-9
TOTALS: 6-1
December 17
New Mexico Bowl: BYU vs. UTEP | PICK: BYU -11.5 (WIN)
Humanitarian Bowl: Northern Illinois vs. Fresno State | PICK: FRESNO +2 (LOSS)
New Orleans Bowl: Ohio vs. Troy | PICK: TROY -2 (WIN)
December 21
Beef 'O' Brady's Bowl: Louisville vs. Southern Miss | PICK: UNDER 59.5 (WIN)
December 22
Las Vegas Bowl: Utah vs. Boise State | PICK: UTAH +16.5 (LOSS)
December 23
Poinsettia Bowl: Navy vs. San Diego State | PICK: SAN DIEGO STATE -3 (WIN)
Poinsettia Bowl: Navy vs. San Diego State | PICK: UNDER 57.5 (WIN)
December 24
Hawaii Bowl: Hawaii vs. Tulsa | PICK: OVER 73.5 (WIN)
December 26
Little Caesars Bowl: Florida Intl vs. Toledo | PICK: TOLEDO -1.5 (LOSS)
December 27
Independence Bowl: Air Force vs. Georgia Tech | PICK: AIR FORCE -3 (WIN)
Independence Bowl: Air Force vs. Georgia Tech | PICK: UNDER 56 (WIN)
December 28
Champs Sports Bowl: North Carolina State vs. West Virginia | PICK: WVU -2.5 (LOSS)
Insight Bowl: Missouri vs. Iowa | PICK: MISSOURI-2.5 (LOSS)
December 29
Military Bowl: East Carolina vs. Marlyand | PICK: MARYLAND -7.5 (WIN)
Texas Bowl: Illinois vs. Baylor | PICK: BAYLOR -1 (LOSS)
Texas Bowl: Illinois vs. Baylor | PICK: UNDER 62.5 (WIN)
Alamo Bowl: Oklahoma State vs. Arizona | PICK: OK STATE -4.5 (WIN)
December 30
Armed Forces Bowl: Army vs. SMU | PICK: SMU -7 (LOSS)
Armed Forced Bowl: Army vs. SMU | PICK: UNDER 51.5 (WIN)
Pinstripe Bowl: Kansas State vs. Syracuse | PICK: KANSAS STATE +1 (LOSS)
Pinstripe Bowl: Kansas State vs. Syracuse | PICK: UNDER 48.0 (LOSS)
Music City Bowl: North Carolina vs. Tennessee | PICK TENNESSEE +1 (LOSS)
Holiday Bowl: Nebraska vs. Washington | PICK: WASHINGTON +13.5 (WIN)
|
|
quote |
|
Woodd2 |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 1324
Location: |
#3 Posted: 12/31/2010 2:57:39 AM  |
|
quote |
|
MYSTICRICH |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 2685
Location: United States |
#4 Posted: 12/31/2010 2:58:00 AM missouri and tenn were the right side just bad luck
your doing good on the totals
|
|
quote |
|
kptran98 |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Rookie
Joined: Sep 2006
Posts: 570
Location: |
#5 Posted: 12/31/2010 3:02:21 AM
haha funny garbage |
|
quote |
|
|
|
msohn |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2002
Posts: 3659
Location: United States |
#6 Posted: 12/31/2010 3:15:26 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by kptran98: "missouri and tenn were the right side just bad luck"
haha funny garbage
We just have to shrug when these games turn out the way they do . . . can't forget that when our hearts are racing and excitement is high that these are just kids playing ball.
Still, those were tough losses for me!
|
|
quote |
|
Viking17 |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Rookie
Joined: Nov 2009
Posts: 793
Location: |
#7 Posted: 12/31/2010 3:50:44 AM bro thanks for the insider. went 3-0
ARMY
TEN/NC OV
WASH
U HAVE THE REST OF THE BOWL GAMES ? |
|
quote |
|
msohn |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2002
Posts: 3659
Location: United States |
#8 Posted: 12/31/2010 3:57:24 AM
I posted the new bowl pick slate in a separate thread. Note that they are using a different capping service for these.
|
|
quote |
|
D-Town |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Legend
Joined: Jul 2002
Posts: 120365
Location: Michigan |
#9 Posted: 12/31/2010 8:00:07 AM  |
|
quote |
|
Ace100100 |
RSI |
Prospect
Joined: Dec 2009
Posts: 74
Location: California |
#10 Posted: 12/31/2010 9:02:46 AM |
|
quote |
|
ApocalypseLater |
View Space | Blog | Friends | Playbook | |
Veteran
Joined: Aug 2010
Posts: 4260
Location: |
#11 Posted: 12/31/2010 9:47:51 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by MYSTICRICH: missouri and tenn were the right side just bad luck
no doubt about it...
|
|
quote |
|
Marcdav |
View Space | Friends | Playbook | |
Rookie
Joined: Sep 2007
Posts: 768
Location: Florida |
#12 Posted: 12/31/2010 10:00:18 AM |
|
quote |
|
kevdogg42 |
RSI  |
Prospect
Joined: Nov 2007
Posts: 88
Location: |
#13 Posted: 12/31/2010 10:42:22 AM |
|
quote |
|
msohn |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2002
Posts: 3659
Location: United States |
#14 Posted: 12/31/2010 11:17:28 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by kevdogg42:
TENN sucks, always bet against a true freshman!!!
well . . . true dat but we played well enough to win!
so who would you take in Georgia vs. Central Florida???
|
|
quote |
|
msohn |
RSI |
Veteran
Joined: Jan 2002
Posts: 3659
Location: United States |
#15 Posted: 12/31/2010 11:18:20 AM QUOTE Originally Posted by msohn:
well . . . true dat but we played well enough to win!
so who would you take in Georgia vs. Central Florida???
"we" 
funny that I typed that instead of "he"
|
|
quote |