bads week #4---- leans + plays

Week #3 was a little disappointing, to say the least.6 - 12 - 1 on all plays     - 9.8 units.   YTD  plays 29 - 21 - 2      + 13.3 units.  Historically horrible week for me anyways, not just in CFB, but in CBB also. Not sure why, just is. Should proceed in week #3 with more caution, but just keep thinking it will change.  The good thing is, I always seem to bounce back well from it.  On that note, this weeks leans;                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     The U and up to - 6 1/2.  Know the lines around 3 1/2, but expecting more from the Hurricanes then we saw out of them at the Shoe and fading the Stache.                                                                                                                                                            Bowling Green + 23, and already see it climbing at Bookmaker. Play golf with coach Clawsons cousin and although he lost a lot of offense, the defense is better this year.  4 picks of Marshall with 2 returned for scores, plus 1 fumble recovery.  Also think that R Rod would like to get an early lead, settle in and coast going into their Big 10 schedule.  Golfing with Dan Friday and hoping to get the skinny on this weeks practice, and teams reaction to the good Marshall win.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                               The rest and it's awfully "chalky"      Hokies  -3,    NC St  +9,    Duke  - 6 1/2,    Ole Miss -2,    Kan St - 5 1/2,    Bama -7,    Stanford -3 1/2,    Zona - 6 1/2,    Longhorns - 16 1/2,    Nevada -3,    So Miss -5 1/2,    So Carolina +2 1/2,    Baylor - 7,    UTEP - 9 1/2,    and    Oregon - 10 1/2.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           Will be searching hard for a few more dogs as the week rolls along and as I look at these games more, may even fade a couple of favs on the list. Input or thoughts, especially a couple of good dog plays, greatly appreciated.  As always, BOL to everyone.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                           

BoL 222   

You and me both bad. I broke my own rule and bet a few more games than usual. Needless to say it blew up in my face and I went 3-7 on Sat.

Here's to a bounceback week for both of us

 

 

EC

  BOL this week Bad!!!

 

Thanks to everyone for the encouragement.  On to the first two plays of wk # 4.                                                                                                                                                 Locked in Alabama 6 1/2 ( bought hook)  Like Jimmy says, you know what your getting when you take the Tide.  Might struggle a little early in this one, with the Razorback home crowd but after the dust clears, Ingram and the power running game of Bama will be too much for Mallet and the Hogs.  Don't get me wrong, Mallet's a stud, but I think Saban's going to do everything he can to limit his time on the field.  Bama by dbl dgs.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                     Longhorns - 16 1/2, Bruins pulled off a nice win over a team that must of had a terrible week of practice, not knowing who the QB was and don't doubt that their running game wasn't over practiced with the uncertainty of Keenum.  Cougars defense is no where close to the same level as the Horns, and wouldn't be surprised to see them pitch a shut out against the "giddy" Bruins.  Think that Texas's offense will only get better game to game, and with Big 12 Conference play on tap, the scrimmages are over. Horn's by 4 plus TD's.                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                 Forgot to add Vandals to the lean list, just hope I can get this under a TD and also would love to hear from csongzo before I make the play.  BOL to all.   

Didn't realize that U Mia has Clemson, at "Death Valley" on deck, so in looking deeper into the game came up with a couple of things that tell me the Stache is starting to lose a little control of this team.  All started this summer when DE Jabaal Shears, apparently, threw a man through a glass door at an art museum and wasn't suspended or held out of game action.  Probably took into consideration that the kid was at least trying to sharpen his mind at the museum. Next reserve RB Jason Douglas hits a pedestrian drunk, and not only gets himself kicked of the team, but gets the passenger, starting MLB Dan Mason suspended for at least the Mia game.  Sept 18 sophmore Keith Coleman gets arrested for punching a guy that he sends to the hospital.  I guess these aren't major losses but does send a message of lack of control over his squad. Better get control this week as the Hurricanes have had two weeks to get ready and the only thing that may keep me off this one is the look ahead to ACC play and Clemson for the U  BOL to all.

Adding one more play, as I see the line starting to move to -7 in a lot of places.  Can still get Ariz St - 6 1/2 and I'm biting.  Ariz St - 6 1/2 for 1 unit.   Riley and Cal on the road have never made me a dime.  Just hoping there's not a big let down from Ariz after the nice win over Iowa on Sat.  Don't think Stopps will let it happen because of the conference game.  If Ariz plans to contend with Stanford and Oregon for a shot at the Rose Bowl, this is where they have to start.  BOL to all.

 Should say Arizona not Arizona St.  Too much time on the bong today.  Also didn't post the amount played on the first 2 plays, so updated card should look like this;          Bama - 6 1/2 for 2 units (1.2 units to win 1, bought  1/2 pt),     Texas Longhorns - 16 1/2   2 units,     and     Arizona - 6 1/2  1 unit.  BOL to all.

After, literally, the biggest game in the history of the Zona program, there absolutely will be.

GL with playing against a pretty damn good situational bet.

Ill be on the other side there. But, from the way you play, we are on the opposite side often.

Yes we are as last week I think we had one game together, and it was a push.  No need to mention who it was because we both only pushed one game.  Of the other six games we had in common, I was 3 - 3.  Again no need to mention who they were, we both know who your 3 loses were.  So my point here is that angles to gambling, although different in many ways usually take the middle road of 50%.  My bud tmpeus had I think 4 system plays last week and went 2 and 2.  I'm not a big fan of playing systems, but again 50%.  We could go round and round all day and think that no matter what at the end of the year if we both do well, not super, we'll show about the same amount of success on our plays.  Not the total units, the total plays, because I would never bet the amount you do on a football game between teenagers.  Let me reword that, I would never bet the amount per game you do on any sporting event.  Too each his own, that's what makes the world go round.  BOL this week.                                                                                                                                                                                                                    

What?

You - Hoping Zona doesnt have a let down.

Me - They absolutely will.

You - I cant even translate this.

Here's another one that I'm taking while I still can get 3;   Mia Hurricanes - 3  for 1 unit.  Waited longer than I should of on the Stanford play, and only hope now is that all the Irish backers will take the bait and send this one back down, where it opened.  BOL to all.

GL 222 Keep digging. I fully expect you to bounce back this week. IMO... Be careful with what the obvious seems to be. We are entering the time of year where guys usually make it or brake it.

GL

Thanks Boom.  Coming from you that means a lot.  Funny side bar in the Mia / Pitt game this year.  Who would have thought that it would be Pitt that was getting all the players arrested before this game.  Usually it's the Criminal U.  At least Shannon is cleaning up their program.  Now he can start working on game day coaching.  BOL to you on this weeks plays, Boom.                                                                                                                                                                                                                   

GL bad, bounce back week right here! 

See the Bowling Green / Migh line steaming to 26 1/2 and even 27 in one place from the opening 23.  BG's Frosh QB Schilz is questionable with a shoulder injury, but his replacement Pankratz, a soph. has a better yd/ catch avg.  Granted only a small sampling, but when he came in against Marshall Sat, he was 5 for 8 for 111 yards and 13.9 yds/ catch avg.  He's 6'6" and Schliz is 6'2".  Both have around a 64% completion % so not seeing a big drop off in talent.  Don't see Migh losing this game, but if it goes to at least 4 TD's I'm jumping aboard.  How interested can R Rod be in wasting shoelaces carries in this game.  Get an early lead, play defense, and coast into Conference play.  No Freddie Brown this year but running game looks solid so far for BG.  Haven't locked this in, but will if I can get the 4 scores.  BOL to all.

GL with your picks Sir,,however with all due respect--the  veteran capper Badlands has earned the moniker ~~~~BADS~~~~~~~

That's great info -- thanks

Notice taken nc1capper.  Wouldn't want to step on a fellow Rhode Islanders toes.  Should I ask the mods to change this weeks thread title or just leave it.  No disrespect intended.  Didn't even consider it and I'm glad I didn't post it in capital letters.  It's 222 from now on.                                                                                                                                                                                    

That's just like me and week 4 every year.  I shouldn't be betting this week, but I did so well in week 3 -- I can't help myself.  But it will probably end up like this:  

Anyway, hope you bounce back this week after that great start. 

Thanks mws.  Looking for a bounce back and really looking forward to CBB, when I limit CFB plays and concentrate on what I really enjoy.  Somehow, when it's the only game in town, I play too many games.  Very seldom bet the National Fixed League, so right now CFB is all the action I have.  BOL on this weeks plays yourself.                                                                                                                                                                                      

You're from Rhode Island?  I went to school at Brown.  I love Rhode Island. 

Have to work early, but see some line movement my way in a couple games.  Not going to do anything now and take a chance that I can still get W Vir  at + 8 1/2 when I get home.  Also might add to my Texas bet as the lines down to 15 1/2 in most places.  Don't know what I can get on either game but will check throughout the day and will post any additional plays this evening. BOL 

good luck in week 4 222.  This weeks card looks very strong!