Posted:
#1
I'm going to start with a spread and total prediction in this matchup.
Miami should be favored by 3-4 point range. Probably closer to 3 to begin with.
The total is more what I'm interested in seeing. With it being a rivalry game, the total is slightly impacted. Sometimes it doesn't seem as high as it should be. True... usually because these game have a lot more emotional involvement which can have tremendous effects on the way they play. I think it's safe to say we see something between 49-52. Both teams have proven offenses which would merit this high of a total.
I would really pay attention to the status of Miami's Graig Cooper in this game. A fast guy like that at 100% will have a direct impact on the line and total.
At the same time... FSU has some really fast backs themselves in Thomas and Jones and a pretty good core of receivers. Taiwan Easterling can make some huge plays and can really burn most college DB's.
FSU's pass defense is a little suspect but their rush defense is for real. Miami's best chance is letting Jacory Harris put it in the air.
However this year is a little different as there is a new defensive coordinator at FSU (Stoops), not to mention the new-era Jimbo Fisher head-coach. I don't think you see this game playing out like the past couple of years. Jimbo wants to start his winning streak against Florida teams now.
FSU has a very talented defensive line and is much more experienced after last year. The FSU secondary will be the main question mark in this game... but the fact they can keep teams from running the ball right now (UVA and WAKE) means that they will have to rely more on the pass. Jacory Harris needs to be the exceptional Heisman-mention QB to win this game... he cannot have a even TD-Pick ratio or he will lose the game. FSU will capitalize off of turnovers unlike Miami getting 6 from Clemson last week and still being unable to put them away on a really off-day for the Tigers.
I will update a little later when the lines come out and spread some more insight around the forum.
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Two posts from you is way more than sufficient for me to get an idea of who you are.
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